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The value of intensive therapy, including autologous stem cell transplantation, in newly diagnosed myeloma patients >60 years is not clear. We evaluated the impact of age (<60 years vs. 60-64 years) on survival in a prospective, population-based setting and compared survival with conventionally treated historic controls. The prospective population comprised 452 patients registered between 1998 and 2000. Of these, 414 received intensive therapy. The historic population, derived from our most recent population-based study on conventional therapy, comprised 281 patients. Of these, 243 fulfilled our eligibility criteria for intensive therapy. For patients undergoing intensive therapy it was found that two factors, beta-2-microglobulin and age <60 years vs. 60-64 years, had independent prognostic impact on survival. However, compared with the historic controls a survival advantage was found both for patients <60 (median 66 months vs. 43 months, P < 0.001) and 60-64 years (median 50 months vs. 27 months; P = 0.001). We conclude that in a population-based setting higher age adversely influences outcome after intensive therapy. Our results indicate that intensive therapy prolongs survival also at age 60-64 years but with less superiority than in younger patients.

Angiogenesis is a complex process involved in the proliferation and metastasis of malignant tumours, and partly triggered by the secretion of various angiogenic factors by tumour cells or cells in the stromal environment. We investigated the correlation between bone marrow angiogenesis, estimated as microvessel density (MVD), and interleukin-6 (IL-6), basic fibroblastic growth factor (bFGF), hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) and syndecan-1 in 67 patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma, and evaluated the prognostic value of these parameters. Circulating levels of IL-6, bFGF, HGF and syndecan-1 were significantly higher in patients than in controls. Moreover, in patients, bone marrow levels of bFGF, HGF and syndecan-1 were higher than peripheral blood levels. Positive correlations were found between MVD and syndecan-1 blood levels (r = 0.33, P = 0.017), syndecan-1 bone marrow levels (r = 0.49, P = 0.046) and HGF blood levels (r = 0.36, P = 0.008) respectively. High MVD and high blood levels of IL-6, HGF and syndecan-1 were predictive of a shorter survival. In a multivariate survival analysis MVD and blood levels of IL-6 retained independent prognostic significance, while in a survival analysis without MVD the peripheral blood levels of HGF and syndecan-1 were strong independent prognostic factors.

Sixty-five patients who were primary or secondary refractory to melphalan/prednisone or other type of chemotherapy, or relapsed within 6 months after high dose chemotherapy with stem cell support, were given thalidomide at a dose of 200 mg/d escalating to 800 mg. The patients were followed for a median of 2 years and 22 weeks. Response was evaluated according to M-protein reduction combined with improvement of haemoglobin (Hb) concentration, renal function and pain. Altogether, 14% of patients had a minor response, 14% partial response and 6% complete response. Median survival was 12 months and 29% were alive at last contact. Decline of M protein started early and a minimum 25% reduction of M protein was detected in 14 of 20 responders (70%) after 3 weeks, and in 20 of 22 responders (91%) after 5 weeks of treatment. Reduction of M protein continued for 3 months and further decline was observed in only four patients. The Hb concentration showed a different time course, with a significant increase after 3 months and further increases continued for up to 12 months. Blood concentration levels of thalidomide from 40 patients were used to evaluate the pharmacokinetics of the drug. Rate of absorption, rate of elimination, volume of distribution, clearance and elimination half-life were calculated to be 0.200/h, 0.140/h, 0.886 l/kg, 0.126 l/h/kg and 4.98 h respectively. We found no relationship between thalidomide concentration and effect after 12 weeks.

Increased osteoclastic bone resorption is the major causal factor of bone disease in multiple myeloma. Recently, non-invasive methods have been developed for the estimation of bone resorptive activity. To evaluate the biological sensitivity and clinical usefulness of five biochemical assays for measuring the C-terminal telopeptide of collagen I (ICTP) in serum (beta-Crosslaps ELISA and ICTP radioimmunoassay) and urinary creatinine-adjusted excretions of pyridinoline (PYR), deoxypyridinoline (DPD) and N-terminal telopeptide of collagen I (Ntx), we performed a study of 34 consecutive newly diagnosed myeloma patients. Serum and morning-fasting, second-void urine samples were taken before the start of treatment. In total, 40 age- and sex-adjusted healthy individuals served as controls. Results were expressed as Z-scores. All test variables were highly significantly elevated in the patients (P < 0.001). Serum (S)-ICTP was elevated (Z-score > 2) in most patients (85%) and showed significantly higher Z-score values than the other markers. S-ICTP remained more sensitive than the urinary assays when patients with impaired renal function were excluded from analysis. S-ICTP and the urinary metabolites correlated significantly with skeletal morbidity. S-beta-Crosslaps correlated with the bone morbidity only when patients with renal insufficiency were excluded from the analysis. High levels of S-ICTP and urinary (U)-Ntx correlated with an increased risk for early progression of bone lesions during standard melphalan-prednisolone treatment. U-Ntx and S-ICTP are sensitive tools for estimating the increased bone resorption in multiple myeloma and are clinically useful for identifying patients with increased risk of early progression of bone disease.

