1. Does COVID-19 lockdown restriction reduce graduate mobility intentions in China? Learning from high frequency job searching behaviors.
- Author
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Yao, Xichen, Liu, Yeqing, Wang, Lu, and Luo, Yichen
- Subjects
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JOB hunting , *STAY-at-home orders , *SEARCHING behavior , *HUMAN behavior , *CITIES & towns , *CHARGE carrier mobility - Abstract
The migration determinants of graduates are of particular importance for the analysis of regional activities and thus influence city resilience in areas after the COVID-19 pandemic. By constructing a unique dataset from an online recruiting platform , we introduce a new measure of mobility intentions. We also apply the stacked difference-in-differences model to tackle the limitation of staggered treatments with a non-absorbing state brought about by lockdown policies. By comparing intention changes in cities with lockdown regulations to those without such regulations, we conclude that lockdown does influences the decisions of graduates and alter the attractiveness of cities mainly through panic job searching and recruiting digitalization. In a big picture, lockdown causally reduces graduates' mobility intentions by 0.7 %, but this intention increases by 1.2 % after lockdown is lifted. Lockdown policies also affect non-lockdown cities, particularly in cities that are less competitive and those that are in close geographical proximity. We further estimate the effects of lockdown duration and intensity on graduates' mobility intentions and find that full-scale lockdown increases intentions by 2.5 %, whereas partial lockdown increases intentions by only 0.9 %. This study fills the gap between the mobility literature and the COVID-19 literature by establishing the clean lockdown effects on graduate mobility intentions. • Lockdowns change the attractiveness of no locked-down cities to graduate migrants • New graduates cope with the anxiety from lockdowns by engaging in panic job searching • Graduates boost online job searches to offset lost offline recruitment during lockdowns • A data-driven analytical paper uses the large-scale human behavior data to quantify migration intention [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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