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Runoff‐generated debris flows are a potentially destructive and deadly response to wildfire until sufficient vegetation and soil‐hydraulic recovery have reduced susceptibility to the hazard. Elevated debris‐flow susceptibility may persist for several years, but the controls on the timespan of the susceptible period are poorly understood. To evaluate the connection between vegetation recovery and debris‐flow occurrence, we calculated recovery for 25 fires in the western United States using satellite‐derived leaf area index (LAI) and compared recovery estimates to the timing of 536 debris flows from the same fires. We found that the majority (>98%) of flows occurred when LAI was less than 2/3 of typical prefire values. Our results show that total vegetation recovery is not necessary to inhibit runoff‐generated flows in a wide variety of regions in the western United States. Satellite‐derived vegetation data show promise for estimating the timespan of debris‐flow susceptibility. Plain Language Summary: Debris flows caused by excessive surface‐water runoff during intense rainfall can be a deadly and destructive hazard in mountainous areas after wildfire. In some cases, debris flows have only occurred in the burned area in the weeks to months after the fire, while, in other cases, debris flows occurred over several years. Though the recovery of vegetation is important for stabilizing sediment and reducing debris‐flow likelihood, uncertainty remains about how much recovery is needed to inhibit debris flows and about how much time is needed to reach this level of recovery. Knowing for how long debris flows are likely to be a hazard is important for managing risks to residents and infrastructure. To investigate this issue, we assembled a data set of 536 debris flows from the western United States and used satellite‐derived vegetation data to calculate the recovery condition of the burned area when each debris flow occurred. We found that the vast majority of the debris flows initiated when the burned area had not yet reached two‐thirds of its prefire vegetation condition. Burned areas that were slower to recover tended to experience debris flows over more protracted timescales. Key Points: Majority (>98%) of western United States postfire debris flows occurred when leaf area index was less than 2/3 of typical prefire valuesTotal recovery of vegetation not necessary to inhibit debris flowsRemotely sensed postfire vegetation state useful to evaluate elevated debris‐flow susceptibility with time [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Runoff‐generated debris flows are a potentially destructive and deadly response to wildfire until sufficient vegetation and soil‐hydraulic recovery have reduced susceptibility to the hazard. Elevated debris‐flow susceptibility may persist for several years, but the controls on the timespan of the susceptible period are poorly understood. To evaluate the connection between vegetation recovery and debris‐flow occurrence, we calculated recovery for 25 fires in the western United States using satellite‐derived leaf area index (LAI) and compared recovery estimates to the timing of 536 debris flows from the same fires. We found that the majority (>98%) of flows occurred when LAI was less than 2/3 of typical prefire values. Our results show that total vegetation recovery is not necessary to inhibit runoff‐generated flows in a wide variety of regions in the western United States. Satellite‐derived vegetation data show promise for estimating the timespan of debris‐flow susceptibility.