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2. Summary of Papers on the History of Atmospheric Science Presented at the History of Science Society Meeting, 29 October to 1 November 1987, Raleigh, North Carolina
- Author
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Fleming, James R.
- Published
- 1988
3. SCIENTIFIC PAPERS AND DISCUSSIONS: NEW YORK MEETING (Continued)
- Published
- 1929
4. PAPERS OF THE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN GEOGRAPHERS MEETING
- Published
- 1929
5. Papers Offered in Celebration of the Twenty-Fifth Anniversary of the American Meteorological Society (Continued)
- Author
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Brooks, C. F., Patterson, J., Woolard, E. W., Woolard, Edgar W., Thomson, Andrew, Hand, I. F., McDonald, W. F., Mattice, W. A., Little, D. M., Bernard, Merrill, Anderson, J. B., Weightman, R. H., and Willett, H. C.
- Published
- 1945
6. An Overview of Using Weather Radar for Climatological Studies: Successes, Challenges, and Potential.
- Author
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Saltikoff, Elena, Friedrich, Katja, Soderholm, Joshua, Lengfeld, Katharina, Nelson, Brian, Becker, Andreas, Hollmann, Rainer, Urban, Bernard, Heistermann, Maik, and Tassone, Caterina
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SPHERICAL coordinates ,SEVERE storms ,RADAR meteorology ,CLIMATOLOGY ,PAPER arts ,TIME series analysis ,TASKS - Abstract
Weather radars have been widely used to detect and quantify precipitation and nowcast severe weather for more than 50 years. Operational weather radars generate huge three-dimensional datasets that can accumulate to terabytes per day. So it is essential to review what can be done with existing vast amounts of data, and how we should manage the present datasets for the future climatologists. All weather radars provide the reflectivity factor, and this is the main parameter to be archived. Saving reflectivity as volumetric data in the original spherical coordinates allows for studies of the three-dimensional structure of precipitation, which can be applied to understand a number of processes, for example, analyzing hail or thunderstorm modes. Doppler velocity and polarimetric moments also have numerous applications for climate studies, for example, quality improvement of reflectivity and rain rate retrievals, and for interrogating microphysical and dynamical processes. However, observational data alone are not useful if they are not accompanied by sufficient metadata. Since the lifetime of a radar ranges between 10 and 20 years, instruments are typically replaced or upgraded during climatologically relevant time periods. As a result, present metadata often do not apply to past data. This paper outlines the work of the Radar Task Team set by the Atmospheric Observation Panel for Climate (AOPC) and summarizes results from a recent survey on the existence and availability of long time series. We also provide recommendations for archiving current and future data and examples of climatological studies in which radar data have already been used. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. PAPERS OF NOTE.
- Author
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Potvin, Corey K.
- Subjects
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CLIMATOLOGY , *LIGHTNING , *EQUIPMENT & supplies , *HURRICANES , *TORNADOES - Abstract
The article presents updates related to climatology and weather studies in the U.S. Research reveals the significance of using the cloud-resolving model simulations in forecasting the dangers of lightning. Meanwhile, several climate scientists are searching for the best method in estimating the peak surface winds of a hurricane. Moreover, it also looks on the effectiveness of the latest multiple-Doppler tornado detection in determining the upcoming tornadoes.
- Published
- 2009
8. PAPER OF NOTE.
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Doyle, James D. and Durran, D. R.
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METEOROLOGY , *CLIMATOLOGY , *GEOPHYSICAL prediction ,WORLD news briefs - Abstract
The article offers world news briefs related to meteorology. The subrotors and the internal structure of the parent rotor lifts off the surface and breakdown along the edge of the lee wave through Kelvin-Helmholtz like instability. Greenland extends one quarter of the distance between the North Pole and Equator averaging 1.5 kilometer (km) in height and reaching skyward more than 3.5 km. The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) offers the opportunity to analyze climate variation.
- Published
- 2008
9. PAPERS OF NOTE.
- Subjects
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CLIMATOLOGY , *WEATHER forecasting , *ATMOSPHERE , *METEOROLOGY - Abstract
The article offers news briefs related to climatology. A cold tongue which is a narrow band of cool sea surface temperature (SST) is one of the salient features in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Two of the factors that contributed to the weather-forecasting errors increase in time are the amplification uncertainties of nonlinearities in the initial state of the atmosphere and the model deficiencies leading the model to predict the wrong rate of change for even the most certain initial conditions. INSETS: DUDE, WE'RE, LIKE, PROTESTING;PLEASED TO ZAP YOU.
- Published
- 2007
10. PAPERS OF NOTE.
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STRATOSPHERE , *METEOROLOGICAL research , *FORCING (Model theory) , *GLOBAL warming , *ASTRONOMICAL observations , *PLANETARY observations , *CLIMATOLOGY , *OZONE layer - Abstract
The article presents a study which examines the effect of synoptic-scale forcing on the stratospheric sudden warnings (SSWs) in 2006 in the U.S. The researchers used the meteorological fields from Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS)-4 analyses in determining such effects. The study found out that stratospheric polar displaced off the pole due to earlier minor warming events. The researchers also suggest that there is a need for further investigation to determine the kind of fraction of major SSWs are initiated.
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- 2009
11. PAPERS OF NOTE.
- Author
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Hameed, Sultan, Feldstein, S., and Yang, C. -H.
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CLIMATOLOGY , *BIRD conservation , *ISLANDS - Abstract
The article offers news briefs climate-related events in the U.S. The regional climate warming in Attu Island in Alaska has caused changes in the distributions and geographical ranges of birds in the island. It notes the use of large-scale ocean general circuit models (OGCMs) on the stimulations of Earth's climate rely on submodels and parameterizations.
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- 2009
12. PAPERS OF NOTE.
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OSCILLATIONS , *CLIMATOLOGY , *CLIMATE change , *OCEAN-atmosphere interaction , *METEOROLOGY education , *ATMOSPHERIC models ,EL Nino - Abstract
The article presents a research study of the Galápagos Island and its effect on the El Nião-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). ENSO is considered as one of the climate oscillations on Earth. The researchers used an ocean general circulating model and a hybrid coupled model of the tropical Pacific Ocean to examine the effects of the Galápagos Island on ENSO. Results such as the shift lead by the island in the ENSO period from biennial to quasi-quadrinneal are presented. Also, further studies in relation to the subject are encouraged.
- Published
- 2008
13. The 1757–62 Temperature Observed in Beijing.
- Author
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Ren, Yuyu, Ren, Guoyu, Allan, Rob, Li, Jiao, Yang, Guowei, and Zhang, Panfeng
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GLOBAL temperature changes ,EXTREME value theory ,TEMPERATURE ,CITIES & towns - Abstract
Instrumental data from the pre–Industrial Revolution period are important to -understand climate change. In this paper, the observations made by the French missionary J. Amiot in present-day central Beijing during 1757–62 were processed and analyzed. The observations represent the earliest continuous dataset of meteorological records found in China that have been digitized recently. Comparisons between the Amiot annual temperature range and extreme values with modern observations showed that the observations were read at approximately 0800 and 1500 local solar time (LST) in a well-ventilated outdoor site. The daily maximum, minimum, and mean temperatures (T-max, T-min, and T-mean, respectively) during 1757–62 were determined by examining the relationship between temperature at 0800 and 1500 LST and T-max, T-min, and T-mean in modern reference series. Nearly 260 years ago, Beijing's climate was typical of an inland temperate monsoon zone with annual T-mean, annual mean T-max, and annual mean T-min being 11.5°, 17.8°, and 6.1°C, respectively; further, the temperatures did not vary considerably from the 1951–1980 temperatures, but differed evidently compared to relatively recent decades (1981–2020). The difference was larger than the magnitudes of global and regional temperature changes. Thus, climate warming since the pre–Industrial Revolution period in the urban areas of Beijing has dominantly occurred over the last four decades. Uncertainties related to the thermometer and observational conditions 260 years ago and the interpolation method used have also been discussed in this paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
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14. The Weather Roulette: A Game to Communicate the Usefulness of Probabilistic Climate Predictions.
