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Real-world non-autonomous systems are open, out-of-equilibrium systems that evolve in and are driven by temporally varying environments. Such systems can show multiple timescale and transient dynamics together with transitions to very different and, at times, even disastrous dynamical regimes. Since such critical transitions disrupt the systems' intended or desired functionality, it is crucial to understand the underlying mechanisms, to identify precursors of such transitions, and to reliably detect them in time series of suitable system observables to enable forecasts. This review critically assesses the various steps of investigation involved in time-series-analysis-based detection of critical transitions in real-world non-autonomous systems: from the data recording to evaluating the reliability of offline and online detections. It will highlight pros and cons to stimulate further developments, which would be necessary to advance understanding and forecasting nonlinear behavior such as critical transitions in complex systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate topological and spectral properties of models of European and US-American power grids and of paradigmatic network models as well as their implications for the synchronization dynamics of phase oscillators with heterogeneous natural frequencies. We employ the complex-valued order parameter—a widely used indicator for phase ordering—to assess the synchronization dynamics and observe the order parameter to exhibit either constant or periodic or non-periodic, possibly chaotic temporal evolutions for a given coupling strength but depending on initial conditions and the systems' disorder. Interestingly, both topological and spectral characteristics of the power grids point to a diminished capability of these networks to support a temporarily stable synchronization dynamics. We find non-trivial commonalities between the synchronization dynamics of oscillators on seemingly opposing topologies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Constructing networks from empirical time-series data is often faced with the as yet unsolved issue of how to avoid potentially superfluous network constituents. Such constituents can result, e.g., from spatial and temporal oversampling of the system's dynamics, and neglecting them can lead to severe misinterpretations of network characteristics ranging from global to local scale. We derive a perturbation-based method to identify potentially superfluous network constituents that makes use of vertex and edge centrality concepts. We investigate the suitability of our approach through analyses of weighted small-world, scale-free, random, and complete networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ordinal time series analysis is based on the idea to map time series to ordinal patterns, i.e., order relations between the values of a time series and not the values themselves, as introduced in 2002 by C. Bandt and B. Pompe. Despite a resulting loss of information, this approach captures meaningful information about the temporal structure of the underlying system dynamics as well as about properties of interactions between coupled systems. This—together with its conceptual simplicity and robustness against measurement noise—makes ordinal time series analysis well suited to improve characterization of the still poorly understood spatiotemporal dynamics of the human brain. This minireview briefly summarizes the state-of-the-art of uni- and bivariate ordinal time-series-analysis techniques together with applications in the neurosciences. It will highlight current limitations to stimulate further developments, which would be necessary to advance characterization of evolving functional brain networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We study patterns of partial synchronization in a network of FitzHugh–Nagumo oscillators with empirical structural connectivity measured in human subjects. We report the spontaneous occurrence of synchronization phenomena that closely resemble the ones seen during epileptic seizures in humans. In order to obtain deeper insights into the interplay between dynamics and network topology, we perform long-term simulations of oscillatory dynamics on different paradigmatic network structures: random networks, regular nonlocally coupled ring networks, ring networks with fractal connectivities, and small-world networks with various rewiring probability. Among these networks, a small-world network with intermediate rewiring probability best mimics the findings achieved with the simulations using the empirical structural connectivity. For the other network topologies, either no spontaneously occurring epileptic-seizure-related synchronization phenomena can be observed in the simulated dynamics, or the overall degree of synchronization remains high throughout the simulation. This indicates that a topology with some balance between regularity and randomness favors the self-initiation and self-termination of episodes of seizure-like strong synchronization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The collective dynamics of complex networks of FitzHugh–Nagumo units exhibits rare and recurrent events of high amplitude (extreme events) that are preceded by so-called proto-events during which a certain fraction of the units become excited. Although it is well known that a sufficiently large fraction of excited units is required to turn a proto-event into an extreme event, it is not yet clear how the other units are being recruited into the final generation of an extreme event. Addressing this question and mimicking typical experimental situations, we investigate the centrality of edges in time-dependent interaction networks. We derived these networks from time series of the units' dynamics employing a widely used bivariate analysis technique. Using our recently proposed edge-centrality concepts together with an edge-based network decomposition technique, we observe that the recruitment is primarily facilitated by sets of certain edges that have no equivalent in the underlying topology. Our finding might aid to improve the understanding of generation of extreme events in natural networked dynamical systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

