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Background: Molecular characterization of nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) may provide a biologic rationale for treatment response and novel therapeutic strategies., Objective: To identify genetic alterations with potential clinical implications in NMIBC., Design, Setting, and Participants: Pretreatment index tumors and matched germline DNA from 105 patients with NMIBC on a prospective Institutional Review Board-approved protocol underwent targeted exon sequencing analysis in a Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments-certified clinical laboratory., Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis: Comutation patterns and copy number alterations were compared across stage and grade. Associations between genomic alterations and recurrence after intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses., Results and Limitations: TERT promoter mutations (73%) and chromatin-modifying gene alterations (69%) were highly prevalent across grade and stage, suggesting these events occur early in tumorigenesis. ERBB2 or FGFR3 alterations were present in 57% of high-grade NMIBC tumors in a mutually exclusive pattern. DNA damage repair (DDR) gene alterations were seen in 30% (25/82) of high-grade NMIBC tumors, a rate similar to MIBC, and were associated with a higher mutational burden compared with tumors with intact DDR genes (p<0.001). ARID1A mutations were associated with an increased risk of recurrence after BCG (hazard ratio=3.14, 95% confidence interval: 1.51-6.51, p=0.002)., Conclusions: Next-generation sequencing of treatment-naive index NMIBC tumors demonstrated that the majority of NMIBC tumors had at least one potentially actionable alteration that could serve as a target in rationally designed trials of intravesical or systemic therapy. DDR gene alterations were frequent in high-grade NMIBC and were associated with increased mutational load, which may have therapeutic implications for BCG immunotherapy and ongoing trials of systemic checkpoint inhibitors. ARID1A mutations were associated with an increased risk of recurrence after BCG therapy. Whether ARID1A mutations represent a predictive biomarker of BCG response or are prognostic in NMIBC patients warrants further investigation., Patient Summary: Analysis of frequently mutated genes in superficial bladder cancer suggests potential targets for personalized treatment and predictors of treatment response, and also may help develop noninvasive tumor detection tests., (Copyright © 2017 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: Despite a similar histologic appearance, upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) and urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) tumors have distinct epidemiologic and clinicopathologic differences., Objective: To investigate whether the differences between UTUC and UCB result from intrinsic biological diversity., Design, Setting, and Participants: Tumor and germline DNA from patients with UTUC (n=83) and UCB (n=102) were analyzed using a custom next-generation sequencing assay to identify somatic mutations and copy number alterations in 300 cancer-associated genes., Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis: We described co-mutation patterns and copy number alterations in UTUC. We also compared mutation frequencies in high-grade UTUC (n=59) and high-grade UCB (n=102)., Results and Limitations: Comparison of high-grade UTUC and UCB revealed significant differences in the prevalence of somatic alterations. Genes altered more commonly in high-grade UTUC included FGFR3 (35.6% vs 21.6%; p=0.065), HRAS (13.6% vs 1.0%; p=0.001), and CDKN2B (15.3% vs 3.9%; p=0.016). Genes less frequently mutated in high-grade UTUC included TP53 (25.4% vs 57.8%; p<0.001), RB1 (0.0% vs 18.6%; p<0.001), and ARID1A (13.6% vs 27.5%; p=0.050). Because our assay was restricted to genomic alterations in a targeted panel, rare mutations and epigenetic changes were not analyzed., Conclusions: High-grade UTUC tumors display a spectrum of genetic alterations similar to high-grade UCB. However, there were significant differences in the prevalence of several recurrently mutated genes including HRAS, TP53, and RB1. As relevant targeted inhibitors are being developed and tested, these results may have important implications for the site-specific management of patients with urothelial carcinoma., Patient Summary: Comparison of next-generation sequencing of upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) with urothelial bladder cancer identified that similar mutations were present in both cancer types but at different frequencies, indicating a potential need for unique management strategies. UTUC tumors were found to have a high rate of mutations that could be targeted with novel therapies., (Copyright © 2015 