- Author
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Terrado, Marta, Lledó, Llorenç, Bojovic, Dragana, St. Clair, Asun Lera, Soret, Albert, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J., Manzanas, Rodrigo, San-Martín, Daniel, and Christel, Isadora
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RATE of return ,CLIMATOLOGY ,LONG-range weather forecasting ,WEATHER forecasting ,WEATHER ,KNOWLEDGE transfer - Abstract
Climate predictions, from three weeks to a decade into the future, can provide invaluable information for climate-sensitive socioeconomic sectors, such as renewable energy, agriculture, or insurance. However, communicating and interpreting these predictions is not straightforward. Barriers hindering user uptake include a terminology gap between climate scientists and users, the difficulties of dealing with probabilistic outcomes for decision-making, and the lower skill of climate predictions compared to the skill of weather forecasts. This paper presents a gaming approach to break communication and understanding barriers through the application of the Weather Roulette conceptual framework. In the game, the player can choose between two forecast options, one that uses ECMWF seasonal predictions against one using climatology-derived probabilities. For each forecast option, the bet is spread proportionally to the predicted probabilities, either in a single year game or a game for the whole period of 33 past years. This paper provides skill maps of forecast quality metrics commonly used by the climate prediction community (e.g., ignorance skill score and ranked probability skill score), which in the game are linked to metrics easily understood by the business sector (e.g., interest rate and return on investment). In a simplified context, we illustrate how in skillful regions the economic benefits of using ECMWF predictions arise in the long term and are higher than using climatology. This paper provides an example of how to convey the usefulness of climate predictions and transfer the knowledge from climate science to potential users. If applied, this approach could provide the basis for a better integration of knowledge about climate anomalies into operational and managerial processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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15. Process-Oriented Evaluation of Climate and Weather Forecasting Models.
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Maloney, Eric D., Gettelman, Andrew, Ming, Yi, Neelin, J. David, Barrie, Daniel, Mariotti, Annarita, Chen, C.-C., Coleman, Danielle R. B., Kuo, Yi-Hung, Singh, Bohar, Annamalai, H., Berg, Alexis, Booth, James F., Camargo, Suzana J., Dai, Aiguo, Gonzalez, Alex, Hafner, Jan, Jiang, Xianan, Jing, Xianwen, and Kim, Daehyun
- Subjects
SOFTWARE frameworks ,CLIMATOLOGY ,TASK forces ,WEATHERING ,PREDICTION models ,WEATHER forecasting - Abstract
Realistic climate and weather prediction models are necessary to produce confidence in projections of future climate over many decades and predictions for days to seasons. These models must be physically justified and validated for multiple weather and climate processes. A key opportunity to accelerate model improvement is greater incorporation of process-oriented diagnostics (PODs) into standard packages that can be applied during the model development process, allowing the application of diagnostics to be repeatable across multiple model versions and used as a benchmark for model improvement. A POD characterizes a specific physical process or emergent behavior that is related to the ability to simulate an observed phenomenon. This paper describes the outcomes of activities by the Model Diagnostics Task Force (MDTF) under the NOAA Climate Program Office (CPO) Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) program to promote development of PODs and their application to climate and weather prediction models. MDTF and modeling center perspectives on the need for expanded process-oriented diagnosis of models are presented. Multiple PODs developed by the MDTF are summarized, and an open-source software framework developed by the MDTF to aid application of PODs to centers' model development is presented in the context of other relevant community activities. The paper closes by discussing paths forward for the MDTF effort and for community process-oriented diagnosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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16. A 30-Year Climatology (1990–2020) of Aerosol Optical Depth and Total Column Water Vapor and Ozone over Texas.
- Author
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Mims III, Forrest M.
- Subjects
OZONE ,EL Nino ,WATER vapor ,CLIMATOLOGY ,AEROSOLS ,PRECIPITABLE water - Abstract
A 30-yr time series (4 February 1990–4 February 2020) of aerosol optical depth (AOD) of the atmosphere, total precipitable water (TPW), and total column ozone has been conducted in central Texas using simple, highly stable instruments. All three parameters in this ongoing measurement series exhibited robust annual cycles. They also responded to many atmospheric events, including the historic volcanic eruption of Mount Pinatubo (1991), a record El Niño (1998), an unprecedented biomass smoke event (1998), and La Niña that caused the driest drought in recorded Texas history (2011). Reduced air pollution caused mean AOD to decline from 0.175 to 0.14. The AOD trend measured for 30 years by a light-emitting diode (LED) sun photometer, the first of its kind, parallels the trend from 20 years of measurements by a modified Microtops II. While TPW responded to El Niño–Southern Oscillation conditions, TPW exhibited no trend over the 30 years. The TPW data compare favorably with 4.5 years of simultaneous measurements by a nearby NOAA GPS (r2 = 0.78). The 30 years of ozone measurements compare favorably with those from a series of NASA ozone satellites (r2 = 0.78). In 2016, 194 comparisons of Microtops II and world standard ozone instrument Dobson 83 at the Mauna Loa Observatory agreed within 1.9% (r2 = 0.81). The paper concludes by observing that students and citizen scientists can collect scientifically useful atmospheric data with simple sun photometers that use one or more LEDs as spectrally selective photodiodes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
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17. Mixing Politics and Science in Testing the Hypothesis That Greenhouse Warming Is Causing a Global Increase in Hurricane Intensity.
- Author
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Curry, J. A., Webster, P. J., and Holland, G. J.
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HYPOTHESIS ,GLOBAL warming research ,GLOBAL temperature changes ,GREENHOUSE effect ,CLIMATOLOGY ,HURRICANES ,HURRICANE Katrina, 2005 ,DECISION making ,WORLD Wide Web - Abstract
The 2005 Atlantic hurricane season was the most active and costly season on record. Recent publications linking an increase in hurricane intensity to increasing tropical sea surface temperatures have fueled the debate on whether or not global warming is causing an increase in hurricane intensity. Because of the substantial implications of the hurricane–global warming issue for society and the immediate policy relevance associated with decision making related to Hurricane Katrina, attacks and rebuttals related to this research are being made in the media and on the World Wide Web without the rigor or accountability expected of scientific discourse. In this paper, we aim to promote a balanced and thoughtful examination of this subject by
- : clarifying the debate surrounding the subject as to whether or not global warming is causing an increase in global hurricane intensity, : illustrating a methodology of hypothesis testing to address multiple criticisms of a complex hypothesis that involves a causal chain, and : providing a case study of the impact of politics, the media, and the World Wide Web on the scientific process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
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18. A MINIMUM STANDARD FOR PUBLISHING COMPUTATIONAL RESULTS IN THE WEATHER AND CLIMATE SCIENCES.
