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Attrition due to nonclinical safety represents a major issue for the productivity of pharmaceutical research and development (R&D) organizations, especially during the compound optimization stages of drug discovery and the early stages of clinical development. Focusing on decreasing nonclinical safety-related attrition is not a new concept, and various approaches have been experimented with over the last two decades. Front-loading testing funnels in Discovery with in vitro toxicity assays designed to rapidly identify unfavorable molecules was the approach adopted by most pharmaceutical R&D organizations a few years ago. However, this approach has also a non-negligible opportunity cost. Hence, significant refinements to the "fail early, fail often" paradigm have been proposed recently to reflect the complexity of accurately categorizing compounds with early data points without taking into account other important contextual aspects, in particular efficacious systemic and tissue exposures. This review provides an overview of toxicology approaches and models that can be used in pharmaceutical Discovery at the series/lead identification and lead optimization stages to guide and inform chemistry efforts, as well as a personal view on how to best use them to meet nonclinical safety-related attrition objectives consistent with a sustainable pharmaceutical R&D model. The scope of this review is limited to small molecules, as large molecules are associated with challenges that are quite different. Finally, a perspective on how several emerging technologies may impact toxicity evaluation is also provided.

Currently, the only way to identify nongenotoxic hepatocarcinogens is through long-term repeat dose studies such as the 2 year rodent carcinogenicity assay. Such assays are both time consuming and expensive and require large amounts of active pharmaceutical or chemical ingredients. Thus, the results of the 2 year assay are not known until very late in the discovery and development process for new pharmaceutical entities. Although in many cases nongenotoxic carcinogenicity in rodents is considered to be irrelevant for humans, a positive finding in a 2 year carcinogenicity assay may increase the number of studies to demonstrate the lack of relevance to humans, delay final submission and subsequent registration of a product, and may result in a "black box" carcinogenicity warning on the label. To develop early identifiers of carcinogenicity, we applied transcription profiling using several prototype rodent genotoxic and nongenotoxic carcinogens, as well as two noncarcinogenic hepatotoxicants, in a 5 day repeat dose in vivo toxicology study. Fluorescent-labeled probes generated from liver mRNA prepared from male Sprague-Dawley rats treated with one of three dose levels of bemitradine, clofibrate, doxylamine, methapyrilene, phenobarbital, tamoxifen, 2-acetylaminofluorene, 4-acetylaminofluorene, or isoniazid were hybridized against rat cDNA microarrays. Correlation of the resulting data with an estimated carcinogenic potential of each compound and dose level identified several candidate molecular markers of rodent nongenotoxic carcinogenicity, including transforming growth factor-beta stimulated clone 22 and NAD(P)H cytochrome P450 oxidoreductase.