There is an ongoing debate whether generic early warning signals for critical transitions exist that can be applied across diverse systems. The human epileptic brain is often considered as a prototypical system, given the devastating and, at times, even life-threatening nature of the extreme event epileptic seizure. More than three decades of international effort has successfully identified predictors of imminent seizures. However, the suitability of typically applied early warning indicators for critical slowing down, namely, variance and lag-1 autocorrelation, for indexing seizure susceptibility is still controversially discussed. Here, we investigated long-term, multichannel recordings of brain dynamics from 28 subjects with epilepsy. Using a surrogate-based evaluation procedure of sensitivity and specificity of time-resolved estimates of early warning indicators, we found no evidence for critical slowing down prior to 105 epileptic seizures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Centrality is one of the most fundamental metrics in network science. Despite an abundance of methods for measuring centrality of individual vertices, there are by now only a few metrics to measure centrality of individual edges. We modify various, widely used centrality concepts for vertices to those for edges, in order to find which edges in a network are important between other pairs of vertices. Focusing on the importance of edges, we propose an edge-centrality-based network decomposition technique to identify a hierarchy of sets of edges, where each set is associated with a different level of importance. We evaluate the efficiency of our methods using various paradigmatic network models and apply the novel concepts to identify important edges and important sets of edges in a commonly used benchmark model in social network analysis, as well as in evolving epileptic brain networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We study numerically the dynamics of a network of all-to-all-coupled, identical sub-networks consisting of diffusively coupled, non-identical FitzHugh–Nagumo oscillators. For a large range of within- and between-network couplings, the network exhibits a variety of dynamical behaviors, previously described for single, uncoupled networks. We identify a region in parameter space in which the interplay of within- and between-network couplings allows for a richer dynamical behavior than can be observed for a single sub-network. Adjoining this atypical region, our network of networks exhibits transitions to multistability. We elucidate bifurcations governing the transitions between the various dynamics when crossing this region and discuss how varying the couplings affects the effective structure of our network of networks. Our findings indicate that reducing a network of networks to a single (but bigger) network might not be accurate enough to properly understand the complexity of its dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate the temporal and spatial variability of the importance of brain regions in evolving epileptic brain networks. We construct these networks from multiday, multichannel electroencephalographic data recorded from 17 epilepsy patients and use centrality indices to assess the importance of brain regions. Time-resolved indications of highest importance fluctuate over time to a greater or lesser extent, however, with some periodic temporal structure that can mostly be attributed to phenomena unrelated to the disease. In contrast, relevant aspects of the epileptic process contribute only marginally. Indications of highest importance also exhibit pronounced alternations between various brain regions that are of relevance for studies aiming at an improved understanding of the epileptic process with graph-theoretical approaches. Nonetheless, these findings may guide new developments for individualized diagnosis, treatment, and control. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate the relative merit of phase-based methods for inferring directional couplings in complex networks of weakly interacting dynamical systems from multivariate time-series data. We compare the evolution map approach and its partialized extension to each other with respect to their ability to correctly infer the network topology in the presence of indirect directional couplings for various simulated experimental situations using coupled model systems. In addition, we investigate whether the partialized approach allows for additional or complementary indications of directional interactions in evolving epileptic brain networks using intracranial electroencephalographic recordings from an epilepsy patient. For such networks, both direct and indirect directional couplings can be expected, given the brain's connection structure and effects that may arise from limitations inherent to the recording technique. Our findings indicate that particularly in larger networks (number of nodes ≫ 10), the partialized approach does not provide information about directional couplings extending the information gained with the evolution map approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We study the impact of dynamical and structural heterogeneity on the collective dynamics of large small-world networks of pulse-coupled integrate-and-fire oscillators endowed with refractory periods and time delay. Depending on the choice of homogeneous control parameters (here, refractoriness and coupling strength), these networks exhibit a large spectrum of dynamical behaviors, including asynchronous, partially synchronous, and fully synchronous states. Networks exhibit transitions between these dynamical behaviors upon introducing heterogeneity. We show that the probability for a network to exhibit a certain dynamical behavior (network susceptibility) is affected differently by dynamical and structural heterogeneity and depends on the respective homogeneous dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate the relative merit of phase-based methods--mean phase coherence, unweighted and weighted phase lag index--for estimating the strength of interactions between dynamical systems from empirical time series which are affected by common sources and noise. By numerically analyzing the interaction dynamics of coupled model systems, we compare these methods to each other with respect to their ability to distinguish between different levels of coupling for various simulated experimental situations. We complement our numerical studies by investigating consistency and temporal variations of the strength of interactions within and between brain regions using intracranial electroencephalographic recordings from an epilepsy patient. Our findings indicate that the unweighted and weighted phase lag index are less prone to the influence of common sources but that this advantage may lead to constrictions limiting the applicability of these methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Distinguishing between direct and indirect connections is essential when interpreting network structures in terms of dynamical interactions and stability. When constructing networks from climate data the nodes are usually defined on a spatial grid. The edges are usually derived from a bivariate dependency measure, such as Pearson correlation coefficients or mutual information. Thus, the edges indistinguishably represent direct and indirect dependencies. Interpreting climate data fields as realizations of Gaussian Random Fields (GRFs), we have constructed networks according to the Gaussian Graphical Model (GGM) approach. In contrast to the widely