- Author
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IRVING, DAMIEN
- Subjects
WEATHER forecasting ,METEOROLOGY ,CLIMATOLOGY ,ATMOSPHERIC sciences ,PUBLISHING - Abstract
Weather and climate science has undergone a computational revolution in recent decades, to the point where all modern research relies heavily on software and code. Despite this profound change in the research methods employed by weather and climate scientists, the reporting of computational results has changed very little in relevant academic journals. This lag has led to something of a reproducibility crisis, whereby it is impossible to replicate and verify most of today's published computational results. While it is tempting to simply decry the slow response of journals and funding agencies in the face of this crisis, there are very few examples of reproducible weather and climate research upon which to base new communication standards. In an attempt to address this deficiency, this essay describes a procedure for reporting computational results that was employed in a recent Journal of Climate paper. The procedure was developed to be consistent with recommended computational best practices and seeks to minimize the time burden on authors, which has been identified as the most important barrier to publishing code. It should provide a starting point for weather and climate scientists looking to publish reproducible research, and it is proposed that journals could adopt the procedure as a minimum standard. INSETS: THE REGULAR SCIENTIST;EXAMPLE COMPUTATION SECTION;EXAMPLE LOG FILE. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
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19. The Making of a Metric: Co-Producing Decision-Relevant Climate Science.
- Author
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Jagannathan, Kripa, Jones, Andrew D., and Ray, Isha
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CLIMATOLOGY ,WATER management ,PARAMETER identification ,ADAPTIVE natural resource management ,INFORMATION needs - Abstract
Developing decision-relevant science for adaptation requires the identification of climatic parameters that are both actionable for practitioners as well as tractable for modelers. In many sectors, these decision-relevant climatic metrics and the approaches that enable their identification remain largely unknown. "Co-production" of science with scientists and decision-makers is one potential way to identify these metrics, but there is little research describing specific and successful co-production approaches. This paper examines the negotiations and outcomes from Project Hyperion, wherein scientists and water managers jointly developed decision-relevant climatic metrics for adaptive water management. We identify successful co-production strategies by analyzing the project's numerous back-and-forth engagements and tracing the evolution of the science during these engagements. We found that effective mediation between scientists and managers needed dedicated "boundary spanners" with significant modeling expertise. Translating practitioners' information needs into tractable climatic metrics required direct and indirect methods of eliciting knowledge. We identified four indirect methods that were particularly salient for extracting tacitly held knowledge and enabling shared learning: developing a hierarchical framework linking management issues with metrics, starting discussions from the planning challenges, collaboratively exploring the planning relevance of new scientific capabilities, and using analogies of other "good" metrics. The decision-relevant metrics we developed provide insights into advancing adaptation-relevant climate science in the water sector. The co-production strategies we identified can be used to design and implement productive scientist–decision-maker interactions. Overall, the approaches and metrics we developed can help climate science to expand in new and more use-inspired directions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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20. Facility for Weather and Climate Assessments (FACTS): A Community Resource for Assessing Weather and Climate Variability.
- Author
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Murray, Donald, Hoell, Andrew, Hoerling, Martin, Perlwitz, Judith, Xiao-Wei Quan, Allured, Dave, Tao Zhang, Eischeid, Jon, Smith, Catherine A., Barsugli, Joseph, McWhirter, Jeff, Kreutzer, Chris, and Webb, Robert S.
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COMMUNITY life ,WEATHER ,CLIMATOLOGY ,DOWNLOADING ,PHYSICAL sciences - Abstract
The Facility for Weather and Climate Assessments (FACTS) developed at the NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory is a freely available resource that provides the science community with analysis tools; multimodel, multiforcing climate model ensembles; and observational/reanalysis datasets for addressing a wide class of problems on weather and climate variability and its causes. In this paper, an overview of the datasets, the visualization capabilities, and data dissemination techniques of FACTS is presented. In addition, two examples are given that show the use of the interactive analysis and visualization feature of FACTS to explore questions related to climate variability and trends. Furthermore, we provide examples from published studies that have used data downloaded from FACTS to illustrate the types of research that can be pursued with its unique collection of datasets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
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21. Data Rescue in the Southeast Asia and South Pacific Region: Challenges and Opportunities.
- Author
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Page, Cher M., Nicholls, Neville, Plummer, Neil, Trewin, Blair, Manton, Mike, Alexander, Lisa, Chambers, Lynda E., Youngeun Choi, Collins, Dean A., Gosai, Ashmita, Della-Marta, Paul, Haylock, Malcolm R., Inape, Kasis, Laurent, Victoire, Maitrepierre, Luc, Makmur, Erwin E.P., Nakamigawa, Hiroshi, Ouprasitwong, Nongnat, McGree, Simon, and Pahalad, Janita
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CLIMATOLOGY ,METEOROLOGY ,ELECTRONIC data processing ,DATABASE management ,INFORMATION storage & retrieval systems - Abstract
Discusses the World Meteorological Organization's Data Rescue climate project in the Southeast Asia and South Pacific Region. Status of climate records in the region; Benefits of digitized data; Challenges to data rescue.
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- 2004
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22. The TIGGE Project and Its Achievements.
- Author
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Swinbank, Richard, Kyouda, Masayuki, Buchanan, Piers, Froude, Lizzie, Hamill, Thomas M., Hewson, Tim D., Keller, Julia H., Matsueda, Mio, Methven, John, Pappenberger, Florian, Scheuerer, Michael, Titley, Helen A., Wilson, Laurence, and Yamaguchi, Munehiko
- Subjects
NUMERICAL weather forecasting ,WEATHER forecasting ,CLIMATOLOGY ,GEOPHYSICAL prediction ,TROPICAL cyclones ,INTERNATIONAL cooperation - Abstract
The International Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) was a major component of The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) research program, whose aim is to accelerate improvements in forecasting high-impact weather. By providing ensemble prediction data from leading operational forecast centers, TIGGE has enhanced collaboration between the research and operational meteorological communities and enabled research studies on a wide range of topics. The paper covers the objective evaluation of the TIGGE data. For a range of forecast parameters, it is shown to be beneficial to combine ensembles from several data providers in a multimodel grand ensemble. Alternative methods to correct systematic errors, including the use of reforecast data, are also discussed. TIGGE data have been used for a range of research studies on predictability and dynamical processes. Tropical cyclones are the most destructive weather systems in the world and are a focus of multimodel ensemble research. Their extratropical transition also has a major impact on the skill of midlatitude forecasts. We also review how TIGGE has added to our understanding of the dynamics of extratropical cyclones and storm tracks. Although TIGGE is a research project, it has proved invaluable for the development of products for future operational forecasting. Examples include the forecasting of tropical cyclone tracks, heavy rainfall, strong winds, and flood prediction through coupling hydrological models to ensembles. Finally, the paper considers the legacy of TIGGE. We discuss the priorities and key issues in predictability and ensemble forecasting, including the new opportunities of convective-scale ensembles, links with ensemble data assimilation methods, and extension of the range of useful forecast skill. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. THE BIRMINGHAM URBAN CLIMATE LABORATORY.
- Author
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CHAPMAN, LEE, MULLER, CATHERINE L., YOUNG, DUICK T., WARREN, ELLIOTT L., GRIMMOND, C. S. B., XIAO-MING CAI, and FERRANTI, EMMA J. S.
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC sciences ,METEOROLOGICAL research ,HEAT waves (Meteorology) ,CROWDSOURCING ,CLIMATOLOGY - Abstract
The Birmingham Urban Climate Laboratory (BUCL) is a near-real-time, high-resolution urban meteorological network (UMN) of automatic weather stations and inexpensive, nonstandard air temperature sensors. The network has recently been implemented with an initial focus on monitoring urban heat, infrastructure, and health applications. A number of UMNs exist worldwide; however, BUCL is novel in its density, the low-cost nature of the sensors, and the use of proprietary Wi-Fi networks. This paper provides an overview of the logistical aspects of implementing a UMN test bed at such a density, including selecting appropriate urban sites; testing and calibrating low-cost, nonstandard equipment; implementing strict quality-assurance/quality-control mechanisms (including metadata); and utilizing preexisting Wi-Fi networks to transmit data. Also included are visualizations of data collected by the network, including data from the July 2013 U.K. heatwave as well as highlighting potential applications. The paper is an open invitation to use the facility as a test bed for evaluating models and/or other nonstandard observation techniques such as those generated via crowdsourcing techniques. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. Stronger Climate Resilience with Insurance.
