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Background To develop and validate nomograms that can be used to predict outcomes in individuals suffering alpha‐fetoprotein (AFP) negative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radical resection. Methods A total of 509 AFP‐negative HCC patients who received hepatectomy between January 2009 and March 2013 in our center were randomized into training and validation cohorts. Nomograms for both overall and recurrence‐free survival (OS and RFS, respectively) were established based on the predictors in the training cohort. Nomograms performance and discriminative power were assessed with concordance index (C‐index) values and decision curve analyses (DCA). The results were validated in the validation cohort. Results Alkaline phosphatase, liver cirrhosis, tumor size, satellite lesions, microvascular invasion, and Edmondson‐Steiner grade were significantly linked to OS and RFS. Sex and tumor number were additional predictors for RFS. The OS nomogram had a C‐index value of 0.742, which was better than that for the AJCC eighth edition (0.632), BCLC system (0.553), and JIS score (0.557) (all P, About 30% of HCC patients showed negative serum AFP and had special clinicopathologic characteristics and prognosis. We developed and validated nomograms for predicting prognosis of patients with AFP‐negative HCC after radical resection. Our novel nomograms presented superior performance and discrimination ability than conventional staging systems based on the C‐indexes, calibration curves, decision curve analysis and Kaplan‐Meier curves, which were proposed for clinical decision.

Background To study the influence of preoperative transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) on the incidence of microvascular invasion (MVI) and long‐term survival outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. Methods Between January 1, 2010 and December 1, 2014, consecutive HCC patients who underwent curative liver resection were enrolled in this study. Univariable and multivariable regression analyses were used to identify independent predictive factors of MVI. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to compare the incidences of MVI and prognosis between patients who did and did not receive preoperative TACE. Factors associated with Disease‐Free Survival (DFS) and Overall survival (OS) were identified using Cox regression analyses. Results Of 1624 patients, 590 received preoperative TACE. The incidence of MVI was significantly lower in patients with preoperative TACE than those without preoperative TACE (39.15% vs. 45.36%, p = 0.015). After PSM, the incidences of MVI were similar in the two groups (38.85% vs. 41.10%, p = 0.473). Multivariable regression analysis revealed preoperative TACE to have no impact on the incidence of MVI. Before PSM, survival of patients with preoperative TACE was significantly worse than those without preoperative TACE (p = 0.032 for DFS and p = 0.027 for OS). After PSM, the difference became insignificant (p = 0.465 for DFS and p = 0.307 for OS). After adjustment for other prognostic variables in the propensity‐matched cohort, preoperative TACE was still found not to be associated with DFS and OS after HCC resection. Both before and after PSM, the prognosis of patients was not significantly different between the two groups for BCLC stages 0, A, and B. Conclusions Preoperative TACE did not influence the incidence of MVI and prognosis of patients with HCC who underwent ‘curative’ liver resection., Preoperative TACE did not influence the incidence of MVI and prognosis of patients with HCC who underwent ‘curative’ liver resection.