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Unlabelled: Urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) is genomically heterogeneous, with frequent alterations in genes regulating chromatin state, cell cycle control, and receptor kinase signaling. To identify prognostic genomic markers in high-grade UCB, we used capture-based massively parallel sequencing to analyze 109 tumors. Mutations were detected in 240 genes, with 23 genes mutated in ≥5% of cases. The presence of a recurrent phosphatidylinositol-4,5-bisphosphate 3-kinase, catalytic subunit alpha (PIK3CA) mutation was associated with improved recurrence-free survival (RFS) (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.35; p=0.014) and improved cancer-specific survival (CSS) (HR: 0.35; p=0.040) in patients treated with radical cystectomy (RC). In multivariable analyses controlling for pT and pN stages, PIK3CA mutation remained associated with RFS (HR: 0.39; p=0.032). The most frequent alteration, TP53 mutation (57%), was more common in extravesical disease (69% vs 32%, p=0.005) and lymph node-positive disease (77% vs 56%, p=0.025). Patients with cyclin-dependent kinase inhibitor 2A (CDKN2A)-altered tumors experienced worse RFS (HR: 5.76; p<0.001) and worse CSS (HR: 2.94; p=0.029) in multivariable analyses. Mutations in chromatin-modifying genes were highly prevalent but not associated with outcomes. In UCB patients treated with RC, PIK3CA mutations are associated with favorable outcomes, whereas TP53 and CDKN2A alterations are associated with poor outcomes. Genomic profiling may aid in the identification of UCB patients at highest risk following RC., Patient Summary: Using next-generation sequencing, we identified genomic subsets of high-grade urothelial bladder cancer associated with favorable and unfavorable outcomes. These findings may aid in the selection of patients most likely to benefit from novel combined modality approaches., (Copyright © 2014 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: The impact of prognostic factors in T1G3 non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (BCa) patients is critical for proper treatment decision making., Objective: To assess prognostic factors in patients who received bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) as initial intravesical treatment of T1G3 tumors and to identify a subgroup of high-risk patients who should be considered for more aggressive treatment., Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual patient data were collected for 2451 T1G3 patients from 23 centers who received BCG between 1990 and 2011., Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis: Using Cox multivariable regression, the prognostic importance of several clinical variables was assessed for time to recurrence, progression, BCa-specific survival, and overall survival (OS)., Results and Limitations: With a median follow-up of 5.2 yr, 465 patients (19%) progressed, 509 (21%) underwent cystectomy, and 221 (9%) died because of BCa. In multivariable analyses, the most important prognostic factors for progression were age, tumor size, and concomitant carcinoma in situ (CIS); the most important prognostic factors for BCa-specific survival and OS were age and tumor size. Patients were divided into four risk groups for progression according to the number of adverse factors among age ≥ 70 yr, size ≥ 3 cm, and presence of CIS. Progression rates at 10 yr ranged from 17% to 52%. BCa-specific death rates at 10 yr were 32% in patients ≥ 70 yr with tumor size ≥ 3 cm and 13% otherwise., Conclusions: T1G3 patients ≥ 70 yr with tumors ≥ 3 cm and concomitant CIS should be treated more aggressively because of the high risk of progression., Patient Summary: Although the majority of T1G3 patients can be safely treated with intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin, there is a subgroup of T1G3 patients with age ≥ 70 yr, tumor size ≥ 3 cm, and concomitant CIS who have a high risk of progression and thus require aggressive treatment., (Copyright © 2014 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: There is a lack of consensus regarding the optimal approach to the bladder cuff during radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC)., Objectives: To compare the oncologic outcomes following RNU using three different methods of bladder cuff management., Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective analysis of 2681 patients treated with RNU for UTUC at 24 international institutions from 1987 to 2007., Intervention: Three methods of bladder cuff excision were performed: transvesical, extravesical, and endoscopic., Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis: Univariable and multivariable models tested the effect of distal ureter management on intravesical recurrence, recurrence-free survival (RFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS)., Results