1. Derivation and validation of a cytokine-based assay to screen for acute rejection in renal transplant recipients
- Author
-
Melissa Y. Yeung, Christine Dyer, Nader Najafian, Leonardo V. Riella, Usaila Ahmad, Monica Grafals, Ciara N. Magee, Anil Chandraker, Sacha A. De Serres, and Bechara Mfarrej
- Subjects
Graft Rejection ,Male ,Time Factors ,Epidemiology ,Cross-sectional study ,Interleukin-1beta ,Pilot Projects ,Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine ,Logistic regression ,Risk Factors ,Medicine ,Prospective cohort study ,Kidney transplantation ,Cells, Cultured ,Chemokine CCL2 ,biology ,medicine.diagnostic_test ,Middle Aged ,Treatment Outcome ,Nephrology ,Predictive value of tests ,Acute Disease ,Female ,Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Risk Assessment ,Sensitivity and Specificity ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Internal medicine ,Biopsy ,Humans ,Interleukin 6 ,Aged ,Transplantation ,business.industry ,Interleukin-6 ,Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha ,Granulocyte-Macrophage Colony-Stimulating Factor ,Reproducibility of Results ,Original Articles ,medicine.disease ,Kidney Transplantation ,Cross-Sectional Studies ,Logistic Models ,Immunology ,Multivariate Analysis ,biology.protein ,Leukocytes, Mononuclear ,Interleukin-4 ,business ,Biomarkers ,Boston - Abstract
Summary Background and objectives Acute rejection remains a problem in renal transplantation. This study sought to determine the utility of a noninvasive cytokine assay in screening of acute rejection. Design, setting, participants, & measurements In this observational cross-sectional study, 64 patients from two centers were recruited upon admission for allograft biopsy to investigate acute graft dysfunction. Blood was collected before biopsy and assayed for a panel of 21 cytokines secreted by PBMCs. Patients were classified as acute rejectors or nonrejectors according to a classification rule derived from an initial set of 32 patients (training cohort) and subsequently validated in the remaining patients (validation cohort). Results Although six cytokines (IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α, IL-4, GM-CSF, and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1) distinguished acute rejectors in the training cohort, logistic regression modeling identified a single cytokine, IL-6, as the best predictor. In the validation cohort, IL-6 was consistently the most accurate cytokine (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, 0.85; P =0.006), whereas the application of a prespecified cutoff level, as determined from the training cohort, resulted in a sensitivity and specificity of 92% and 63%, respectively. Secondary analyses revealed a strong association between IL-6 levels and acute rejection after multivariate adjustment for clinical characteristics ( P Conclusions In this pilot study, the measurement of a single cytokine can exclude acute rejection with a sensitivity of 92% in renal transplant recipients presenting with acute graft dysfunction. Prospective studies are needed to determine the utility of this simple assay, particularly for low-risk or remote patients.
- Published
- 2012