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• Endangered plants in Sanjiangyuan mainly locate in the east and the south. • Distribution of endangered plants will expand to the west and north in the future. • Habitats in the northeast are at the highest ecosystem risk. • Most of the highest risk areas are not strictly protected. Sanjiangyuan, called the "Water tower of Asia", is critically important in the ecological services of water provision and regulation and in biodiversity conservation. To strengthen protection in this eco-region, The Chinese government established the Sanjiangyuan National Nature Reserve (SNNR) in 2001 and Sanjiangyuan National Park (SNP) in 2014. To assess the effectiveness of these two conservation practices, on the endangered plant species, we used an integrated method to identify the priority areas of the endangered plant species in the Sanjiangyuan Area which showed if some areas need more conservation efforts. After identifying the potential habitats of high-valued species in Sanjiangyuan with MaxENT, a model that combined the hotspots of endangered plant species richness (H), vegetation condition (V), soil condition (S), human disturbance (D) and climate change impact (C) was used to calculate ecosystem risk (ER) associated with each habitat. Projections of climate modeling show that the distribution of endangered plants in Sangjiangyuan will expand to the west and north with the warmer and wetter climate in the future. In both current and future scenarios, the habitats in the northeast of the SNNR are at the highest ecosystem risk and need to be protected strictly. However, most of the high ecosystem risk/conservation priority regions we identified - either current or predicted future status (in 2070 under RCP 2.6) were not protected by SNNR or SNP. Identified conservation gaps call for the well-targeted planning and delineated scientific interventions for protecting the key habitats of these endangered plant species. Conservation priority should be given to eastern Xinghai County and northeastern Tongde County in the east of SNNR, where the habitats are at high ecosystem risk and have high conservation priority. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Restoration actions improved community species richness, target species richness and target species aboveground biomass, not community biomass. • Community species richness was impacted by the restoration strategies. • Community biomass was impacted by the mean annual precipitation and temperature. • Recovery performance of target species was impacted by all the influencing factors. Ecological conservation and restoration projects in Three-river Headwater Region (TRHR) have been implemented to respond to the serious degradation of alpine meadow ecosystem. Compared with the substantial amount of studies on the recovery of plant communities, soil quality and ecosystem services, few studies have focused on the restoration performance of target species. Therefore, we conducted this study to analyze the dynamics and underlying mechanisms of species richness and aboveground biomass of plant communities and target species. The results showed that restoration actions (grassland cultivation and fencing) did not significantly improve the community aboveground biomass of the degraded alpine meadows, while the actions did significantly promote community species richness, target species richness and target species aboveground biomass. Community species richness (20%-45%) was significantly impacted by the restoration strategies, and community aboveground biomass (31%-53%) was impacted by the mean annual precipitation and mean annual temperature. The species richness (57%) and aboveground biomass (63%) of the target species were directly and indirectly impacted by restoration actions, climatic factors, biotic factors and soil factors. The implications of this study stress that target species should be highlighted in assessing the restoration success of degraded alpine meadows. Integrating climatic factors, target species and other biotic and abiotic indicators could help us better understand and evaluate restoration actions for degraded alpine meadows in the TRHR or other similar regions worldwide. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Responses of different functional groups to overgrazing and overgrazing with N deposition varied. • Overgrazing and overgrazing with N deposition provided a favorable living environment for forbs. • Overgrazing with N deposition obviously promoted forbs dominance both directly and indirectly. Alpine grasslands are sensitive to grazing and atmospheric nitrogen (N) deposition. Despite increases in N deposition, few field studies have assessed the effects of grazing in conjunction with increased N deposition on alpine grassland vegetation. In this two-year field study, we examined the effects of overgrazing and overgrazing plus N deposition on eco-physiological processes of alpine grassland plants at the functional group level. We found that both overgrazing and overgrazing plus N deposition altered species composition and the dominance of three plant functional groups (grasses, sedges, and forbs) in an alpine meadow and alpine steppe. In the overgrazing and overgrazing plus N deposition treatments, forbs dominated the plant community. Grass and sedge dominance decreased substantially, relative to a ungrazed treatment. The underlying eco-physiological processes that led to the forb-dominated plant community differed between the overgrazing and overgrazing plus N deposition treatments. Overgrazing plus N deposition increased forb dominance both directly by selective herbivory and indirectly by enhancing forb photosynthetic rates. Our results suggest that overgrazing concomitant with increases in N deposition will likely shift the plant community composition of alpine grasslands on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau from grass/sedge communities to forb-dominated communities in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Near-hyperspectral measurements applicable to estimate plant biomass and cover of alpine grasslands. • Integrative approaches with multiple factors more accurate in estimating plant biomass and cover of alpine grasslands. • 66.55% and 64.58% increase in plant biomass and cover of alpine grasslands on Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau in past 20 years. • Sustainability of the alpine grasslands in dimensions of plant biomass and cover increase in future. Maintaining the aboveground biomass (AGB) and canopy cover (CC) of grassland is key for sustainable grassland management and rational conservation planning, especially for fragile regions of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP). However, the estimation of AGB and CC with land use changes is often challenging due to poor availability of high-quality images of remote sensing or the large-scale field survey data. In this study, we used the transect survey method combining with quadrat measurements with 1200 plant samplings and near surface hyperspectral measurements at 180 sites to validate the MODIS data. An integrative approach combining the plant sampling, near surface hyperspectral measurements, remote sensing data interpretation, random forest modelling and Hurst phenomenon prediction was developed to accurately and efficiently estimate the CC and AGB of the alpine grasslands on the QTP from 2000 to 2017 and their future trends. The results showed: 1) estimation of AGB and CC in different land use types by integrating random forest with multiple factors (NDVI, latitude, longitude and altitude, grassland types) was more accurate; 2) the inter-annual changes of AGB and CC of the alpine grasslands presented significant fluctuations, with an increasing trend in the QTP; 3) the areas with improved vegetation conditions of AGB (66.55%) and CC (64.58%) were much larger than those with degraded vegetation conditions of AGB (33.45%) and CC (35.42%) in past 20 years. 