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Background: During therapy to relieve congestion in advanced heart failure, cardiac filling pressures can frequently be reduced to near-normal levels with improved cardiac output. It is not known whether the early hemodynamic improvement and drug response can be maintained long term., Methods and Results: After referral for cardiac transplantation with initially severe hemodynamic decompensation, 25 patients survived without transplantation to undergo hemodynamic reassessment after 8+/-6 months of treatment tailored to early hemodynamic response. Initial changes included net diuresis, increased ACE inhibitor doses, and frequent addition of nitrates. After 8 months of therapy, early reductions were sustained for pulmonary wedge pressure (24+/-9 to 15+/-5 mm Hg early; 12+/-6 mm Hg late) and systemic vascular resistance (1651+/-369 to 1207+/-281 dynes x s(-1) x cm(-5) early; 1003+/-193 dynes x s(-1) x cm(-5) late). Acute response to doses persisted at reevaluation. Sustained reduction in filling pressures was accompanied by a progressive increase in stroke volume (42+/-10 to 56+/-13 mL early; 79+/-20 mL late), improved functional class, and freedom from resting symptoms. Study design did not control for amiodarone, which was initiated for arrhythmias in 12 patients and associated with greater improvement in cardiac index (1.8 to 3.2 L min(-1) x m(-2) late on amiodarone versus 2.0 to 2.6 L x min(-1) x m(-2), P<.05)., Conclusions: During chronic therapy tailored to early hemodynamic response in advanced heart failure, acute vasodilator response persists, and near-normal filling pressures can be maintained in patients who survive without transplantation. Stroke volumes at low filling pressures increase further over time. Chronic hemodynamic improvement was accompanied by symptomatic improvement, but the contributions of the monitored hemodynamic approach, increased vasodilator doses, and comprehensive outpatient management have not yet been established.

Background: Each month, the number of transplant candidates added to the waiting list exceeds the number of transplantations performed, and many outpatients deteriorate to require transplantation urgently. The current list of 2400 candidates and the average wait of 8 months continue to increase., Methods and Results: To determine the size at which the outpatient and critical candidate pools will stabilize, population models were constructed using current statistics for donor hearts, candidate listing, sudden death, and outpatient decline to urgent status and revised to predict the impact of alterations in policies of candidate listing. If current practices continue, within 48 months the predicted list will stabilize as the sum of an estimated 270 hospitalized candidates, among whom, together with newly listed urgent candidates, all hearts will be distributed and 3700 outpatient candidates with virtually no chance of transplantation unless they deteriorate to an urgent status. Decreasing the upper age limit now to 55 years would reduce the number listed each month by 30% and result within 48 months in a list of only 1490. The list could also be decreased by 30%, however, if it were possible to list only a candidate group with an 80% chance (compared with 52% estimated currently) of sudden death or deterioration during the next year. With this strategy, the waiting list would equilibrate within 48 months to one-third the current size, with 50% of hearts for outpatient candidates, who would then have an 11% chance each month of receiving a heart compared with 0% if recent policies prevail. Total deaths, with and without transplantation, would be minimized by this rigorous selection of outpatient candidates., Conclusions: This study implies that immediate provisions should be made to limit candidate listing and revise expectations to reflect the diminishing likelihood of transplantation for outpatient candidates. Future emphasis should be on improved selection of candidates at highest risk without transplantation.