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Genetic studies in patients with Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are essential to establish the correct diagnosis and to optimise their management. Recently, it has been demonstrated that it is possible to detect molecular alterations analysing cell-free DNA (cfDNA) in plasma samples, which is known as liquid biopsy. We have assessed the molecular profile of a cohort of 107 MPN patients [33 polycythaemia vera (PV), 56 essential thrombocythaemia (ET), 14 primary myelofibrosis (PMF) and 4 unclassifiable MPN] by next-generation sequencing (NGS) using cfDNA and paired granulocyte DNA. A high concentration of cfDNA in plasma was observed in patients with high molecular complexity, in MPL-mutated cases, and in PMF patients. Targeted sequencing of cfDNA showed a comparable mutational profile (100% accuracy) to the one obtained in granulocytic DNA and a strong correlation was observed between the variant allele frequency (VAF) of gene mutations in both DNA sources. The median VAF detected in cfDNA (29·0%; range: 0·95-91·73%) was significantly higher than the VAF detected in granulocytes (median 25·2%; range: 0·10-95·5%), especially for MPL mutations (44·3% vs. 22·5%). In conclusion, our data support the use of cfDNA as a fast, sensitive and accurate strategy for performing molecular characterisation of MPN patients.

Summary The influence of driver mutations on leukaemic transformation was analysed in 1747 patients with polycythaemia vera or essential thrombocythaemia. With a median follow-up of 7·2 years, 349 patients died and 62 progressed to acute leukaemia or myelodysplastic syndrome. Taking death as a competing risk, CALR genotype was associated with a lower risk of transformation [subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR): 0·13, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0·2–0·9, P = 0·039], whereas JAK2 V617F showed borderline significance for higher risk (SHR: 2·05, 95% CI: 0·9–4·6, P = 0·09). Myelofibrotic transformation increased leukaemic risk, except in CALR-mutated patients. Next generation sequencing of 51 genes at the time of transformation showed additional mutations (median number: 3; range: 1–5) in 25 out of 29 (86%) assessable cases. Mutations (median: 1; range: 1–3) were detected in 67% of paired samples from the chronic phase. Leukaemia appeared in a JAK2 V617F negative clone in 17 (58%) cases, eleven of them being previously JAK2 V617F-positive. JAK2 V617F-mutated leukaemia was significantly associated with complex karyotype and acquisition of TP53 mutations, whereas EZH2 and RUNX1 mutations were more frequent in JAK2 V617F-negative leukaemia. Survival was longer in JAK2 V617F-unmutated leukaemia (343 days vs. 95 days, P = 0·003). In conclusion, CALR genotype is associated with a lower risk of leukaemic transformation. Leukaemia arising in a JAK2 V617F-negative clone is TP53 independent and shows better survival.

Bone marrow histology is included in the diagnostic criteria of myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs). However, some concerns have emerged about its reproducibility. To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of histology and to assess its correlation with presence of mutations and clinical outcomes, two pathologists reviewed the bone marrow biopsies corresponding to 211 patients with MPN. Despite the low agreement in the evaluation of individual histopathological characteristics, the concordance among pathologists when establishing the diagnosis was good (Kappa index 0·67). The specificity of histology was 100%, 98·5% and 98% in polycythaemia vera (PV), essential thrombocythaemia (ET) and primary myelofibrosis (PMF), respectively, whereas the sensitivity of histological diagnosis was low in PV and ET (32·5% and 54% respectively) and acceptable in PMF (75%). Thirteen out of 146 (9%) patients with clinical ET were diagnosed as prefibrotic PMF. No histological agreement or MPN otherwise unspecified was more frequently observed in JAK2 V617F-positive ET than in CALR-mutated cases, whereas megakaryocytic abnormalities and prefibrotic PMF were more frequently observed in CALR-mutated ET. In conclusion, histological criteria of MPN have a limited diagnostic accuracy due to low sensitivity. Patients with JAK2 V617F-positive MPN have a heterogeneous histology while CALR-positive ET is associated with megakaryocyte abnormalities and prefibrotic PMF.