- Author
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Erhardt, Robert, Bell, Jesse, Blanton, Brian, Nutter, Frank, Robinson, Megan, and Smith, Richard
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FLOOD risk ,INSURANCE ,CLIMATOLOGY ,CLIMATE change detection ,CLIMATE change research ,TECHNOLOGY ,AGRICULTURAL economics - Abstract
What: Fifty-seven active researchers from climate science, insurance and reinsurance, and climate change adaptation discussed the intersection of these three research communities and developed actionable research paths forward for the insurance industry to lead climate adaptation. On the connection between climate change and insurance, Evan Mills wrote in I Science i that "insurance is a form of adaptive capacity" ([7]). To address this question, researchers representing the climate science, insurance, and climate adaptation communities gathered at the Nexus of Climate Data, Insurance, and Adaptive Capacity I , i in November 2018. Derek Arndt, chief of climate monitoring at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), spoke about freely available sources of climate data and information and introduced the supporting role NOAA/NCEI can play. [Extracted from the article]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
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25. Recent Third Pole's Rapid Warming Accompanies Cryospheric Melt and Water Cycle Intensification and Interactions between Monsoon and Environment: Multidisciplinary Approach with Observations, Modeling, and Analysis.
- Author
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Yao, Tandong, Xue, Yongkang, Chen, Deliang, Chen, Fahu, Thompson, Lonnie, Cui, Peng, Koike, Toshio, Lau, William K.-M., Lettenmaier, Dennis, Mosbrugger, Volker, Zhang, Renhe, Xu, Baiqing, Dozier, Jeff, Gillespie, Thomas, Gu, Yu, Kang, Shichang, Piao, Shilong, Sugimoto, Shiori, Ueno, Kenichi, and Wang, Lei
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,CLIMATOLOGY ,CLIMATE change ,REMOTE sensing ,METEOROLOGICAL precipitation - Abstract
The Third Pole (TP) is experiencing rapid warming and is currently in its warmest period in the past 2,000 years. This paper reviews the latest development in multidisciplinary TP research associated with this warming. The rapid warming facilitates intense and broad glacier melt over most of the TP, although some glaciers in the northwest are advancing. By heating the atmosphere and reducing snow/ice albedo, aerosols also contribute to the glaciers melting. Glacier melt is accompanied by lake expansion and intensification of the water cycle over the TP. Precipitation has increased over the eastern and northwestern TP. Meanwhile, the TP is greening and most regions are experiencing advancing phenological trends, although over the southwest there is a spring phenological delay mainly in response to the recent decline in spring precipitation. Atmospheric and terrestrial thermal and dynamical processes over the TP affect the Asian monsoon at different scales. Recent evidence indicates substantial roles that mesoscale convective systems play in the TP's precipitation as well as an association between soil moisture anomalies in the TP and the Indian monsoon. Moreover, an increase in geohazard events has been associated with recent environmental changes, some of which have had catastrophic consequences caused by glacial lake outbursts and landslides. Active debris flows are growing in both frequency of occurrences and spatial scale. Meanwhile, new types of disasters, such as the twin ice avalanches in Ali in 2016, are now appearing in the region. Adaptation and mitigation measures should be taken to help societies' preparation for future environmental challenges. Some key issues for future TP studies are also discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. A Call for the Evaluation of Web-Based Climate Data and Analysis Tools.
- Author
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VanderMolen, Kristin, Wall, Tamara U., and Daudert, Britta
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CLIMATOLOGY ,WEATHER forecasting ,DATA analysis ,WEB-based user interfaces ,DECISION making - Abstract
Researchers are producing an ever greater number of web-based climate data and analysis tools in support of natural resource research and management. Yet the apparent absence or underreporting of evaluation in the development of these applications has raised questions as to whether, by whom, and for what they are utilized, and, relatedly, whether they meet the rationale for their development. This paper joins recent efforts to address these questions by introducing one approach to evaluation—developmental evaluation—and reporting on its use in the evaluation of the Southwest Climate and Environmental Information Collaborative (SCENIC). A web interface under development at the Western Regional Climate Center, SCENIC provides access to climate data and analysis tools to environmental scientists in support of natural resource research and management in the southwestern United States. Evaluation findings highlight subtlety in the improvements necessary for ensuring a useful and usable application that could not have been ascertained in the absence of end-user feedback. We therefore urge researchers to systematically evaluate web-based climate data and analysis tools in the interest of ensuring their usefulness, usability, and fulfillment of the proposed rationale. In so doing, we recommend that researchers test and apply established evaluation frameworks, thereby engaging end users directly in the process of application development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Solar Geoengineering Research in India.
- Author
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Bala, G. and Gupta, Akhilesh
- Subjects
SOLAR energy ,ENVIRONMENTAL engineering ,CLIMATE change ,CLIMATOLOGY ,EMISSIONS (Air pollution) ,RESEARCH - Abstract
This article presents a brief account of scientific research into solar geoengineering in India in the last decade. In recent years, solar geoengineering has been proposed as an option to ameliorate the detrimental impacts of climate change in case the required emissions reductions do not take place rapidly. Hundreds of research papers have been published in the last decade by both natural and social scientists on the feasibility, effectiveness, cost, and risks, and the ethical, legal, social, political, and governance dimensions of geoengineering. Most of this research is conducted in the developed world, and very little research or discussion has taken place in the global South. However, it has been argued in several forums that the developing world should have a central role in solar-geoengineering research, discussion, and evaluation for political and moral reasons. We present here a brief account of the Indian scientific research into solar geoengineering. Climate modeling constitutes the major component of this geoengineering-relevant climate science research. The recent funding initiative by the Department of Science and Technology—the main funding agency for scientific research in India—in support of geoengineering modeling research and its efforts to bring natural, social, and political scientists together for an evaluation of solar geoengineering at meetings are also discussed. Finally, the directions for future scientific research into geoengineering in India are a lso discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. The Evolution and Impact of a Meteorological Outreach Program for Public Safety Officials: An Update on the Oklahoma Mesonet's OK-First Program.
- Author
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Hocker, James E., Melvin, Andrea D., Kloesel, Kevin A., Fiebrich, Christopher A., Hill, Robert W., Smith, Richard D., and Piltz, Steven F.
- Subjects
PUBLIC safety ,WEATHER forecasting ,GEOPHYSICAL prediction ,ASTROMETEOROLOGY ,CLIMATOLOGY ,ATMOSPHERIC sciences ,METEOROLOGY - Abstract
Since 1997, the Oklahoma Mesonet (the state's automated mesoscale weather station network) has served a community of more than 1,400 public safety officials (emergency managers, fire officials, law enforcement, etc.) across Oklahoma through a weather data and training program called Oklahoma's First-Response Information Resource System using Telecommunications (OK-First). OK-First provides free weather and radar data interpretation classes to eligible public safety officials and, following successful completion of training, password-protected access to weather data tools including a website and software. The objective of OK-First when it began was to fill significant gaps in weather product training and data access for Oklahoma's public safety community. Though the core mission remains the same 20 years later, many aspects of OK-First have evolved over time, including participant membership, training curriculum, formats of training, training requirements, website and software technology, and program feedback. The purpose of this paper is to provide an update on the Mesonet's OK-First program, with a particular focus on training, tools, and the impact it has had on the public safety community. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Observations for Reanalyses.
