1. Reconstituted data-driven air conditioning energy consumption prediction system employing occupant-orientated probability model as input and swarm intelligence optimization algorithms.
- Author
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Zhang, Chengyu, Ma, Liangdong, Han, Xing, and Zhao, Tianyi
- Subjects
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SWARM intelligence , *OPTIMIZATION algorithms , *ENERGY consumption , *AIR conditioning , *FEEDFORWARD neural networks , *ENERGY shortages - Abstract
With recent energy and environmental crises, the energy consumption prediction of air conditioning (AC) is essential. Notably, existing general prediction systems use the air temperature, real-time AC usage, time, occupancy, and AC historical energy consumption as inputs and employ feedforward neural networks. However, such systems face certain challenges. First, the input system may be difficult to reflect the real-time interaction among the building environment, occupants, and energy system; Second, the algorithms need to be upgraded to further improve accuracy, speed up convergence, and avoid overfitting. his paper introduces a novel parameter (group occupant behavior probability, GOBP) in the input system; and uses swarm intelligence algorithms with chaotic mapping and adaptive weight adjustment as optimization with LSTM and BP as the basic algorithms. The verification results obtained from five different buildings indicate the following: (1) The novel prediction system improved prediction performance with 20.08%–78.37 % of MAPE and 3.99%–53.28 % of CV-RMSE, however, it will increase 148.70s–1065.11s of calculation time. (2) For accuracy, using GOBP will improve the 0.30%–51.87 % and 0.18%–64.77 % by using swarm intelligence optimization algorithms. (3) This paper discusses the priority of selecting suitable inputs, algorithms, and optimization to combine a whole prediction system. • The definition of a simplified model using the group occupant behavior probability is proposed. • The chaotic mapping and adaptive weight adjustment are used for optimizing the swarm intelligent algorithms. • A reconstituted AC energy consumption prediction system is proposed with novel inputs and improved algorithms. • The reconstructed prediction system demonstrates improved prediction accuracy and data acquisition difficulty\. • The best combination of inputs and algorithms is discussed based on 60 groups of comparative experiments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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