7 results on '"Oliver W. Frauenfeld"'
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2. Multi‐decadal variability of soil moisture–temperature coupling over the contiguous United States modulated by Pacific and Atlantic sea surface temperatures
- Author
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Oliver W. Frauenfeld, Trent W. Ford, and Steven M. Quiring
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Moisture ,0208 environmental biotechnology ,Ocean current ,02 engineering and technology ,01 natural sciences ,020801 environmental engineering ,Atlantic Equatorial mode ,North Atlantic oscillation ,Climatology ,Soil water ,Atlantic multidecadal oscillation ,Water content ,Pacific decadal oscillation ,Geology ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Regions of strong land–atmosphere coupling are often depicted as static in time. However, the mechanisms through which the land surface impacts atmospheric conditions vary on sub-daily to multi-decadal timescales. Therefore, characterizing the long-term variability of land–atmosphere interactions may provide a means of predicting when surface-induced extreme temperature events will be more or less likely to occur. We evaluate the coupling strength between soil moisture, as represented by in situ observations and 1-month Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and subsequent monthly maximum temperature (TMAX) over the contiguous United States. We find that the utility of SPI as a proxy for soil moisture anomalies is limited to the summer, as the correlations between SPI and TMAX are not significantly related in the other seasons. We examine the variability in summer SPI–TMAX coupling in four regions of the United States. In general, we find the strongest relationships between SPI and TMAX in the Southern Great Plains. However, our results demonstrate that the coupling strength varies considerably over time in most regions of the United States. The long-term variability in SPI–TMAX coupling strength is strongly related to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation in the northwest and midwest United States, and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in the southeast United States The results of this study suggest that land–atmosphere coupling in the contiguous United States is modulated by multi-decadal oscillations in Pacific and Atlantic sea surface temperatures.
- Published
- 2016
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3. Weather type classification of wildfire ignitions in the central Gulf Coast, United States
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Oliver W. Frauenfeld, Christopher F. Labosier, Charles W. Lafon, and Steven M. Quiring
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Atmospheric Science ,Geography ,North Atlantic oscillation ,Range (biology) ,Climatology ,Westerlies ,Occurrence data ,Classification scheme ,National forest ,Synoptic climatology ,Teleconnection - Abstract
Limited research has been performed examining the relationships between southeast US wildfire and weather type patterns using modern techniques and data sets. The purpose of this article is to examine the relationship between wildfire ignitions in the central Gulf Coast, United States and weather type occurrences in an effort to identify regional patterns associated with wildfire ignitions. Wildfire occurrence data are obtained for nine national forests in the central Gulf Coast for the period 1970 to 2011. The Spatial Synoptic Classification scheme (SSC) is used to classify daily weather type variations for each national forest. Years with high numbers of ignitions experience statistically higher numbers of dry tropical (DT) weather types than years with low numbers of ignitions in five of nine national forests. These differences range from 17 to 160% more DT days during periods of high ignitions. Statistically significant positive Spearman rank correlations exist between annual number of ignitions and annual number of DT days in a given forest. While understanding such relationships on an annual scale is useful, it says nothing about the actual timing of weather types leading up to an ignition. An analysis of weather type activity 30, 90, and 180 days prior to ignitions reveals that the median ratio of DT days to moist moderate (MM) and moist tropical (MT) days is statistically higher for periods leading up to a fire. Positive phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) result in an increased number of DT days. This confirms previous studies that have suggested the strength of the westerlies increases during the positive phase of the NAO, driving DT weather types eastward from their southwest US/Mexico source region. We can therefore also conclude that the positive phase of the NAO is linked with increased wildfire activity in the central Gulf Coast, United States.