- Author
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Brönnimann, Stefan, Stickler, Alexander, Wilkinson, Clive, Allan, Rob, Atkinson, Christopher, Dunn, Robert, Kennedy, John, Rayner, Nick, Saunders, Roger, Titchner, Holly, Buizza, Roberto, Dahlgren, Per, Dee, Dick, Hersbach, Hans, Poli, Paul, Bulygina, Olga, Sterin, Alexander, Gomes, Pedro, Valente, Maria Antonia, and Ventura, Clara
- Subjects
LAND surface temperature ,NUMERICAL weather forecasting ,CRYOSPHERE ,CARBON cycle ,CLIMATOLOGY ,EARTH temperature ,MATHEMATICAL models - Abstract
Global dynamical reanalyses of the atmosphere and ocean fundamentally rely on observations, not just for the assimilation (i.e., for the definition of the state of the Earth system components) but also in many other steps along the production chain. Observations are used to constrain the model boundary conditions, for the calibration or uncertainty determination of other observations, and for the evaluation of data products. This requires major efforts, including data rescue (for historical observations), data management (including metadatabases), compilation and quality control, and error estimation. The work on observations ideally occurs one cycle ahead of the generation cycle of reanalyses, allowing the reanalyses to make full use of it. In this paper we describe the activities within ERA-CLIM2, which range from surface, upper-air, and Southern Ocean data rescue to satellite data recalibration and from the generation of snow-cover products to the development of a global station data metadatabase. The project has not produced new data collections. Rather, the data generated has fed into global repositories and will serve future reanalysis projects. The continuation of this effort is first contingent upon the organization of data rescue and also upon a series of targeted research activities to address newly identified in situ and satellite records. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. Meteorologists' Views About Global Warming: A Survey of American Meteorological Society Professional Members.
- Author
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Stenhouse, Neil, Maibach, Edward, Cobb, Sara, Ban, Ray, Bleistein, Andrea, Croft, Paul, Bierly, Eugene, Seitter, Keith, Rasmussen, Gary, and Leiserowitz, Anthony
- Subjects
METEOROLOGICAL research ,ATMOSPHERIC sciences ,CLIMATE change research ,CLIMATE research ,CLIMATOLOGY - Abstract
Meteorologists and other atmospheric science experts are playing important roles in helping society respond to climate change. However, members of this professional community are not unanimous in their views of climate change, and there has been tension among members of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) who hold different views on the topic. In response, AMS created the Committee to Improve Climate Change Communication to explore and, to the extent possible, resolve these tensions. To support this committee, in January 2012 we surveyed all AMS members with known e-mail addresses, achieving a 26.3% response rate ( n = 1,854). In this paper we tested four hypotheses-1) perceived conflict about global warming will be negatively associated, and 2) climate expertise, 3) liberal political ideology, and 4) perceived scientific consensus will be positively associated-with 1) higher personal certainty that global warming is happening, 2) viewing the global warming observed over the past 150 years as mostly human caused, and 3) perception of global warming as harmful. All four hypotheses were confirmed. Expertise, ideology, perceived consensus, and perceived conflict were all independently related to respondents' views on climate, with perceived consensus and political ideology being most strongly related. We suggest that AMS should attempt to convey the widespread scientific agreement about climate change; acknowledge and explore the uncomfortable fact that political ideology influences the climate change views of meteorology professionals; refute the idea that those who do hold nonmajority views just need to be 'educated' about climate change; and continue to deal with the conflict among members of the meteorology community. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Ocean-Cloud-Atmosphere-Land Interactions in the Southeastern Pacific: The VOCALS Program.
- Author
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Mechoso, C. R., Wood, R., Weller, R., Bretherton, C. S., Clarke, A. D., Coe, H., Fairall, C., Farrar, J. T., Feingold, G., Garreaud, R., Grados, C., McWilliams, J., de Szoeke, S. P., Yuter, S. E., and Zuidema, P.
- Subjects
MONSOONS ,CLIMATOLOGY ,ATMOSPHERE ,CIRCULATION models ,CLOUDS - Abstract
The present paper describes the Variability of the American Monsoon Systems (VAMOS) Ocean-Cloud-Atmosphere-Land Study (VOCALS), an international research program focused on the improved understanding and modeling of the southeastern Pacific (SEP) climate system on diurnal to interannual time scales. In the framework of the SEP climate, VOCALS has two fundamental objectives: 1) improved simulations by coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (CGCMs), with an emphasis on reducing systematic errors in the region; and 2) improved estimates of the indirect effects of aerosols on low clouds and climate, with an emphasis on the more precise quantification of those effects. VOCALS major scientific activities are outlined, and selected achievements are highlighted. Activities described include monitoring in the region, a large international field campaign (the VOCALS Regional Experiment), and two model assessments. The program has already produced significant advances in the understanding of major issues in the SEP: the coastal circulation and the diurnal cycle, the ocean heat budget, factors controlling precipitation and formation of pockets of open cells in stratocumulus decks, aerosol impacts on clouds, and estimation of the first aerosol indirect effect. The paper concludes with a brief presentation on VOCALS contributions to community capacity building before a summary of scientific findings and remaining questions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. BoBBLE: Ocean–Atmosphere Interaction and Its Impact on the South Asian Monsoon.
- Author
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Vinayachandran, P. N., Thushara, V., George, Jenson, Vijith, V., Bhat, G. S., Nayak, Anoop A., Neema, C. P., Pargaonkar, Shrikant M., Parida, C., Amol, P., Lotliker, A., Dinesh, K., Valluvan, G., Matthews, Adrian J., Kumar, K. Vijay, Kankonkar, A., Gracias, D. G., Vernekar, S., D’Souza, A. C., and Sanchez-Franks, Alejandra
- Subjects
OCEAN-atmosphere interaction ,MONSOONS ,RAINFALL ,CLIMATOLOGY - Abstract
The Bay of Bengal (BoB) plays a fundamental role in controlling the weather systems that make up the South Asian summer monsoon system. In particular, the southern BoB has cooler sea surface temperatures (SST) that influence ocean–atmosphere interaction and impact the monsoon. Compared to the southeastern BoB, the southwestern BoB is cooler, more saline, receives much less rain, and is influenced by the summer monsoon current (SMC). To examine the impact of these features on the monsoon, the BoB Boundary Layer Experiment (BoBBLE) was jointly undertaken by India and the United Kingdom during June–July 2016. Physical and biogeochemical observations were made using a conductivity–temperature–depth (CTD) profiler, five ocean gliders, an Oceanscience Underway CTD (uCTD), a vertical microstructure profiler (VMP), two acoustic Doppler current profilers (ADCPs), Argo floats, drifting buoys, meteorological sensors, and upper-air radiosonde balloons. The observations were made along a zonal section at 8°N between 85.3° and 89°E with a 10-day time series at 8°N, 89°E. This paper presents the new observed features of the southern BoB from the BoBBLE field program, supported by satellite data. Key results from the BoBBLE field campaign show the Sri Lanka dome and the SMC in different stages of their seasonal evolution and two freshening events during which salinity decreased in the upper layer, leading to the formation of thick barrier layers. BoBBLE observations were taken during a suppressed phase of the intraseasonal oscillation; they captured in detail the warming of the ocean mixed layer and the preconditioning of the atmosphere to convection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. High-Resolution Monitoring of Weather Impacts on Infrastructure Networks Using the Internet of Things.
- Author
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Chapman, Lee and Bell, Simon J.