Summary The effectiveness of low-dose aspirin in the primary prevention of thrombosis in patients with high-risk essential thrombocythaemia (ET) treated with cytoreductive drugs is not well established. The risk-benefit balance of low-dose aspirin plus cytoreductive therapy compared with cytoreduction alone was retrospectively analysed in 247 patients with high-risk ET without prior thrombosis. Follow-up was 763 and 685 person-years for cytoreduction plus low-dose aspirin and cytoreduction alone, respectively. The rate of thrombosis was not significantly reduced in patients on cytoreduction plus aspirin (14·4 events per 1000 person-years) when compared with those on cytoreduction alone (24·8 events per 1000 person-years; P = 0·2). However, in the subgroup of patients older than 60 years, the addition of low-dose aspirin was associated with a significantly lower rate of thrombosis (8·6 vs. 29·2 thrombosis per 1000 person-years for combined treatment and cytoreduction alone, respectively, P = 0·02). The rate of major bleeding was significantly higher with combined therapy than with cytoreduction alone both in the whole series (14·4 vs. 1·4 haemorrhagic events per 1000 person-years, respectively, P = 0·006) and in the subgroup of patients older than 60 years. In conclusion, low-dose aspirin benefits high-risk ET patients older than 60 years receiving cytoreductive therapy as primary prophylaxis of thrombosis.

Summary The modulation of JAK2 V617F allele burden dynamics was prospectively analysed in 47 patients (26 polycythaemia vera [PV] and 21 essential thrombocythaemia [ET]) treated with first-line hydroxyurea (HU) and compared with the JAK2 V617F dynamics of a control group of 45 PV and ET patients. A partial molecular response (PMR), according to European Leukaemia Net criteria, was observed in 27/47 (57%) patients. Median time to PMR was 14 months (3–66) with a probability of PMR at 3 years of 57%. A significant decrease in JAK2 V617F allele load was observed at 36 months both in PV and ET patients, being the reduction in PV higher than in ET patients (P = 0·01). A haematocrit ≥0·45 L/L was associated with a higher probability of attaining a PMR (HR:3·4; 95%CI:1·02–11·6, P = 0·04). Control group showed a slight increase of JAK2 V617F allele burden over time. The reduction in the mutated allele load comparing treated patients versus controls was highly significant both in PV and ET, demonstrating a clear effect of HU on the JAK2 V617F allele burden. In conclusion, first-line HU can attain PMR in more than 50% of newly diagnosed PV and ET patients, with a continuous decrease of the JAK2 V617F allele burden in PV patients during treatment.

The modulation of JAK2 V617F allele burden dynamics was prospectively analysed in 47 patients (26 polycythaemia vera [PV] and 21 essential thrombocythaemia [ET]) treated with first-line hydroxyurea (HU) and compared with the JAK2 V617F dynamics of a control group of 45 PV and ET patients. A partial molecular response (PMR), according to European Leukaemia Net criteria, was observed in 27/47 (57%) patients. Median time to PMR was 14 months (3-66) with a probability of PMR at 3 years of 57%. A significant decrease in JAK2 V617F allele load was observed at 36 months both in PV and ET patients, being the reduction in PV higher than in ET patients (P = 0·01). A haematocrit ≥0·45 L/L was associated with a higher probability of attaining a PMR (HR:3·4; 95%CI:1·02-11·6, P = 0·04). Control group showed a slight increase of JAK2 V617F allele burden over time. The reduction in the mutated allele load comparing treated patients versus controls was highly significant both in PV and ET, demonstrating a clear effect of HU on the JAK2 V617F allele burden. In conclusion, first-line HU can attain PMR in more than 50% of newly diagnosed PV and ET patients, with a continuous decrease of the JAK2 V617F allele burden in PV patients during treatment.