and Limitations: Of the 2681 patients, 1811 (67.5%) underwent the transvesical approach; 785 (29.3%), the extravesical approach; and 85 (3.2%), the endoscopic approach. There was no difference in terms of RFS, CSS, and OS among the three distal ureteral management approaches. Patients who underwent the endoscopic approach were at significantly higher risk of intravesical recurrence compared with those who underwent the transvesical (p=0.02) or extravesical approaches (p=0.02); the latter two groups did not differ from each other (p=0.40). Actuarial intravesical RFS estimates at 2 and 5 yr after RNU were 69% and 58%, 69% and 51%, and 61% and 42% for the transvesical, extravesical, and endoscopic approaches, respectively. In multivariate analyses, distal ureteral management (p=0.01), surgical technique (open vs laparoscopic; p=0.02), previous bladder cancer (p<0.001), higher tumor stage (trend; p=0.01), concomitant carcinoma in situ (CIS) (p<0.001), and lymph node involvement (trend; p<0.001) were all associated with intravesical recurrence. Excluding patients with history of previous bladder cancer, all variables remained independent predictors of intravesical recurrence., Conclusions: The endoscopic approach was associated with higher intravesical recurrence rates. Interestingly, concomitant CIS in the upper tract is a strong predictor of intravesical recurrence after RNU. The association of laparoscopic RNU with intravesical recurrence needs to be further investigated., (Copyright © 2012 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: Lymph node metastasis (LNM) is the most powerful pathologic predictor of disease recurrence after radical cystectomy (RC). However, the outcomes of patients with LNM are highly variable., Objective: To assess the prognostic value of extranodal extension (ENE) and other lymph node (LN) parameters., Design, Setting, and Participants: A retrospective analysis of 748 patients with urothelial carcinoma of the bladder and LNM treated with RC and lymphadenectomy without neoadjuvant therapy at 10 European and North American centers (median follow-up: 27 mo)., Intervention: All subjects underwent RC and bilateral pelvic lymphadenectomy., Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis: Each LNM was microscopically evaluated for the presence of ENE. The number of LNs removed, number of positive LNs, and LN density were recorded and calculated. Univariable and multivariable analyses addressed time to disease recurrence and cancer-specific mortality after RC., Results and Limitations: A total of 375 patients (50.1%) had ENE. The median number of LNs removed, number of positive LNs, and LN density were 15, 2, and 15, respectively. The rate of ENE increased with advancing pT stage (p<0.001). In multivariable Cox regression analyses that adjusted for the effects of established clinicopathologic features and LN parameters, ENE was associated with disease recurrence (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.55-2.31; p<0.001) and cancer-specific mortality (HR: 1.90; 95% CI, 1.52-2.37; p<0.001). The addition of ENE to a multivariable model that included pT stage, tumor grade, age, gender, lymphovascular invasion, surgical margin status, LN density, number of LNs removed, number of positive LNs, and adjuvant chemotherapy improved predictive accuracy for disease recurrence and cancer-specific mortality from 70.3% to 77.8% (p<0.001) and from 71.8% to 77.8% (p=0.007), respectively. The main limitation of the study is its retrospective nature., Conclusions: ENE is an independent predictor of both cancer recurrence and cancer-specific mortality in RC patients with LNM. Knowledge of ENE status could help with patient counseling, clinical decision making regarding inclusion in clinical trials of adjuvant therapy, and tailored follow-up scheduling after RC., (Copyright © 2012 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: Cigarette smoking is a common risk factor for developing upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC)., Objective: To assess the impact of cigarette smoking status, cumulative smoking exposure, and time from cessation on oncologic UTUC outcomes in patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy (RNU)., Design, Setting, and Participants: A total of 864 patients underwent RNU at five institutions. The median follow-up in this retrospective study was 50 mo. Smoking history included smoking status, quantity of cigarettes per day (CPD), duration in years, and years from smoking cessation. The cumulative smoking exposure was categorized as light-short-term (≤ 19 CPD and ≤ 19.9 yr), moderate (all combinations except light-short-term and heavy-long-term), and heavy-long-term (≥ 20 CPD and ≥ 20 yr)., Interventions: RNU with or without lymph node dissection. No patient received neoadjuvant chemotherapy., Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis: