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A range of applications in cognitive radio networks, from adaptive spectrum sensing to predictive spectrum mobility and dynamic spectrum access, depend on our ability to foresee the state evolution of radio spectrum, raising a fundamental question: To what degree is radio spectrum state (RSS) predictable? In this article we explore the fundamental limits of predictability in RSS dynamics by studying the RSS evolution patterns in spectrum bands of several popular services, including TV bands, ISM bands, cellular bands, and so on. From an information theory perspective, we introduce a methodology of using statistical entropy measures and Fano inequality to quantify the degree of predictability underlying real-world spectrum measurements. Despite the apparent randomness, we find a remarkable predictability, as large as 90 percent, in real-world RSS dynamics over a number of spectrum bands for all popular services. Furthermore, we discuss the potential applications of prediction-based spectrum sharing in 5G wireless communications. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Fifth generation wireless systems (5G) must achieve high user Quality of Experience (QoE) in order to compete for market share. Each candidate 5G wireless radio frequency (RF) band offers advantages such as longer range or higher data rate than 2G, 3G, and 4G, but no single band or air interface standard by itself fully achieves ubiquitous levels of QoE for the complete range of wireless access devices. Spectrum clearing cannot keep pace with user demand, so public-private spectrum sharing is emerging as an affordable, near-term method of increasing radio access network (RAN) capacities for content delivery. This paper presents a fresh look at QoE; spectrum scarcity; public uses that underutilize candidate 5G radio frequency (RF) spectrum; and emerging public-private radio interference management frameworks that enable near-term spectrum sharing, with positive consequences for 5G price, performance, and total user QoE. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]