1. Relative and absolute risks of all-cause and cause-specific deaths attributable to atrial fibrillation in middle-aged and elderly community dwellers
- Author
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Toru Kuribayashi, Toshiyuki Onoda, Kazuyoshi Itai, Masaki Ohsawa, Motoyuki Nakamura, Shinichi Omama, Yasuhiro Ishibashi, Tomoaki Fujioka, Naomi Miyamatsu, Fumitaka Tanaka, Kiyomi Sakata, Kuniaki Ogasawara, Tanvir Chowdhury Turin, Tomonori Okamura, Tomonori Itoh, Yuki Yoshida, Kozo Tanno, Akira Ogawa, Yoshihiro Morino, Shinji Makita, Yuki Yonekura, Akira Okayama, and Mutsuko Ohta
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Disease ,Sudden cardiac death ,Cohort Studies ,symbols.namesake ,Japan ,Risk Factors ,Cause of Death ,Internal medicine ,Atrial Fibrillation ,Humans ,Medicine ,Prospective Studies ,Poisson regression ,Intensive care medicine ,Prospective cohort study ,Aged ,business.industry ,Absolute risk reduction ,Atrial fibrillation ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Confidence interval ,Relative risk ,symbols ,Female ,Independent Living ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Follow-Up Studies - Abstract
Background The relative and absolute risks of outcomes other than all-cause death (ACD) attributable to atrial fibrillation (AF) stratified age have not been sufficiently investigated. Methods A prospective study of 23,634 community dwellers aged 40years or older without organic cardiovascular disease (AF=335, non-AF=23,299) was conducted. Multivariate-adjusted rates, rate ratios (RRs) and excess deaths (EDs) for ACD, cardiovascular death (CVD) and non-cardiovascular death (non-CVD), and sex- and age-adjusted RR and ED in middle-aged (40 to 69) and elderly (70years or older) for ACD, CVD, non-CVD, sudden cardiac death (SCD), stroke-related death (Str-D), neoplasm-related death (NPD), and infection-related death (IFD) attributable to AF were estimated using Poisson regression. Results Multivariate-adjusted analysis revealed that AF significantly increased the risk of ACD (RR [95% confidence interval]:1.70 [1.23–2.95]) and CVD (3.86 [2.38–6.27]), but not non-CVD. Age-stratified analysis revealed that AF increased the risk of Str-D in middle-aged (14.5 [4.77–44.3]) and elderly individuals (4.92 [1.91–12.7]), SCD in elderly individuals (3.21 [1.37–7.51]), and might increase the risk of IFD in elderly individuals (2.02 [0.80–4.65], p =0.098). The RR of CVD was higher in middle-aged versus elderly individuals (RRs, 6.19 vs. 3.57) but the absolute risk difference was larger in elderly individuals (EDs: 7.6 vs. 3.0 per 1000person-years). Conclusions Larger absolute risk differences for ACD and CVD attributable to AF among elderly people indicate that the absolute burden of AF is higher in elderly versus middle-aged people despite the relatively small RR.
- Published
- 2015
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