used method, the edges of GGM networks are based on partial correlations denoting direct dependencies. Furthermore, GRFs can be represented not only on points in space, but also by expansion coefficients of orthogonal basis functions, such as spherical harmonics. This leads to a modified definition of network nodes and edges in spectral space, which is motivated from an atmospheric dynamics perspective. We construct and analyze networks from climate data in grid point space as well as in spectral space, and derive the edges from both Pearson and partial correlations. Network characteristics, such as mean degree, average shortest path length, and clustering coefficient, reveal that the networks posses an ordered and strongly locally interconnected structure rather than small-world properties. Despite this, the network structures differ strongly depending on the construction method. Straightforward approaches to infer networks from climate data while not regarding any physical processes may contain too strong simplifications to describe the dynamics of the climate system appropriately. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We present Conedy, a performant scientific tool to numerically investigate dynamics on complex networks. Conedy allows to create networks and provides automatic code generation and compilation to ensure performant treatment of arbitrary node dynamics. Conedy can be interfaced via an internal script interpreter or via a Python module. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate the influence of various pathophysiologic and physiologic processes on global statistical properties of epileptic brain networks. We construct binary functional networks from long-term, multichannel electroencephalographic data recorded from 13 epilepsy patients, and the average shortest path length and the clustering coefficient serve as global statistical network characteristics. For time-resolved estimates of these characteristics we observe large fluctuations over time, however, with some periodic temporal structure. These fluctuations can-to a large extent-be attributed to daily rhythms while relevant aspects of the epileptic process contribute only marginally. Particularly, we could not observe clear cut changes in network states that can be regarded as predictive of an impending seizure. Our findings are of particular relevance for studies aiming at an improved understanding of the epileptic process with graph-theoretical approaches. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We consider recent reports on small-world topologies of interaction networks derived from the dynamics of spatially extended systems that are investigated in diverse scientific fields such as neurosciences, geophysics, or meteorology. With numerical simulations that mimic typical experimental situations, we have identified an important constraint when characterizing such networks: indications of a small-world topology can be expected solely due to the spatial sampling of the system along with the commonly used time series analysis based approaches to network characterization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate numerically the collective dynamical behavior of pulse-coupled nonleaky integrate-and-fire neurons that are arranged on a two-dimensional small-world network. To ensure ongoing activity, we impose a probability for spontaneous firing for each neuron. We study network dynamics evolving from different sets of initial conditions in dependence on coupling strength and rewiring probability. Besides a homogeneous equilibrium state for low coupling strength, we observe different local patterns including cyclic waves, spiral waves, and turbulentlike patterns, which—depending on network parameters—interfere with the global collective firing of the neurons. We attribute the various network dynamics to distinct regimes in the parameter space. For the same network parameters different network dynamics can be observed depending on the set of initial conditions only. Such a multistable behavior and the interplay between local pattern formation and global collective firing may be attributable to the spatiotemporal dynamics of biological networks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We assess electrical brain dynamics before, during, and after 100 human epileptic seizures with different anatomical onset locations by statistical and spectral properties of functionally defined networks. We observe a concave-like temporal evolution of characteristic path length and cluster coefficient indicative of a movement from a more random toward a more regular and then back toward a more random functional topology. Surprisingly, synchronizability was significantly decreased during the seizure state but increased already prior to seizure end. Our findings underline the high relevance of studying complex systems from the viewpoint of complex networks, which may help to gain deeper insights into the complicated dynamics underlying epileptic seizures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate assortativity of functional brain networks before, during, and after one-hundred epileptic seizures with different anatomical onset locations. We construct binary functional networks from multi-channel electroencephalographic data recorded from 60 epilepsy patients; and from time-resolved estimates of the assortativity coefficient, we conclude that positive degree-degree correlations are inherent to seizure dynamics. While seizures evolve, an increasing assortativity indicates a segregation of the underlying functional network into groups of brain regions that are only sparsely interconnected, if at all. Interestingly, assortativity decreases already prior to seizure end. Together with previous observations of characteristic temporal evolutions of global statistical properties and synchronizability of epileptic brain networks, our findings may help to gain deeper insights into the complicated dynamics underlying generation, propagation, and termination of seizures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We compare different centrality metrics which aim at an identification of important nodes in complex networks. We investigate weighted functional brain networks derived from multichannel electroencephalograms recorded from 23 healthy subject under resting-state eyes-open or eyes-closed conditions. Although we observe the metrics strength, closeness, and betweenness centrality to be related to each other, they capture different spatial and temporal aspects of important nodes in these networks associated with behavioral changes. Identifying and characterizing of these nodes thus benefits from the application of several centrality metrics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A correction to the article "From brain to earth and climate systems: Small-world interaction networks or not?" published in the March 31, 2010 issue of the journal is presented.