- Subjects
WEATHER forecasting ,INTERNET of things ,COMPUTER network management ,DECISION making in science ,CLIMATOLOGY - Abstract
The impacts of weather and climate on infrastructure are numerous: snow and ice on roads, railway buckling, leaves on the line, wind impacts on power cabling, etc. Advances in modeling mean that these impacts can now be predicted at a high resolution so that mitigation activities can be targeted at vulnerable sections of the infrastructure network. However, while high-resolution models have been in operational use for the last decade, in an environment of increasing litigation, practitioners remain nervous about making mitigation decisions solely based on model output. This means that the verification of forecasts is now needed on a scale previously not required, and it is only with this step that end users will become more open to using risk-based methods (e.g., decision support systems that enable selective salting for winter road maintenance where only the coldest sections of road are treated or localized rail speed restrictions in hot weather as opposed to the blanket restrictions currently used). However, existing monitoring techniques are simply not capable of producing this information. Traditional in situ measurements are too expensive to install in the numbers required and therefore lack the spatial resolution. Conversely, mobile measurements lack the temporal resolution to provide the full picture. This paper outlines how the emerging Internet of Things is starting to provide the enabling technology to saturate our infrastructure with low-cost sensors. In doing so, it will provide unprecedented monitoring of weather impacts as well as facilitating a new generation of products harnessing the benefits of high-resolution observations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. ABOVEGROUND THERMODYNAMIC OBSERVATIONS IN CONVECTIVE STORMS FROM BALLOONBORNE PROBES ACTING AS PSEUDOLAGRANGIAN DRIFTERS.
- Author
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Markowski, Paul M., Richardson, Yvette P., Richardson, Scott J., and Petersson, Anders
- Subjects
WEATHER forecasting ,TROPICAL cyclones ,METEOROLOGY ,CLIMATOLOGY ,ATMOSPHERIC pressure - Abstract
The severe storms research community lacks reliable, aboveground, thermodynamic observations (e.g., temperature, humidity, and pressure) in convective storms. These missing observations are crucial to understanding the behavior of both supercell storms (e.g., the generation, reorientation, and amplification of vorticity necessary for tornado formation) and larger-scale (mesoscale) convective systems (e.g., storm maintenance and the generation of damaging straight-line winds). This paper describes a novel way to use balloonborne probes to obtain aboveground thermodynamic observations. Each probe is carried by a pair of balloons until one of the balloons is jettisoned; the remaining balloon and probe act as a pseudo-Lagrangian drifter that is drawn through the storm. Preliminary data are presented from a pair of deployments in supercell storms in Oklahoma and Kansas during May 2017. The versatility of the observing system extends beyond severe storms applications into any area of mesoscale meteorology in which a large array of aboveground, in situ thermodynamic observations are needed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. THE ARCTIC SYSTEM REANALYSIS, VERSION 2.
- Author
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Bromwich, D. H., Wilson, A. B., Bai, L., Liu, Z., Barlage, M., Shih, C.-F., Maldonado, S., Hines, K. M., Wang, S.-H., Woollen, J., Kuo, B., Lin, H.-C., Wee, T.-K., Serreze, M. C., and Walsh, J. E.
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,WEATHER forecasting ,CLIMATOLOGY ,ATMOSPHERIC circulation ,ATMOSPHERIC pressure - Abstract
The Arctic is a vital component of the global climate, and its rapid environmental evolution is an important element of climate change around the world. To detect and diagnose the changes occurring to the coupled Arctic climate system, a state-of-the-art synthesis for assessment and monitoring is imperative. This paper presents the Arctic System Reanalysis, version 2 (ASRv2), a multiagency, university-led retrospective analysis (reanalysis) of the greater Arctic region using blends of the polar-optimized version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (Polar WRF) Model and WRF three-dimensional variational data assimilated observations for a comprehensive integration of the regional climate of the Arctic for 2000-12. New features in ASRv2 compared to version 1 (ASRv1) include 1) higher-resolution depiction in space (15-km horizontal resolution), 2) updated model physics including subgrid-scale cloud fraction interaction with radiation, and 3) a dual outer-loop routine for more accurate data assimilation. ASRv2 surface and pressure-level products are available at 3-hourly and monthly mean time scales at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). Analysis of ASRv2 reveals superior reproduction of near-surface and tropospheric variables. Broadscale analysis of forecast precipitation and site-specific comparisons of downward radiative fluxes demonstrate significant improvement over ASRv1. The high-resolution topography and land surface, including weekly updated vegetation and realistic sea ice fraction, sea ice thickness, and snow-cover depth on sea ice, resolve finescale processes such as topographically forced winds. Thus, ASRv2 permits a reconstruction of the rapid change in the Arctic since the beginning of the twenty-first century-complementing global reanalyses. ASRv2 products will be useful for environmental models, verification of regional processes, or siting of future observation networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. EVALUATING CLIMATE MODELS WITH AN AFRICAN LENS.
- Author
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James, Rachel, Washington, Richard, Abiodun, Babatunde, Kay, Gillian, Mutemi, Joseph, Pokam, Wilfried, Hart, Neil, Artan, Guleid, and Senior, Cath
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC sciences ,CLIMATOLOGY ,DATA recorders & recording ,CLIMATOLOGY methodology ,GOVERNMENT policy ,ECONOMIC policy - Abstract
Africa lags the rest of the world in climate model development. This paper explores the potential for region-specific, process-based evaluation to promote progress in modeling and confidence assessments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. THE SCIENCE OF WILLIAM M. GRAY: His Contributions to the Knowledge of Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones.
- Author
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KLOTZBACH, PHILIP J., CHAN, JOHNNY C. L., FITZPATRICK, PATRICK J., FRANK, WILLIAM M., LANDSEA, CHRISTOPHER W., and MCBRIDE, JOHN L.
- Subjects
METEOROLOGISTS ,ATMOSPHERIC sciences ,TROPICAL cyclones ,CLIMATOLOGY - Abstract
The article presents a brief career profile of William M. Gray, Who was emeritus professor of atmospheric science at Colorado State University (CSU) and the head of the Tropical Meteorology Project at CSU's Department of Atmospheric Sciences. Gray made extensive contributions to the study of tropical meteorology and tropical cyclones. Several key areas where Gray was a fundamental contributor are mentioned in this article.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. The History of Scholarly Publications of the AMS.
- Author
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Jorgensen, David P.
- Subjects
METEOROLOGICAL research ,PUBLICATIONS ,INFORMATION resources ,PERIODICALS ,PUBLISHING ,MONOGRAPHIC series ,SCHOLARLY publishing ,CLIMATOLOGY - Abstract
The article discusses the history of scholarly publications of the American Meteorological Society (AMS). AMS publishes nine science journals including the "Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences," "Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology," and "Journal of Physical Oceanography," among others. A table that lists the domains of each journal, also called "terms of reference," is provided. AMS also published several monographs and books with specific topics ranging from severe local storms to climate change. The author declares that AMS journals rank high in terms of citations and popularity, as represented by the number of printed pages and number of articles.
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. Reply to “Hurricanes and Global Warming Potential Linkages and Consequences”.
- Author
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Pielke Jr., Roger, Landsea, Christopher, Mayfield, Max, Laver, Jim, and Pasch, Richard
- Subjects
CLIMATE change research ,CLIMATOLOGY ,TROPICAL cyclones ,GLOBAL temperature changes ,GLOBAL warming ,ATMOSPHERIC temperature ,HURRICANES ,STORMS ,ENVIRONMENTAL degradation - Abstract
The article presents comments and criticisms on the published paper "Hurricanes and global warming. This is presentation of the views and scientific perspectives as well as the perspectives on structure and function of scientific assessments given by Anthes et al.(2006) and Pielke et al. (2005). The policy action in question here deals with what could be the most effective policy with regards to tropical cyclone that have an impact in the societal vulnerability. There is an on-going investigation on the issues of research in climate changes and tropical cyclones. Also, a brief enumeration on the criticisms by Pielke et al.(2005) and Anthes et al.(2006) is emphasized.