Univariable and multivariable logistic regression and competing risk regression analyses assessed the effects of smoking on oncologic outcomes., Results and Limitations: A total of 244 patients (28.2%) never smoked; 297 (34.4%) and 323 (37.4%) were former and current smokers, respectively. Among smokers, 87 (10.1%), 331 (38.3%), and 202 (23.4%) were light-short-term, moderate, and heavy-long-term smokers, respectively. Current smoking status, smoking ≥ 20 CPD, ≥ 20 yr, and heavy-long-term smoking were associated with advanced disease (p values ≤ 0.004), greater likelihood of disease recurrence (p values ≤ 0.01), and cancer-specific mortality (p values ≤ 0.05) on multivariable analyses that adjusted for standard features. Patients who quit smoking ≥ 10 yr prior to RNU did not differ from never smokers regarding advanced tumor stages, disease recurrence, and cancer-specific mortality, but they had better oncologic outcomes then current smokers and those patients who quit smoking <10 yr prior to RNU. The study is limited by its retrospective nature., Conclusions: Cigarette smoking is significantly associated with advanced disease stages, disease recurrence, and cancer-specific mortality in patients treated with RNU for UTUC. Current smokers and those with a heavy and long-term smoking exposure have the highest risk for poor oncologic outcomes. Smoking cessation >10 yr prior to RNU seems to mitigate some detrimental effects. These results underscore the need for smoking cessation and prevention programs., (Copyright © 2012 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: Radical cystectomy (RC) with pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND) is the standard of care for high-risk non-muscle-invasive and muscle-invasive bladder cancer (BCa)., Objective: To develop a model that allows quantification of the likelihood that a pathologically node-negative patient has, indeed, no positive nodes., Design, Setting, and Participants: We analyzed data from 4335 patients treated with RC and PLND without neoadjuvant chemotherapy at 12 international academic centers., Interventions: Patients underwent RC and PLND., Outcome Measurements and Statistical Analysis: We estimated the sensitivity of pathologic nodal staging using a beta-binomial model and developed a pathologic (postoperative) nodal staging score (pNSS) that represents the probability that a patient is correctly staged as node negative as a function of the number of examined nodes., Results and Limitations: Overall, the probability of missing a positive node decreases with the increasing number of nodes examined (52% if 3 nodes are examined, 40% if 5 are examined, and 26% if 10 are examined). The proportion of having a positive node increased proportionally with advancing pathologic T stage and lymphovascular invasion (LVI). Patients with LVI who had 25 examined nodes would have a pNSS of 80% (pT1), 88% (pT2), and 66% (pT3-T4), whereas 10 examined nodes were sufficient for pNSS exceeding 90% in patients without LVI and pT0-T2 tumors. This study is limited because of its retrospective design and multicenter nature., Conclusions: We developed a tool that estimates the likelihood of lymph node (LN) metastasis in BCa patients treated with RC by evaluating the number of examined nodes, the pathologic T stage, and LVI. The pNSS indicates the adequacy of nodal staging in LN-negative patients. This tool could help to refine clinical decision making regarding adjuvant chemotherapy, follow-up scheduling, and inclusion in clinical trials., (Copyright © 2012 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: Dissimilarities in management and outcomes exist between upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) and urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB)., Objective: The aim of this study was to analyze the stage-specific impact of upper or lower urinary tract tumor location on oncologic outcomes., Design, Setting, and Participants: Data were collected from 4335 patients with UCB treated with radical cystectomy (RC) and bilateral pelvic lymphadenectomy (PLND), 877 patients with ureteral UTUC, and 1615 with pelvicalyceal UTUC treated with radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). No patient received preoperative chemotherapy or radiation therapy., Interventions: Patients were treated with RC and bilateral PLND or RNU., Measurements: Outcomes were assessed according to primary tumor location., Results and Limitations: Compared to UTUC patients, UCB patients had more advanced tumor stage and higher grade, and they were more likely to harbor lymphovascular invasion (LVI) and lymph node metastasis (p<0.001). In non-muscle-invasive tumor stages, UCB patients were more likely to experience disease recurrence and mortality compared to renal pelvicalyceal tumor patients (p<0.002) but not ureteral