4) there are 60.66% of the AGB and 59.87% of coverage showing sustainability and increasing in the future. Estimating the AGB and CC with multiple factors using the random forest and validated MODIS with the field spectrometer can improve the accuracy. The findings of this study can provide scientific basis for promoting the sustainability of grassland ecosystem through adaptive and rational management on the QTP and worldwide. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• No functional traits connected both phylogeny and environmental factors. • N addition at 8 kg N ha-1year−1 filtrated the species of the gramineae. • N addition at 72 kg N ha−1 year−1 filtrated the species of non-gramineae. • Potassium in normal year and phosphorus in warm year were main factors of environmental filtering. Nitrogen (N) deposition and warming leads to environmental gradients that shape plant communities and ecological diversity, space is treated as an equally important variable as the environmental variables in the environmental gradients. The Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) is very sensitive to large increases in N deposition rates and warming. Environmental gradients caused by N deposition and spatial factors act as environmental filtering in community assembly by affecting plant functional traits and phylogeny. To investigate the effects of environmental filtering caused by N deposition on the community assembly in alpine meadows, we randomly placed and fertilized at 6 levels of N addition (no N addition, 8 kg N ha-1year−1, 24 kg N ha−1 year−1, 40 kg N ha−1 year−1, 56 kg N ha−1 year−1 and 72 kg N ha−1 year−1) both in a normal (normal precipitation and normal temperature) year and a warm (normal precipitation and warm) year. We used the fourth-corner analysis and extended RLQ (R stands for a matrix of environmental variables by samples, L stands for a species-cover-by-samples matrix and Q stands for a species-by-traits matrix) through multiple factors (soil factors, spatial heterogeneity, species traits, phylogenetic factor) to examine the effects of environmental filtering on the community assembly in alpine meadows. The results demonstrated that all soil variables showed a clear gradient and were affected by simulated N deposition; N addition at 8 kg N ha-1year−1 can filtrate the species of the gramineae, but N addition at 72 kg N ha−1 year−1 can filtrate the species of non-gramineae, the main factors of environmental filtering were potassium in normal year and phosphorus in warm year. With the increase of N deposition rate in alpine meadow of QTP, non-gramineous plants will be favored first, but eventually gramineous plants will occupy the dominant position in the QTP. Rational mitigation strategies should be developed for different climate change scenarios of alpine grasslands on the QTP according to their responses to the N addition gradients and climate change scenarios in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Grazing reduced the temporal stability of ANPP. • Grazing increased the stability of productivity of functional group of forbs. • The response species to continuous grazing are mainly grasses. • The response species to rotational grazing are forbs. • Functional groups asynchrony stabilized ANPP under grazing in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. The stability of grassland is pivotal in maintaining the grassland functioning and services. However, the knowledge about the consequences of grazing on stability of grassland productivity is limited. Based on a 3-year manipulated experiment with two grazing regimes (i.e., continuous grazing and rotational grazing) along four levels of grazing-intensity (0, 4, 6, and 8 sheep per hectare) on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, we researched the responses of temporal stability of plant community and functional groups of alpine grasslands to different grazing management regimes. We found that grazing regimes, intensity and their interaction affected the temporal stability of aboveground net primary productivity of alpine grassland (ANPP), and intermediate rotational grazing significantly reduced the temporal stability of ANPP, whereas increased the stability of productivity of functional group of forbs. The response species to continuous grazing and rotational grazing are different, for grasses and forbs respectively. Rotational grazing and intermediate continuous grazing increased the diversity of response species. Structural equation modeling further revealed that functional groups asynchrony stabilized the productivity of the alpine grassland ecosystem under grazing in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. These results showed that the rotational grazing and intermediate continuous grazing can maintain the productivity stability, and highlighted importance of regulating the relationships among functional groups for promoting the stability of alpine grassland under grazing management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Highlights • An evaluation system considering pressure and pressure-bearing was established. • Grid scale ecological security was evaluated using this system and entropy method. • County scale security level was evaluated based on entropy matter-element model. • Changes of ecological security situation between 2000 and 2015 were explored. Abstract Ecological security is important for social and economic sustainable development which needs stable resources and eco-environment support. In this study, we established an evaluation indicator system considering pressure and pressure-bearing to quantify the ecological security for Kunming city as it is a socioeconomic center in Southwest China with important ecological niche and rapid urbanization. According to the weights assigned by entropy method, we overlaid 13 indicators which were divided into 2 units, pressure indicators and pressure-bearing indicators, to evaluate the ecological security on grid scale. And then, ecological security level on district-county scale was evaluated based on the entropy matter-element model. On this basis, we explored their spatial distribution characteristics and the change trend from 2000 to 2015. Results showed that spatial distribution characteristic of ecological security evaluation was similar with the results of pressure evaluation, showing the scores and levels gradually increased from the urban area to the surrounding areas. Compared the ecological security levels in 2000 and in 2015, both of the highest value and the lowest value increased slightly. In general, the area with improved ecological security situation accounted for 89.10% of the total area. In terms of the change trend of ecological security levels, eight counties deteriorated while five counties remained unchanged which were driven by different deterioration reasons. The evaluation results of this study can provide comprehensive and targeted support for regional sustainable development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]