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. INTRODUCING THE NEXT-GENERATION ADVANCED BASELINE IMAGER ON GOES-R.
- Author
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Schmit, Timothy J., Gunshor, Mathew M., Menzel, W. Paul, Gurka, James J., Li, Jun, and Bachmeier, A. Scott
- Subjects
GEOSTATIONARY satellites ,ARTIFICIAL satellites ,REMOTE sensing ,CLIMATOLOGY ,METEOROLOGY ,EARTH sciences - Abstract
The Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI), designated to be one of the instruments on a future Geo-stationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) series, will introduce a new era for U.S. geostationary environmental remote sensing. ABI is slated to be launched on GOES-R in 2012 and will be used for a wide range of weather, oceanographic, climate, and environmental applications. ABI will have more spectral bands (16), faster imaging (enabling more geographical areas to be scanned), and higher spatial resolution (2 km in the infrared and 1–0.5 km in the visible) than the current GOES Imager. The purposes of the selected spectral bands are summarized in this paper. There will also be improved performance with regard to radiometrics and image navigation/registration. ABI will improve all current GOES Imager products and introduce a host of new products. New capabilities will include detecting upper-level SO
2 plumes, monitoring plant health on a diurnal time scale, inferring cloud-top phase and particle size and other microphysical properties, and quantifying air quality with improved aerosol and smoke detection. ABI will be operating in concert with the GOES-R high spectral resolution sounder, part of the Hyperspec-tral Environmental Suite (HES); several products will be improved through the combination of high spatial resolution imager data with collocated high spectral resolution measurements. This paper introduces the proposed ABI spectral bands, discusses the rationale for their selection, and presents simulated ABI examples gleaned from current airborne and satellite instrument data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. Identifying Underserved End-User Groups in the Provision of Climate Information.
- Author
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Archer, Emma R. M.
- Subjects
CLIMATOLOGY ,CLIMATE change detection ,WEATHER forecasting ,GEOPHYSICAL prediction ,METEOROLOGY - Abstract
Despite improvements in the science of climate forecasting, the application of forecasts faces key challenges. Prominent among such challenges is the fact that certain subgroupings of end users of climate information remain excluded from its potential benefits, or under-served. This paper suggests that such an omission may occur in part due to a lack of sophistication in the way the end user is viewed in the field of forecast applications research. End-user studies working both at generic and finer scales are cited, identifying reasons why certain user groups may be excluded from potential benefits of the forecast system. A case study in the Limpopo Province, South Africa, shows more specifically how one characteristic, namely gender, may determine such exclusion. The paper concludes by considering recommendations to improve inclusivity of climate information systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. I. INTRODUCTION.
- Author
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PETERSON, THONAS C., STOTT, PETER A., HERRING, STEPHANIE C., and HOERUNG, MARTIN P.
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,CLIMATOLOGY ,GLOBAL temperature changes - Abstract
An introduction to the journal is presented in which the editor discusses papers published within the issue about different extreme climate events.
- Published
- 2013
43. Results from the GPCP Algorithm Intercomparison Programme.
- Author
-
Ebert, Elizabeth E., Manton, Michael J., Arkin, Philip A., Allam, Richard J., Holpin, Gary E., and Gruber, Arnold
- Subjects
ALGORITHMS ,METEOROLOGICAL precipitation ,CLIMATOLOGY ,ARTIFICIAL satellites ,RAINFALL ,WEATHER ,RADIOMETERS ,DETECTORS - Abstract
Three algorithm intercomparison experiments have recently been conducted as part of the Global Precipitation Climatology Project with the goal of (a) assessing the skill of current satellite rainfall algorithms, (b) understanding the differences between them, and (c) moving toward improved algorithms. The results of these experiments are summarized and intercompared in this paper. It was found that the skill of satellite rainfall algorithms depends on the regime being analyzed, with algorithms producing very good results in the tropical western Pacific and over Japan and its surrounding waters during summer, but relatively poor rainfall estimates over western Europe during late winter. Monthly rainfall was estimated most accurately by algorithms using geostationary infrared data, but algorithms using polar data [Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer and Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I)] were also able to produce good monthly rainfall estimates when data from two satellites were available. In most eases, SSM/I algorithms showed significantly greater skill than IR-based algorithms in estimating instantaneous rain rates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1996
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. A Historical Overview on the Science of Derechos: Part I: Identification, Climatology, and Societal Impacts.
- Author
-
Squitieri, Brian Joseph, Wade, Andrew R., and Jirak, Israel L.
- Subjects
MESOSCALE convective complexes ,CLIMATOLOGY ,WINDSTORMS ,SCIENTIFIC community ,PERIODICAL articles - Abstract
Research efforts from the last several decades to the present have aimed to better understand when and where derechos occur across the United States and other parts of the world, and what impacts derechos have on society. While the scientific community agrees that derechos are widespread wind storms associated with extratropical mesoscale convective systems, varying quantitative thresholds of what constitutes a derecho exist among peer-reviewed journal articles, introducing ambiguity throughout the literature of what is classified as a derecho, and where derechos most frequently occur. The scientific community would benefit from a summary on the more crucial aspects of derechos and where ambiguities or inconsistencies exist in the literature. Part I of this derecho historical overview discusses the history of derecho identification, and how differences in derecho identification strategies affect our understanding of their spatial climatology across the United States and Europe. Impacts to human life and commerce are also summarized. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Static Energy Deserves Greater Emphasis in the Meteorology Community.
- Author
-
Chavas, Daniel R. and Peters, John
- Subjects
CLIMATOLOGY ,ATMOSPHERIC sciences ,EVIDENCE gaps ,ATMOSPHERE ,WEATHER - Abstract
Potential temperature and static energy are both useful quantities for understanding our atmosphere, yet static energy receives much less attention in weather science relative to climate science. Bridging this conceptual gap is important, as there is a pressing need for our communities to work together to understand and predict changing weather patterns in a warming world. Here we provide evidence for this gap in usage in American Meteorological Society journal publications and in introductory textbooks. We then describe key benefits of static energy for explaining basic concepts in atmospheric science. We encourage scientists and educators unfamiliar with static energy to familiarize themselves with the concept and consider incorporating it into their science and teaching. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches.
- Author
-
Meehl, Gerald A., Goddard, Lisa, Boer, George, Burgman, Robert, Branstator, Grant, Cassou, Christophe, Corti, Susanna, Danabasoglu, Gokhan, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco, Hawkins, Ed, Karspeck, Alicia, Kimoto, Masahide, Kumar, Arun, Matei, Daniela, Mignot, Juliette, Msadek, Rym, Navarra, Antonio, Pohlmann, Holger, Rienecker, Michele, and Rosati, Tony
- Subjects
CLIMATOLOGY ,SURFACE temperature ,SOUTHERN oscillation ,EL Nino ,OCEAN - Abstract
This paper provides an update on research in the relatively new and fast-moving field of decadal climate prediction, and addresses the use of decadal climate predictions not only for potential users of such information but also for improving our understanding of processes in the climate system. External forcing influences the predictions throughout, but their contributions to predictive skill become dominant after most of the improved skill from initialization with observations vanishes after about 6-9 years. Recent multimodel results suggest that there is relatively more decadal predictive skill in the North Atlantic, western Pacific, and Indian Oceans than in other regions of the world oceans. Aspects of decadal variability of SSTs, like the mid-1970s shift in the Pacific, the mid-1990s shift in the northern North Atlantic and western Pacific, and the early-2000s hiatus, are better represented in initialized hindcasts compared to uninitialized simulations. There is evidence of higher skill in initialized multimodel ensemble decadal hindcasts than in single model results, with multimodel initialized predictions for near-term climate showing somewhat less global warming than uninitialized simulations. Some decadal hindcasts have shown statistically reliable predictions of surface temperature over various land and ocean regions for lead times of up to 6-9 years, but this needs to be investigated in a wider set of models. As in the early days of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) prediction, improvements to models will reduce the need for bias adjustment, and increase the reliability, and thus usefulness, of decadal climate predictions in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. HIGHLIGHTS OF A NEW GROUND-BASED, HOURLY GLOBAL LIGHTNING CLIMATOLOGY.
