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Understanding why some parks are used more regularly or intensely than others can inform ways in which urban parkland is developed and managed to meet the needs of a rapidly expanding urban population. Although geolocated social media (GSM) indicators have been used to examine park visitation rates, studies applying this approach are generally limited to flagship parks, national parks, or a small subset of urban parks. Here, we use geolocated Flickr and Twitter data to explore variation in use across New York City's 2143 diverse parks and model visitation based on spatially-explicit park characteristics and facilities, neighborhood-level accessibility features and neighborhood-level demographics. Findings indicate that social media activity in parks is positively correlated with proximity to public transportation and bike routes, as well as particular park characteristics such as water bodies, athletic facilities, and impervious surfaces, but negatively associated with green space and increased proportion of minority ethnicity and minority race in neighborhoods in which parks are located. Contrary to previous studies which describe park visitation as a form of nature-based recreation, our findings indicate that the kinds of green spaces present in many parks may not motivate visitation. From a social equity perspective, our findings may imply that parks in high-minority neighborhoods are not as accessible, do not accommodate as many visitors, and/or are of lower quality than those in low-minority neighborhoods. These implications are consistent with previous studies showing that minority populations disproportionately experience barriers to park access. In applying GSM data to questions of park access, we demonstrate a rapid, big data approach for providing information crucial for park management in a way that is less resource-intensive than field surveys. Highlights • We analyze geographic human visitation dynamics in all New York City parks using Twitter and Flickr data • Park visitation increases with proximity to public transportation, water bodies, athletic fields and impervious surfaces • Park visitation decreases with green space and proportion of minority ethnicity and minority race in neighborhoods of parks • Location-based social media data can be used as a rapid indicator for citywide park visitation to inform management [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cellular automata (CA) models have increasingly been used to simulate land use/cover changes (LUCC). Metaheuristic optimization algorithms such as particle swarm optimization (PSO) and genetic algorithm (GA) have been recently introduced into CA frameworks to generate more accurate simulations. Although Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is simpler than PSO and GA, it is rarely used to calibrate CA models. In this article, we introduce a novel multi-chain multi-objective MCMC (mc-MO-MCMC) CA model to simulate LUCC. Unlike the classical MCMC, the proposed mc-MO-MCMC is a multiple chains method that imports crossover operation from classical evolutionary optimization algorithms. In each new chain, after the initial one, the crossover operator generates the initial solution. The selection of solutions to be crossed over are made according to their fitness score. In this paper, we chose the example of New York City (USA) to apply our model to simulate three conflicting objectives of changes from non-urban to low-, medium- or high-density urban between 2001 and 2016 using USA National Land Cover Database (NLCD). Elevation, slope, Euclidean distance to highways and local roads, population volume and average household income are used as LUCC causative factors. Furthermore, to demonstrate the efficiency of our proposed model, we compare it with the multi-objective genetic algorithm (MO-GA) and standard single-chain multi-objective MCMC (sc-MO-MCMC). Our results demonstrate that mc-MO-MCMC produces accurate simulations of land use dynamics featured by faster convergence to the Pareto frontier comparing to MO-GA and sc-MO-MCMC. The proposed multi-objective cellular automata model should efficiently help to simulate a trade-off among multiple and, possibly, conflicting land use change dynamics at once. • This paper presents a multi-objective CA land use/cover change model. • The model uses a novel multi-objective Markov chain Monte Carlo (MO-MCMC). • We compare MO-MCMC with a multi-objective genetic algorithm (MO-GA). • We apply our model to simulate the expansion of multi-density urban areas in New York. • The results show that the MO-MCMC outperformed MO-GA in terms of accuracy and speed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]