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The impact of methane convection on the circulation of Titan is investigated in the Titan Atmospheric Model (TAM), using a simplified Betts–Miller (SBM) moist convection parameterization scheme. We vary the reference relative humidity ( R H S B M ) and relaxation timescale of convection ( τ ) parameters of the SBM scheme. Titan’s atmosphere is mostly insensitive to changes in τ , but convective instability and precipitation are highly impacted by changes in R H S B M . Convection behavior changes from infrequent ( R H S B M to near-continuous precipitation at the poles during summer at high R H S B M (85%). The intermediate regime ( R H S B M =70%–80%) consists of frequent events ( ∼ 10 per Titan year) of moderate intensity that are limited in meridional extent to their respective hemisphere. Using results from the Titan Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (TRAMS) and observations, we tune the parameters of the SBM parameterization with optimum values of RH=80% and τ =28800 s. We present a simulated decadal climatology that qualitatively matches observations of Titan’s humidity and cloud activity and generally resembles previous results with TAM. Comparing this simulation to one without moist convection demonstrates that convection strengthens the meridional circulation, warms the mid-levels and cools the surface at the poles, and magnifies zonal-mean global moisture anomalies.

Cassini-Huygens provided a wealth of data with which to constrain numerical models of Titan. Such models have been employed over the last decade to investigate various aspects of Titan's atmosphere and climate, and several three-dimensional general circulation models (GCMs) now exist that simulate Titan with a high degree of fidelity. However, substantial uncertainties persist, and at the same time no dedicated intercomparisons have assessed the degree to which these models agree with each other or the observations. To address this gap, and motivated by the proposed Dragonfly Titan lander mission, we directly compare three Titan GCMs to each other and to in situ observations, and also provide multi-model expectations for the low-latitude environment during the early northern winter season. Globally, the models qualitatively agree in their representation of the atmospheric structure and circulation, though one model severely underestimates meridional temperature gradients and zonal winds. We find that, at low latitudes, simulated and observed atmospheric temperatures closely agree in all cases, while the measured winds above the boundary layer are only quantitatively matched by one model. Nevertheless, the models simulate similar near-surface winds, and all indicate these are weak. Likewise, temperatures and methane content at low latitudes are similar between models, with some differences that are largely attributable to modeling assumptions. All models predict environments that closely resemble that encountered by the Huygens probe, including little or no precipitation at low latitudes during northern winter. The most significant differences concern the methane cycle, though the models are least comparable in this area and substantial uncertainties remain. We suggest that, while the overall low-latitude environment on Titan at this season is now fairly well constrained, future in situ measurements and monitoring will transform our understanding of regional and temporal variability, atmosphere-surface coupling, Titan's methane cycle, and modeling thereof.

The deep convective cloud–environment feedback loop is likely important to Titan's global methane, energy, and momentum cycles, just as it is for Earth's global water, energy, and momentum budgets. General circulation models of Titan's atmosphere are unable to explicitly simulate deep convection and must instead parameterize the impact of this important subgrid-scale phenomenon on the model-resolved atmospheric state. The goal of this study is to better quantify through cloud resolving modeling the effects of deep convective methane storms on their environment and to feed that information forward to improve parameterizations in global models. Dozens of atmospheric profiles unstable with respect to deep moist convection are extracted from the global Titan Atmospheric Model (TAM) and used to initialize the cloud-resolving Titan Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (TRAMS). Mean profiles of heating/cooling and moistening/drying of the large-scale environment in TRAMS indicate that Titan's deep convection forces the environment in a manner analogous to Earth: Large-scale subsidence of the environmental air warms and dries the environment, but clouds can also moisten the environment through the detrainment and evaporation of condensate near cloud top. Relative humidity profiles and characteristic convective time scales are derived to guide the tuning of the deep convective parameterization implemented in TAM, as described in a companion paper. The triggering of convection, the dry convective mixing of the planetary boundary layer, and the entrainment of environmental air into rising air parcels are found to be critical to determining whether a deep convective cloud will form. Only profiles with relatively large convective available potential energy (CAPE) and well mixed planetary boundary layers with high relative humidity were found to produce storms. Environments with low-level thermal inversions and planetary boundary layers with low relative humidity or rapidly decreasing moisture with height failed to generate deep convection in TRAMS despite positive CAPE.

