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Abstract Aims Obesity and epicardial adiposity play a role in the pathophysiology of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and both are associated with increased filling pressures and reduced exercise capacity. The haemodynamic basis for these observations remains inaccurately defined. We hypothesize that an abundance of epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) within the pericardial sac is associated with haemodynamic signs of pericardial constraint. Methods and results HFpEF patients who underwent invasive heart catheterization with simultaneous echocardiography were included. Right atrial pressure (RAP), right ventricular end‐diastolic pressure, and pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP) were invasively measured. The presence of a square root sign on the right ventricular pressure waveform and the RAP/PCWP ratio (surrogate parameters for pericardial constraint) were investigated. EAT thickness alongside the right ventricle was measured on echocardiography. Sixty‐four patients were studied, with a mean age of 73 ± 10 years, 64% women, and a mean body mass index (BMI) of 28.6 ± 5.4 kg/m2. In total, 47 patients (73%) had a square root sign. The presence of a square root sign was associated with higher BMI (29.3 vs. 26.7 kg/m2, P = 0.02), higher EAT (4.0 vs. 3.4 mm, P = 0.03), and higher RAP (9 vs. 6 mmHg, P = 0.04). Women had more EAT than men (4.1 vs. 3.5 mm, P = 0.04), despite a comparable BMI. Women with a square root sign had significantly higher EAT (4.3 vs. 3.3 mm, P = 0.02), a higher mean RAP (9 vs. 5 mmHg, P = 0.02), and a higher RAP/PCWP ratio (0.52 vs. 0.26, P = 0.002). In men, such associations were not seen, although there was no significant interaction between men and women (P > 0.05 for all analyses). Conclusions Obesity and epicardial adiposity are associated with haemodynamic signs of pericardial constraint in patients with HFpEF. The pathophysiological and therapeutic implications of this finding need further study.

Abstract Aims Kidney function changes dynamically during AHF treatment, but risk factors for and consequences of worsening renal function (WRF) at hospital admission are uncertain. We aimed to determine the significance of WRF at admission for acute heart failure (AHF). Methods and results We evaluated a subgroup of 406 patients from The Acute Kidney Injury Neutrophil gelatinase–associated lipocalin Evaluation of Symptomatic heart failure Study (AKINESIS) who had serum creatinine measurements available within 3 months before and at the time of admission. Admission WRF was primarily defined as a 0.3 mg/dL or 50% creatinine increase from preadmission. Alternative definitions evaluated were a ≥0.5 mg/dL creatinine increase, ≥25% glomerular filtration rate decrease, and an overall change in creatinine. Predictors of admission WRF were evaluated. Outcomes evaluated were length of hospitalization, a composite of adverse in‐hospital events, and the composite of death or HF readmission at 30, 90, and 365 days. Biomarkers' prognostic ability for these outcomes were evaluated in patients with admission WRF. One‐hundred six patients (26%) had admission WRF. These patients had features of more severe AHF with lower blood pressure, higher BUN, and lower serum sodium concentrations at admission. Higher BNP (odds ratio [OR] per doubling 1.16–1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00–1.55) and lower diastolic blood pressure (OR 0.97–0.98, 95% CI 0.96–0.99) were associated with a higher odds for the three definitions of admission WRF. The primary WRF definition was not associated with a longer hospitalization, but alternative WRF definitions were (1.3 to 1.6 days longer, 95% CI 1.0–2.2). WRF across definitions was not associated with a higher odds of adverse in‐hospital events or a higher risk of death or HF readmission. In the subset of patients with WRF, biomarkers were not prognostic for any outcome. Conclusions Admission WRF is common in AHF patients and is associated with an increased length of hospitalization, but not adverse in‐hospital events, death, or HF readmission. Among those with admission WRF, biomarkers did not risk stratify for adverse events.

Abstract Aims Insulin like growth factor binding protein 7 (IGFBP7) is a marker of senescence secretome and a novel biomarker in patients with heart failure (HF). We evaluated the prognostic value of IGFBP7 in patients with heart failure and examined associations to uncover potential new pathophysiological pathways related to increased plasma IGFBP7 concentrations. Methods and results We have measured plasma IGFBP7 concentrations in 2250 subjects with new‐onset or worsening heart failure (BIOSTAT‐CHF cohort). Higher IGFBP7 plasma concentrations were found in older subjects, those with worse kidney function, history of atrial fibrillation, and diabetes mellitus type 2, and in subjects with higher number of HF hospitalizations. Higher IGFBP7 levels also correlate with the levels of several circulating biomarkers, including higher NT‐proBNP, hsTnT, and urea levels. Cox regression analyses showed that higher plasma IGFBP7 concentrations were strongly associated with increased risk of all three main endpoints (hospitalization, all‐cause mortality, and combined hospitalization and mortality) (HR 1.75, 95% CI 1.25–2.46; HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.39–2.11; and HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.23–1.70, respectively). IGFBP7 remained a significant predictor of these endpoints in patients with both reduced and preserved ejection fraction. Likelihood ratio test showed significant improvement of all three risk prediction models, after adding IGFBP7 (P