tumors (p>0.05). In pT2 and pT3 tumors, there was no difference in outcomes between the three tumor locations. In pT4 tumors, patients with ureteral and pelvicalyceal tumors were more likely to experience disease recurrence and mortality compared to UCB patients (p<0.004). These stage-specific findings were unchanged after adjustment for the effects of age, gender, tumor grade, LVI, lymph node status, and adjuvant chemotherapy. This study is limited by its retrospective and multicenter nature., Conclusions: Stage-specific differences in outcomes exist between UCB and UTUC. The differentially worse outcomes by stage between UCB and UTUC patients underline the differences between both cancer entities and the need for individualized stage-specific management for each patient., (Copyright © 2012 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: Novel prognostic factors for patients after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) have recently been described., Objective: We tested the prognostic value of pathologic characteristics and developed models to predict the individual probabilities of recurrence-free survival (RFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) after RNU., Design, Setting, and Participants: Our study included 2244 patients treated with RNU without neoadjuvant or adjuvant therapy at 23 international institutions. Tumor characteristics included T classification, grade, lymph node status, lymphovascular invasion, tumor architecture, location, and concomitant carcinoma in situ (CIS). The cohort was randomly split for development (12 centers, n=1273) and external validation (11 centers, n=971)., Interventions: All patients underwent RNU., Measurements: Univariable and multivariable models addressed RFS, CSS, and comparison of discrimination and calibration with American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage grouping., Results and Limitations: At a median follow-up of 45 mo, 501 patients (22.3%) experienced disease recurrence and 418 patients (18.6%) died of UTUC. On multivariable analysis, T classification (p for trend <0.001), lymph node metastasis (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.98; p=0.002), lymphovascular invasion (HR: 1.66; p<0.001), sessile tumor architecture (HR: 1.76; p<0.001), and concomitant CIS (HR: 1.33; p=0.035) were associated with disease recurrence. Similarly, T classification (p for trend<0.001), lymph node metastasis (HR: 2.23; p=0.001), lymphovascular invasion (HR: 1.81; p<0.001), and sessile tumor architecture (HR: 1.72; p=0.001) were independently associated with cancer-specific mortality. Our models achieved 76.8% and 81.5% accuracy for predicting RFS and CSS, respectively. In contrast to these well-calibrated models, stratification based upon AJCC stage grouping resulted in a large degree of heterogeneity and did not improve discrimination., Conclusions: Using standard pathologic features, we developed highly accurate prognostic models for the prediction of RFS and CSS after RNU for UTUC. These models offer improvements in calibration over AJCC stage grouping and can be used for individualized patient counseling, follow-up scheduling, risk stratification for adjuvant therapies, and inclusion criteria for clinical trials., (Copyright © 2012 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: Radical cystectomy (RC) with pelvic lymph node dissection (LND) is the standard of care for refractory non-muscle-invasive and muscle-invasive bladder cancer. Although consensus exists on the need for LND, its extent is still debated., Objective: To develop a model that allows preoperative determination of the minimum number of lymph nodes (LNs) needed to be removed at RC to ensure true nodal status., Design, Setting, and Participants: We analyzed data from 4335 patients treated with RC and pelvic LND without neoadjuvant chemotherapy at 12 academic centers located in the United States, Canada, and Europe., Measurements: We estimated the sensitivity of pathologic nodal staging using a beta-binomial model and developed clinical (preoperative) nodal staging scores (cNSS), which represent the probability that a patient has LN metastasis as a function of the number of examined nodes., Results and Limitations: The probability of missing a positive LN decreased with an increasing number of nodes examined (52% if 3 nodes were examined, 40% if 5 were examined, and 26% if 10 were examined). A cNSS of 90% was achieved by examining 6 nodes for clinical Ta-Tis tumors, 9 nodes for cT1 tumors, and 25 nodes for cT2 tumors. In contrast, examination of 25 nodes provided only 77% cNSS for cT3-T4 tumors. The study is limited due to its retrospective design, its multicenter nature, and a lack of preoperative staging parameters., Conclusions: Every patient treated with RC for bladder cancer needs an LND to ensure accurate nodal staging. The minimum