We retrieve vertical and meridional variations of methane mole fraction in Titan's lower troposphere by re-analyzing near-infrared ground-based observations from 17 July 2014 UT (Adamkovics et al., 2016). We generate synthetic spectra using atmospheric methane profiles that do not contain supersaturation or discontinuities to fit the observations, and thereby retrieve minimum saturation altitudes and corresponding specific humidities in the boundary layer. We relate these in turn to surface-level relative humidities using independent surface temperature measurements. We also compare our results with general circulation model simulations to interpret and constrain the relationship between humidities and surface liquids. The results show that Titan's lower troposphere is undersaturated at latitudes south of 60N, consistent with a dry surface there, but increases in humidity toward the north pole indicate appreciable surface liquid coverage. While our observations are consistent with considerably more liquid methane existing at the north pole than is present in observed lakes, a degeneracy between low-level methane and haze leads to substantial uncertainty in determining the extent of the source region., Comment: Accepted for publication in Icarus

There are few identifiable impact craters on Titan, especially in the polar regions. One explanation for this observation is that the craters are being destroyed through fluvial processes, such as weathering, mass wasting, fluvial incision and deposition. In this work, we use a landscape evolution model to determine whether or not this is a viable mechanism for crater destruction on Titan. We find that fluvial degradation can modify craters to the point where they would be unrecognizable by an orbiting spacecraft such as Cassini, given enough time and a large enough erosion rate. A difference in the erosion rate between the equator and the poles of a factor of a few could explain the latitudinal variation in Titan’s crater population. Fluvial erosion also removes central peaks and fills in central pits, possibly explaining their infrequent occurrence in Titan craters. Although many craters on Titan appear to be modified by aeolian infilling, fluvial modification is necessary to explain the observed impact crater morphologies. Thus, it is an important secondary modification process even in Titan’s drier equatorial regions.

Wind-blown dunes are a record of the climatic history in Titan’s equatorial region. Through modeling of the climatic conditions associated with Titan’s historical orbital configurations (arising from apsidal precessions of Saturn’s orbit), we present evidence that the orientations of the dunes are influenced by orbital forcing. Analysis of 3 Titan general circulation models (GCMs) in conjunction with a sediment transport model provides the first direct intercomparison of results from different Titan GCMs. We report variability in the dune orientations predicted for different orbital epochs of up to 70°. Although the response of the GCMs to orbital forcing varies, the orbital influence on the dune orientations is found to be significant across all models. Furthermore, there is near agreement among the two models run with surface topography, with 3 out of the 5 dune fields matching observation for the most recent orbital cycle. Through comparison with observations by Cassini, we find situations in which the observed dune orientations are in best agreement with those modeled for previous orbital configurations or combinations thereof, representing a larger portion of the cycle. We conclude that orbital forcing could be an important factor in governing the present-day dune orientations observed on Titan and should be considered when modeling dune evolution.

We investigate the effects of varying Saturn’s orbit on the atmospheric circulation and surface methane distribution of Titan. Using a new general circulation model of Titan’s atmosphere, we simulate its climate under four characteristic configurations of orbital parameters that correspond to snapshots over the past 42 kyr, capturing the amplitude range of long-period cyclic variations in eccentricity and longitude of perihelion. The model, which covers pressures from the surface to 0.5 mbar, reproduces the present-day temperature profile and tropospheric superrotation. In all four simulations, the atmosphere efficiently transports methane poleward, drying out the low- and mid-latitudes, indicating that these regions have been desert-like for at least tens of thousands of years. Though circulation patterns are not significantly different, the amount of surface methane that builds up over either pole strongly depends on the insolation distribution; in the present-day, methane builds up preferentially in the north, in agreement with observations, where summer is milder but longer. The same is true, to a lesser extent, for the configuration 14 kyr ago, while the south pole gains more methane in the case for 28 kyr ago, and the system is almost symmetric 42 kyr ago. This confirms the hypothesis that orbital forcing influences the distribution of surface liquids, and that the current observed asymmetry could have been partially or fully reversed in the past. The evolution of the orbital forcing implies that the surface reservoir is transported on timescales of ∼30 kyr, in which case the asymmetry reverses with a period of ∼125 kyr. Otherwise, the orbital forcing does not produce a net asymmetry over longer timescales, and is not a likely mechanism for generating the observed dichotomy.

Seasonality in Titan’s troposphere is driven by latitudinally varying insolation. We show that the latitudinal distributions of insolation in the troposphere and at the surface, based on Huygens DISR measurements, can be approximated analytically with nonzero extinction optical depths τ, and are not equivalent to that at the top of the atmosphere (τ = 0), as has been assumed previously. This has implications for the temperature distribution and the circulation, which we explore with a simple box model. The surface temperature maximum and the upwelling arm of thermally-direct meridional circulation reach the midlatitudes, not the poles, during summertime.