Abstract Aims No biomarker has achieved widespread acceptance as a surrogate endpoint for early‐phase heart failure (HF) trials. We assessed whether changes over time in a panel of plasma biomarkers were associated with subsequent morbidity/mortality in HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Methods and results In 1040 patients with HFrEF from the BIOSTAT‐CHF cohort, we investigated the associations between changes in the plasma concentrations of 30 biomarkers, before (baseline) and after (9 months) attempted optimization of guideline‐recommended therapy, on top of the BIOSTAT risk score and the subsequent risk of HF hospitalization/all‐cause mortality using Cox regression models. C‐statistics were calculated to assess discriminatory power of biomarker changes/month‐nine assessment. Changes in N‐terminal pro‐B‐type natriuretic peptide (NT‐proBNP) and WAP four‐disulphide core domain protein HE4 (WAP‐4C) were the only independent predictors of the outcome after adjusting for their baseline plasma concentration, 28 other biomarkers (both baseline and changes), and BIOSTAT risk score at baseline. When adjusting for month‐nine rather than baseline biomarkers concentrations, only changes in NT‐proBNP were independently associated with the outcome. The C‐statistic of the model including the BIOSTAT risk score and NT‐proBNP increased by 4% when changes were considered on top of baseline concentrations and by 1% when changes in NT‐proBNP were considered on top of its month‐nine concentrations and the BIOSTAT risk score. Conclusions Among 30 relevant biomarkers, a change over time was significantly and independently associated with HF hospitalization/all‐cause death only for NT‐proBNP. Changes over time were modestly more prognostic than baseline or end‐values alone. Changes in biomarkers should be further explored as potential surrogate endpoints in early phase HF trials.

Abstract Aims Inflammation is thought to play a role in heart failure (HF) pathophysiology. Neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a simple, routinely available measure of inflammation. Its relationship with other inflammatory biomarkers and its association with clinical outcomes in addition to other risk markers have not been comprehensively evaluated in HF patients. Methods We evaluated patients with worsening or new‐onset HF from the BIOlogy Study to Tailored Treatment in Chronic Heart Failure (BIOSTAT‐CHF) study who had available NLR at baseline. The primary outcome was time to all‐cause mortality or HF hospitalization. Outcomes were validated in a separate HF population. Results 1622 patients were evaluated (including 523 ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF]

Abstract Aims Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) is increasingly recognized as an important factor in the pathophysiology of heart failure (HF). Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging is the gold‐standard imaging modality to evaluate EAT size, but in contrast to echocardiography, CMR is costly and not widely available. We investigated EAT thickness on echocardiography in relation to EAT volume on CMR, and we assessed the agreement between observers for measuring echocardiographic EAT. Methods and results Patients with HF and left ventricular ejection fraction >40% were enrolled. All patients underwent CMR imaging and transthoracic‐echocardiography. EAT volume was quantified on CMR short‐axis cine‐stacks. Echocardiographic EAT thickness was measured on parasternal long‐axis and short‐axis views. Linear regression analyses were used to assess the association between EAT volume on CMR and EAT thickness on echocardiography. Intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was used to assess the interobserver agreement as well as the intraobserver agreement. EAT on CMR and echocardiography was evaluated in 117 patients (mean age 71 ± 10 years, 49% women and mean left ventricular ejection fraction 54 ± 7%). Mean EAT volume on CMR was 202 ± 64 mL and ranged from 80 to 373 mL. Mean EAT thickness on echocardiography was 3.8 ± 1.5 mm and ranged from 1.7 to 10.2 mm. EAT volume on CMR and EAT thickness on echocardiography were significantly correlated (junior‐observer: r = 0.62, P

Abstract Aims Activation of the renin–angiotensin–aldosterone system plays an important role in the pathophysiology of heart failure (HF) and has been associated with poor prognosis. There are limited data on the associations of renin and aldosterone levels with clinical profiles, treatment response, and study outcomes in patients with HF. Methods and results We analysed 2,039 patients with available baseline renin and aldosterone levels in BIOSTAT‐CHF (a systems BIOlogy study to Tailored Treatment in Chronic Heart Failure). The primary outcome was the composite of all‐cause mortality or HF hospitalization. We also investigated changes in renin and aldosterone levels after administration of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs) in a subset of the EPHESUS trial and in an acute HF cohort (PORTO). In BIOSTAT‐CHF study, median renin and aldosterone levels were 85.3 (percentile25–75 = 28–247) μIU/mL and 9.4 (percentile25–75 = 4.4–19.8) ng/dL, respectively. Prior HF admission, lower blood pressure, sodium, poorer renal function, and MRA treatment were associated with higher renin and aldosterone. Higher renin was associated with an increased rate of the primary outcome [highest vs. lowest renin tertile: adjusted‐HR (95% CI) = 1.47 (1.16–1.86), P = 0.002], whereas higher aldosterone was not [highest vs. lowest aldosterone tertile: adjusted‐HR (95% CI) = 1.16 (0.93–1.44), P = 0.19]. Renin and/or aldosterone did not improve the BIOSTAT‐CHF prognostic models. The rise in aldosterone with the use of MRAs was observed in EPHESUS and PORTO studies. Conclusions Circulating levels of renin and aldosterone were associated with both the disease severity and use of MRAs. By reflecting both the disease and its treatments, the prognostic discrimination of these biomarkers was poor. Our data suggest that the “point” measurement of renin and aldosterone in HF is of limited clinical utility.