1. Mean HbA1cand mortality in diabetic individuals with heart failure: a population cohort study
- Author
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Jagdeep Singh, Douglas Elder, Allan D. Struthers, Louise A. Donnelly, Anna-Maria J. Choy, Chim C. Lang, Jacob George, Alex S. F. Doney, and Daniel Levin
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,endocrine system diseases ,business.industry ,Proportional hazards model ,Mortality rate ,nutritional and metabolic diseases ,Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,medicine.disease ,Confidence interval ,Metformin ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Diabetes mellitus ,Internal medicine ,Heart failure ,medicine ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,Intensive care medicine ,business ,medicine.drug ,Cohort study - Abstract
Aims Controversy exists regarding the importance of glycaemic control in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and chronic heart failure (CHF) based on conflicting reports using single baseline glycosyated haemoglobin (HbA1c). Using the time-weighted mean of serial HbA1c measurements has been found to be a better predictor of diabetic complications as it reflects the glycaemic burden for that individual over time. We therefore sought to confirm this in a large cohort of patients with T2DM and incident CHF. Methods and results A time-weighted mean HbA1c was calculated using all HbA1c measurements following CHF diagnosis. Patients were grouped into five categories of HbA1c (≤6.0%, 6.1–7.0%, 7.1–8.0%, 8.1–9.0%, and >9.0%). The relationship between time-weighted mean HbA1c and all-cause death after CHF diagnosis was assessed. A total of 1447 patients with T2DM met the study criteria. During a median follow-up of 2.8 years, there were 826 (57.1%) deaths, with a crude death rate of 155 deaths per 1000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI) 144–166]. A Cox regression model, adjusted for all significant predictors, with the middle HbA1c category (7.1–8.0%) as the reference, showed a U-shaped relationship between HbA1c and outcome [HbA1c 9.0%, HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.4–2.3]. Further analysis revealed a protective effect of insulin sensitizers (i.e. metformin) (HR 0.7, 95% CI 0.61–0.93) but not other drug classes. Conclusions In patients with T2DM and CHF, our study shows a U-shaped relationship between HbA1c and mortality, with the lowest risk in patients with modest glycaemic control (HbA1c 7.1–8.0%) and those treated with insulin sensitizers.
- Published
- 2015
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