number of examined LNs for adequate staging depends preoperatively on the clinical T stage. Predictive tools can give a preoperative estimation of the likelihood of nodal metastasis and thereby allow tailored decision-making regarding the extent of LND at RC., (Copyright © 2011 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: The prognostic impact of multifocal upper-tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) is poorly understood., Objective: To investigate the association between tumor multifocality and clinicopathologic features and outcomes of UTUC in patients managed by radical nephroureterectomy (RNU)., Design, Setting, and Participants: The study included 2492 patients treated with either open or laparoscopic RNU. Tumor and patient characteristics included tumor stage, tumor grade, lymph node status, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), tumor architecture, tumor location, unifocal or multifocal disease, gender, age, history of bladder cancer (BCa), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS), and adjuvant chemotherapy. tumor multifocality of UTUC was defined as the synchronous presence of multiple tumors in the renal pelvis or ureter., Intervention: All patients were treated with either open or laparoscopic RNU., Measurements: Univariable and multivariable models tested the effect of tumor multifocality on disease progression and cancer-specific mortality., Results and Limitations: Five hundred ninety patients (23.7%) had tumor multifocality at the time of RNU. The median follow-up was 45 mo (interquartile range [IQR]: 0-101). Tumor multifocality was significantly associated with a history of previous BCa (p=0.032), lymph node involvement (p=0.036), tumor location in the ureter (p=0.003), higher tumor stage (p<0.001), higher tumor grade (p<0.001), sessile tumor architecture (p=0.003), and LVI (p=0.001). In organ-confined patients, tumor multifocality was an independent predictor of both disease progression (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.43; p=0.019) and cancer-specific mortality (HR: 1.46; p=0.027). When assessed in all patients, tumor multifocality was associated with both disease progression and cancer-specific mortality in univariable (p=0.005 and p=0.006, respectively) but not in multivariable analyses (p=0.468 and p=0.798, respectively). The main limitation is the retrospective design of the study., Conclusions: Tumor multifocality is an independent prognosticator of disease progression and cancer-specific mortality in patients with organ-confined UTUC treated with RNU. Multifocal organ-confined patients with UTUC may need closer follow-up. Integration of tumor multifocality with other factors may help identify those patients who would benefit from multimodal therapy., (Copyright © 2011 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...

Background: Although the performance of immunocytology has been established in the surveillance of patients with urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB), its value in the initial detection of UCB in patients with painless hematuria remains unclear., Objective: To determine whether immunocytology improves our ability to predict the likelihood of UCB in patients with painless hematuria. Further, to test the clinical benefit of immunocytology in this setting using decision curve analysis., Design, Setting, and Participants: The subjects were 1182 consecutive patients without a history of UCB presenting with painless hematuria and were enrolled at three centres., Intervention: All patients underwent upper-tract imaging, cystourethroscopy, voided urine cytology, and immunocytology analysis. Bladder tumors were biopsied and histologically confirmed as UCB., Measurements: Multivariable regression models were developed. Area under the curve was measured and compared using the DeLong test. A nomogram was constructed from the full multivariable model. Decision curve analysis was performed to evaluate the clinical benefit associated with use of the multivariable models including immunocytology., Results and Limitations: Immunocytology had the largest contribution to a multivariable model for the prediction of UCB (odds ratio: 18.3; p<0.0001), which achieved a 90.8% predictive accuracy. Decision curve analysis revealed that models incorporating immunocytology achieved the highest net benefit at all threshold probabilities., Conclusions: Immunocytology is a strong predictor of the presence of UCB in patients who present with painless hematuria. Incorporation of immunocytology into predictive models improves diagnostic accuracy by a statistically and clinically significant margin. The use of immunocytology in the diagnostic workup of patients with hematuria appears promising and should be further evaluated., (Copyright © 2011 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) more...