The role of human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) in multiple myeloma (MM) remains controversial. We examined 15 Danish MM patients before cytoreductive therapy. Mononuclear cells isolated from peripheral blood and bone marrow aspirates, as well as long-term cultured bone marrow stromal cells, were assayed for the presence of HHV-8 DNA. All material was tested by three simple unnested polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assays (amplifying regions of ORF26, ORFK1 and ORF75) and two nested PCR assays (amplifying regions of ORF26). HHV-8 was not demonstrated in any of the samples. Our findings do not suggest an association between HHV-8 and MM in the Danish population.

We have analysed the prognostic information for survival of presenting features in an unselected series of 394 myeloma patients. 15 variables with significant prognostic information were identified, among these were some not previously or only recently reported: serum levels of hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), interleukin-6 (IL-6), C-terminal cross-linked telopeptide of collagen I (ICTP) and soluble interleukin-6 receptor (sIL-6R). In a multivariate Cox analysis six variables were significantly and independently associated with poor survival: high age, low W.H.O.-performance status (PS), high serum levels of calcium, beta-2-microglobulin (beta-2M), IL-6 and sIL-6R. A risk score formed to predict survival for each percentile of the patient population allowed an efficient separation of prognostic groups. The discriminating power of the model compared favourably with three other previously published staging systems applied to the study population. Exclusion of IL-6 and sIL-6R from the model only marginally decreased the efficacy of the separation. The predictive value of some variables (sIL-6R, beta-2M and W.H.O.-PS) decreased significantly over time. We conclude that formation of a risk score based on independent variables is an efficient way to separate prognostic groups, that the contribution of new and not easily available parameters should be thoroughly evaluated before inclusion in prognostic models for clinical use and that the predictive value of parameters may decrease over time.

Simple bone marrow fibrosis is seen in 10-30% of multiple myeloma (MM) patients. We investigated the incidence and characteristics of the bone marrow stromal alterations, in order to characterize the collagens involved by immunohistochemistry, and to evaluate the use of serum aminoterminal propeptide of type III procollagen (PIIINP) as a marker of marrow fibrogenesis and disease activity in MM. 34 consecutive patients with newly diagnosed MM were included prospectively, and followed for 12-30 months. Compared with the findings in 15 normal individuals we found increased interstitial deposits of collagen III in 48% of MM patients, whereas deposits of collagen I were not increased. Interstitial fibrosis appeared to be restricted to areas of severe plasma cell infiltration, but it could also have a more dispersed presentation in the severely infiltrated marrow. There was a high co-distribution of collagen III fibrils and reticulin fibres. Serum PIIINP levels were elevated in most patients, and in the follow-up study serum PIIINP showed a good correlation with the response to treatment. Patients with resistant or progressive disease had continually elevated levels of PIIINP. In most patients with responsive disease serum PIIINP normalized, and we observed no relapses in patients who had normal serum PIIINP levels. Other patients who responded to treatment by reduced M-component level, but had persistently elevated serum levels of PIIINP, had either early relapses or developed progression of osteolytic lesions in spite of unchanged M-component levels. Therefore an elevated serum PIIINP during treatment might indicate an active malignant clone. Serum PIIINP does not simply follow the M-component, but gives further information of potential therapeutic value.

This study was performed to evaluate the prognostic significance of serum markers of bone and collagen metabolism in multiple myeloma. Serum C-terminal telopeptide of type I collagen (ICTP) reflects degradation of bone, whereas serum osteocalcin, together with serum C-terminal propeptide of procollagen type I (PICP) and serum bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (bAP) reflect synthesis of bone matrix. The N-terminal propeptide of procollagen type III (PIIINP) in serum reflects synthesis of type III collagen. We analysed frozen sera from 109 patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma. Serum ICTP was elevated (> 5.0 micrograms/l) in most patients (median 6.6 micrograms/l range 1.4-29.4 micrograms/l). Serum PIIINP was elevated (> 4.2 micrograms/l) in 46% (median 4.0 micrograms/l, range 1.4-20.1 micrograms/l). Serum PICP was generally within the reference limits, whereas serum osteocalcin and serum bAP were elevated in 19% and 37%, respectively. Serum ICTP correlated with serum PIIINP, serum beta 2-microglobulin (beta 2m), serum calcium, performance status, and stage. In univariate analysis, the test variables serum ICTP (P = 0.026) and serum osteocalcin (P = 0.036) were found to be of prognostic value, but PIIINP, PICP, or bAP in serum were not. Serum ICTP and serum beta 2m had a similar prognostic value. In multivariate analysis, serum calcium showed the highest prognostic significance, and serum beta 2m was the only other variable of independent prognostic value. However, in normocalcaemic patients, serum ICTP showed the highest prognostic significance, followed by serum osteocalcin. Thus, the serum levels of ICTP and osteocalcin seem related to bone turnover and calcium metabolism, and provide further information about myeloma activity, particularly in normocalcaemic patients.