- Author
-
VIRTS, KATRINA S., WALLACE, JOHN M., HUTCHINS, MICHAEL L., and HOLZWORTH, ROBERT H.
- Subjects
LIGHTNING ,EARTH (Planet) ,CLIMATOLOGY ,SEASONAL temperature variations ,THUNDERSTORMS - Abstract
The seasonally and diurnally varying frequency of lightning flashes provides a measure of the frequency of occurrence of intense convection and, as such, is useful in describing the Earth's climate. Here we present a few highlights of a global lightning climatology based on data from the ground-based World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN), for which global observations began in 2004. Because WWLLN monitors global lightning continuously, it samples ~100 times as many lightning strokes/flashes per year as the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission's (TRMM) Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS). Using WWLLN data it is possible to generate a global lightning climatology that captures seasonal variations, including those associated with the midlatitude storm tracks, and resolves the diurnal cycle, thereby illuminating the interplay between sea breezes, mountain-valley wind systems, and remotely forced gravity waves in touching off thunderstorms in a wide variety of geographical settings. The text of the paper shows a few samples of regional, WWLLN-based seasonal (the midlatitude storm tracks and the Mediterranean) and diurnal (the Maritime Continent, the central Andes, and equatorial Africa) climatologies, and the online supplement presents animations of the global seasonal cycle and of the diurnal cycle for the latter regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. LAND SURFACE ALBEDO FROM GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITES.
- Author
-
LATTANZIO, ALESSIO, SCHULZ, JÖRG, MATTHEWS, JESSICA, OKUYAMA, ARATA, THEODORE, BERTRAND, BATES, JOHN J., KNAPP, KENNETH R., KOSAKA, YUKI, and SCHÜLLER, LOTHAR
- Subjects
CLIMATOLOGY ,INFRARED albedo ,GEOSTATIONARY satellites ,ARTIFICIAL satellites ,CLIMATE change - Abstract
Climate has been recognized to have direct and indirect impact on society and economy, both in the long term and daily life. The challenge of understanding the climate system, with its variability and changes, is enormous and requires a joint long-term international commitment from research and governmental institutions. An important international body to coordinate worldwide climate monitoring efforts is the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) has the mission to provide coordination and the requirements for global observations and essential climate variables (ECVs) to monitor climate changes. The WMO-led activity on Sustained, Coordinated Processing of Environmental Satellite Data for Climate Monitoring (SCOPE-CM) is responding to these requirements by ensuring a continuous and sustained generation of climate data records (CDRs) from satellite data in compliance with the principles and guidelines of GCOS. SCOPE-CM represents a new partnership between operational space agencies to coordinate the generation of CDRs. To this end, pilot projects for different ECVs, such as surface albedo, cloud properties, water vapor, atmospheric motion winds, and upper-tropospheric humidity, have been initiated. The coordinated activity on land surface albedo involves the operational meteorological satellite agencies in Europe [European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT)], in Japan [the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)], and in the United States [National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)]. This paper presents the first results toward the generation of a unique land surface albedo CDR, involving five different geostationary satellite positions and approximately three decades of data starting in the 1980s, and combining close to 30 different satellite instruments. INSET: SATELLITE DATA ARCHIVES: JMA, EUMETSAT, AND NOAA. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. THE NORTH AMERICAN REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT PROGRAM.
- Author
-
Mearns, Linda O., Arritt, Ray, Biner, Sébastien, Bukovsky, Melissa S., McGinnis, Seth, Sain, Stephan, Caya, Daniel, Correia Jr., James, Flory, Dave, Gutowsky, William, Takle, Eugene S., Jones, Richard, Leung, Ruby, Moufouma-Okia, Wilfran, McDaniel, Larry, Nunes, Ana M. B., Yun Qian, Roads, John, Sloan, Lisa, and Snyder, Mark
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,CLIMATOLOGY ,CLIMATE change mitigation - Abstract
The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) is an international effort designed to investigate the uncertainties in regional-scale projections of future climate and produce high-resolution climate change scenarios using multiple regional climate models (RCMs) nested within atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) forced with the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) A2 scenario, with a common domain covering the conterminous United States, northern Mexico, and most of Canada. The program also includes an evaluation component (phase I) wherein the participating RCMs, with a grid spacing of 50 km, are nested within 25 years of National Centers for Environmental Prediction-Department of Energy (NCEP-DOE) Reanalysis II. This paper provides an overview of evaluations of the phase I domain-wide simulations focusing on monthly and seasonal temperature and precipitation, as well as more detailed investigation of four subregions. The overall quality of the simulations is determined, comparing the model performances with each other as well as with other regional model evaluations over North America. The metrics used herein do differentiate among the models but, as found in previous studies, it is not possible to determine a "best" model among them. The ensemble average of the six models does not perform best for all measures, as has been reported in a number of global climate model studies. The subset ensemble of the two models using spectral nudging is more often successful for domain-wide root-mean-square error (RMSE), especially for temperature. This evaluation phase of NARCCAP will inform later program elements concerning differentially weighting the models for use in producing robust regional probabilities of future climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. Chilean Wildfires: Probabilistic Prediction, Emergency Response, and Public Communication.
- Author
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Dacre, H. F., Crawford, B. R., Charlton-Perez, A. J., Lopez-Saldana, G., Griffiths, G. H., and Veloso, J. Vicencio
- Subjects
WILDFIRES ,CLIMATOLOGY ,VEGETATION & climate ,WILDFIRE fighters ,EMERGENCY management - Abstract
The 2016/17 wildfire season in Chile was the worst on record, burning more than 600,000 ha. While wildfires are an important natural process in some areas of Chile, supporting its diverse ecosystems, wildfires are also one of the biggest threats to Chile's unique biodiversity and its timber and wine industries. They also pose a danger to human life and property because of the sharp wildland–urban interface that exists in many Chilean towns and cities. Wildfires are, however, difficult to predict because of the combination of physical (meteorology, vegetation, and fuel condition) and human (population density and awareness level) factors. Most Chilean wildfires are started because of accidental ignition by humans. This accidental ignition could be minimized if an effective wildfire warning system alerted the population to the heightened danger of wildfires in certain locations and meteorological conditions. Here, we demonstrate the design of a novel probabilistic wildfire prediction system. The system uses ensemble forecast meteorological data together with a long time series of fire products derived from Earth observation to predict not only fire occurrence but also how intense wildfires could be. The system provides wildfire risk estimation and associated uncertainty for up to six days in advance and communicates it to a variety of end users. The advantage of this probabilistic wildfire warning system over deterministic systems is that it allows users to assess the confidence of a forecast and thus make more informed decisions regarding resource allocation and forest management. The approach used in this study could easily be adapted to communicate other probabilistic forecasts of natural hazards. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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