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Anthropogenic alterations to river flow could have repercussions for flow-dependent species downstream but few studies account for these dynamic relationships or quantify impacts of altered river flow. Scylla serrata— a widely distributed portunid crab—was used as an example of a flow-dependent species to model impacts of altered flow on species abundance and catch. Crab population dynamics were modelled across a large semi-enclosed tropical sea in northern Australia. Environmental drivers, primarily river flow, but also temperature and the Southern Oscillation Index were linked to crab dynamics to explain variability in historical catches. Catch and abundance could then be predicted under altered flow scenarios. River flow significantly improved the ability to explain historical catches for some regions but not all, and the strength of this relationship varied across catchments. Altered flows had negligible effects for perennial rivers but for ephemeral and temporally variable rivers, predicted decreases in abundance and catch ranged from 36 to 46% on average. Our modelling approach showcases a way to dynamically and rigorously quantify impacts of altered river flow on a key species with potential to help inform natural resource management, including policy decisions on the timing, quantity, and method of water removed from rivers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Plagányi, É. E., Weeks, J. S., Skewes, T. D., Gibbs, M. T., Poloczanska, E. S., Norman-López, A., Blamey, L. K., Soares, M., and Robinson, W. M. L. 2011. Assessing the adequacy of current fisheries management under changing climate: a southern synopsis. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 68: 1305–1317.Climate change is likely to have a significant impact on both target and non-target marine stocks worldwide, with the concomitant need for management strategies capable of sustaining fishing in future. We use several southern hemisphere fisheries to highlight the likely impacts of climate change at a range of levels, from individual to population responses, as well as ecosystem ramifications. Examples span polar (Antarctic krill fishery), temperate (west coast pelagic fishery, abalone and rock lobster), and tropical (Torres Strait rock lobster) commercially important fisheries. Responses of these fisheries to either past observed environmental changes or projected future changes are used to deduce some anticipated implications of climate change for fisheries management, including economic impacts and governance considerations. We evaluate the effectiveness of current single-species assessment models, management strategy evaluation approaches and multispecies assessment models as future management tools to cope with likely climate-related changes. Non-spatial stock assessment models will have limited ability to separate fishery effects from the impacts of climate change. Anthropogenic climate change is occurring at a time-scale relevant to current fisheries management strategic planning and testing. Adaptive management frameworks (with their feedback loops) are ideal for detecting and adapting to changes in target stocks. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]