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Over the last decades, attempts to develop new therapies for acute heart failure (AHF) have largely failed. Limitations in understanding the pathophysiology of AHF, its natural history, the effects of current therapies, the properties of new agents, and, importantly, study designs and execution have contributed to these disappointing results. We propose a novel approach for the development of new agents for AHF. Initial stages of development (proof of activity and phase IIa studies) should provide a granular understanding of the mechanism of the actions and pharmacodynamic properties of the new intervention, first in animal models of HF and then in small tightly designed human studies. This will facilitate the identification of patients who are more likely to show a favorable response. In phase II studies (proof of concept), the assessment of efficacy and final dose selection should not be based on surrogate endpoints but rather on clinically meaningful endpoints such as the relief of AHF symptoms, i.e. breathlessness, as well as consistent trends in the relief of other symptoms and clinical signs of recurrence (worsening HF either in hospital or after discharge) and short-term mortality. Lastly, other safety parameters, i.e. effects such as renal and myocardial damage, should be assessed. In some instances, the decision to move to phase III may be based on clear consistent trends rather than on 1 statistically significant endpoint. In studies that confirm clinical utility (phase III), efficacy will be judged relative to the magnitude of the benefit, i.e. improvements in symptoms (breathlessness), the prevention of symptom recurrence, and short-term mortality, balanced by the consideration of safety signals including an estimation of absolute mortality. Copyright (C) 2010 S. Karger AG, Basel

Objectives: To evaluate physician-determined worsening heart failure (PD-WHF) in patients admitted with acute heart failure (AHF). Methods: The PROTECT pilot study evaluated rolofylline, an adenosine A1 receptor antagonist, versus placebo in patients with AHF and renal impairment. Signs and symptoms of heart failure (HF) and diuretic administration were prospectively recorded daily for 7 days and patients were followed for 60 days. Patients were categorized into three groups: (A) PD-WHF, based on worsening symptoms and signs of HF and need for additional intravenous (IV) or mechanical therapy (n = 29); (B) increased IV diuretic therapy without PD-WHF (n = 61), and (C) neither PD-WHF nor increase in IV diuretic dose (n = 211). Results: Patients in group A had slower resolution of dyspnea, longer mean (±SD) length of hospitalization (13.8 ± 6.8 vs. 10.5 ± 8.5 and 9.3 ± 5.9 days in groups B and C, respectively; p < 0.05 for both), and higher 60-day death and cardiovascular or renal readmission rates [49.7 (95% confidence interval: 33.1–69.1) vs. 37.3 (26.4–50.9) vs. 19.5% (14.7–25.6) in groups B and C, respectively]. PD-WHF was a strong independent predictor of length of stay and 60-day death and cardiovascular or renal readmission. Conclusions: PD-WHF may be an indicator of short-term risk and treatment efficacy in AHF.

The risk stratification of patients with acute heart failure (AHF) has been addressed repeatedly in recent years. Low oxygen saturation (SaO2) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) are signs of impending respiratory and circulatory failure that can be obtained quickly in patients with AHF. Methods: Admissions for AHF (340 patients) in a city hospital were recorded and patients were followed for symptoms of heart failure, re-admission and mortality for 6 months. Results: Patients with low (O2 had higher rates of worsening heart failure at 1 month and 6 months (p < 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively) and higher rates of mortality (p = 0.013). SBP O2 and SBP had a particularly strong prognostic implication. Patients who developed frank respiratory failure and/or circulatory failure fared the worst. Patients requiring ventilatory support had a recurrent heart failure rate of 81% and a mortality of 41% at 1 month of follow-up. Patients requiring intravenous pressors without respiratory mechanical support had a recurrent heart failure rate of 72% and a mortality rate of 28% at 1 month (p < 0.001). Conclusions: Simple assessment of impending respiratory and circulatory failure at admission by measuring SaO2 and SBP enables rapid and accurate risk stratification of patients admitted for AHF. This may enable more aggressive therapeutic interventions for stabilization and treatment of AHF.

Background: Previous studies have suggested that a lower lymphocyte ratio (Ly%) in the white blood cell (WBC) differential count is related to worse outcomes in patients with acute heart failure (AHF) and other cardiovascular disorders. Methods: In the Pre-RELAX-AHF study, 234 patients with AHF, systolic blood pressure >125 mm Hg and brain natriuretic peptide ≧350 pg/ml or equivalent were randomized to 1 of 4 intravenous doses of relaxin or placebo and followed up for 6 months following randomization. Complete blood count and differential were performed by a central laboratory at baseline and then daily to day 5 and on day 14. Results: The WBC count by itself was not associated with measures of disease severity or outcome, and patients with Ly% 13%, except for a higher baseline WBC count, elevated baseline glucose, older age and higher rates of peripheral vascular disease. However, patients with Ly% Conclusions: Despite no association with any baseline characteristic known to strongly predict outcome in AHF, low Ly% is associated with less symptom relief and worse in-hospital and postdischarge clinical outcomes.