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In the Caputo sense, the goal of this paper is to develop a thorough analysis for the Nipah virus sickness under piecewise equations with fractional order derivative. Here, we take into account a SIRD-type model with classes for susceptible, infected, recovered, and dead individuals. We evaluate the solution's viability using the notion of fractional order derivative. The fundamental reproduction number is also calculated. Here, we offer sufficient requirements for the Ulam–Hyers (UH) stability and the existence theory of the solution. We also give some numerical simulations for several compartments using the RK4 approach. In order to deepen our investigation, we therefore investigate the aforementioned disease's transmission process using some novel fractional calculus notions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The infection of coronavirus (COVID-19) is a dangerous and life-threatening disease which spread to almost all parts of the globe. We present a mathematical model for the transmission of COVID-19 with vaccination effects. The basic properties of fractional calculus are presented for the inspection of the model. We calculate the equilibria of the model and determined the reproduction number ℛ 0 . Local asymptotic stability conditions for the disease-free are obtained which determines the conditions to stabilize the exponential spread of the disease. The nonlinear least-square procedure is utilized to parameterize the model from actual cases reported in Pakistan. By fixed point theory, we prove the existence of a unique solution. We also present numerical results to simulate virus transmission and compare the results with those of the Caputo derivative. We study the solution pathways of the COVID-19 system to provide effective control policies for the infection. Significant changes have been noticed by lowering the order of fractional derivative. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper deals with the fractional mathematical model for the spread of polio in a community with variable size structure including the role of vaccination. The considered model has been extended with help of Atangana–Baleanu in the sense of the Caputo (ABC) fractional operator. The positivity and boundedness of solution (positively invariant region) are presented for the ABC-fractional model of polio. The fixed-point theory has been adopted to study the existing results and uniqueness of the solution for the concerned problem. We also investigate the stability result for the considered model using the Ulam–Hyers stability scheme by taking a small perturbation in the beginning. Numerical simulation is obtained with the help of the fractional Adams–Bashforth technique. Two different initial approximations for all the compartments have been tested for achieving stability to their same equilibrium points. The control simulation is also drawn at fixed infection and exposure rates at various fractional orders. The comparison at different available rates of infection and exposition is also plotted to show the decrease in the infection by decreasing these rates. Various graphical presentations are given to understand the dynamics of the model at various fractional orders. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

There are still mathematical predictions in the fight against epidemics. Speedy expansion, ways and procedures for the pandemic control require early understanding when solutions with better computer-based mathematical modeling and prognosis are developed. Despite high uncertainty in each of these models, one of the important tools for public health management system is epidemiology models. The fractional order is shown to be more effective in modeling epidemic diseases, in relation to the memory effects. Notably, recently founded calculus tools, called fractal-fractional calculus, having a fractional order and fractal dimension, enable us to study the behavior of a real-world problem under both fractal and fractional tools. This paper is about the dynamical behavior of a new mathematical model of novel corona disease (COVID-19) under the fractal-fractional Atangana–Baleanu derivative. The considered model has three compartments, namely, susceptible, infected and recovered or removed (SIR). The existence and uniqueness of the model's solution will be proved via Krasnoselskii's and Banach's fixed point theorems, respectively. The stability of the solution in the sense of Hyers–Ulam (HU) will be built up by nonlinear functional analysis. Moreover, the numerical simulations for different values of isolation parameters corresponding to various fractal-fractional orders are analyzed using fractional Adams–Bashforth (AB) method with two-step Lagrange polynomial. Finally, the obtained simulation results are applied to the real data of disease spread from Pakistan. The graphical interpretations demonstrate that increasing the isolation parameters which is caused by strict precautionary measures will reduce the disease infection transmission in society. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we prove the existence, uniqueness and various kinds of Ulam stability for fractional order coupled systems with fractional order boundary conditions involving Riemann–Liouville fractional derivatives. The standard fixed point theorem like Leray–Schauder alternative and Banach contraction are applied to establish the existence theory and uniqueness. Furthermore, we build sufficient conditions for the stability mentioned above by two methods. Also, an example is given to illustrate our theoretical results. The proposed problem is the generalization of third-order ordinary differential equations with classical, initial and anti-periodic boundary conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]