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- 2014
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4. Land cover changes and their biogeophysical effects on climate
- Author
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Samuel Gameda, Clive McAlpine, Andrew M. Carleton, Adriana Beltrán-Przekurat, Jinyang Du, Roger A. Pielke, Paul A. Dirmeyer, Rezaul Mahmood, U. S. Nair, Robert Hale, Richard T. McNider, Dev Niyogi, Bruce Baker, Oliver W. Frauenfeld, Marshall Shepherd, Kenneth G. Hubbard, David R. Legates, Peter D. Blanken, and Souleymane Fall
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Atmospheric Science ,Desertification ,Deforestation ,Cloud cover ,Climatology ,Urbanization ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Environmental science ,Afforestation ,Land cover ,Atmospheric temperature ,Teleconnection ,media_common - Abstract
Land cover changes (LCCs) play an important role in the climate system. Research over recent decades highlights the impacts of these changes on atmospheric temperature, humidity, cloud cover, circulation, and precipitation. These impacts range from the local- and regional-scale to sub-continental and global-scale. It has been found that the impacts of regional-scale LCC in one area may also be manifested in other parts of the world as a climatic teleconnection. In light of these findings, this article provides an overview and synthesis of some of the most notable types of LCC and their impacts on climate. These LCC types include agriculture, deforestation and afforestation, desertification, and urbanization. In addition, this article provides a discussion on challenges to, and future research directions in, assessing the climatic impacts of LCC.
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- 2013
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5. Northern Hemisphere freezing/thawing index variations over the twentieth century
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Tingjun Zhang, Oliver W. Frauenfeld, and James McCreight
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Atmospheric Science ,Climatology ,Middle latitudes ,Trend surface analysis ,Northern Hemisphere ,Environmental science ,Climate change ,Cru ,Global change ,Atmospheric temperature ,Permafrost - Abstract
Changes in the ground thermal regime in high-latitude cold regions have important consequences for surface and subsurface hydrology, the surface energy and moisture balance, carbon exchange, as well as ecosystem diversity and productivity. However, assessing these changes, particularly in light of significant atmospheric and terrestrial changes in recent decades, remains a challenge owing to data sparseness and discontinuous observations. The annual freezing and thawing index can be useful in evaluating permafrost and seasonally frozen ground distribution, has important engineering applications, and is a useful indicator of high-latitude climate change. The freezing/thawing index is generally defined based on daily observations, which are not readily available for many high-latitude locations. We thus employ monthly air temperatures, and provide an assessment of the validity of this approach. On the basis of a comprehensive relative error (RE) evaluation we find that our methodology introduces errors of less than 5% for most high-latitude land areas, and works well in many midlatitude regions as well. We evaluate a suite of gridded monthly temperature datasets and select the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit (CRU) temperature product, available for 1901–2002. We are thus able to provide a continuous long-term 25 km × 25 km gridded Northern Hemisphere freezing/thawing index. Long-term climatologies of the freezing/thawing index delineate the cold regions of the Northern Hemisphere, as well as areas of seasonally frozen ground and permafrost. Objective trend analysis indicates that in recent decades, no significant changes have occurred in Russian permafrost regions; however, seasonally frozen ground areas are experiencing significant warming trends. Over North America, Canadian and Alaskan permafrost regions are experiencing a decrease in freezing index during the cold season, while coastal areas and eastern Canada are seeing significant increase in warm season thawing index. Copyright © 2006 Royal Meteorological Society.
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- 2006
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6. Trends in precipitation on the wettest days of the year across the contiguous USA
- Author
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Oliver W. Frauenfeld, Robert E. Davis, Paul C. Knappenberger, and Patrick J. Michaels
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Atmospheric Science ,Trend analysis ,Climatology ,Annual average ,Environmental science ,Climate change ,Climate variation ,Precipitation ,Daily events - Abstract
Over the course of the 20th century, average annual precipitation for the contiguous USA has increased by nearly 10%. This increase has been described as being dominated by ‘disproportionate’ increases in extreme precipitation events. However, methodological constraints have confounded detailed interpretation of such results. Here, we briefly describe those limitations and re-evaluate the nature of the observed precipitation changes using a method that allows for a more accurate examination of changes in the proportion of precipitation delivered in extreme daily events. We focus our analysis only on the trends in precipitation on the 10 wettest days of the year and compare the trends observed on those days with the trend in overall precipitation. When averaged across the USA, we find that the precipitation trends on the 10 wettest days of the year are not significantly different from the trend in total overall precipitation. On a regional level, in the northeast and southeast there is some evidence that the rate of precipitation increase on the wettest days exceeds that of total precipitation, whereas in the rest of the country the precipitation on the wettest days is increasing at a rate less than the increase in total precipitation. Copyright 2004 Royal Meteorological Society.
- Published
- 2004
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7. Trends in precipitation on the wettest days of the year across the contiguous USA.
- Author
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Patrick J. Michaels, Paul C. Knappenberger, Oliver W. Frauenfeld, and Robert E. Davis
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METEOROLOGICAL precipitation ,RAINFALL ,WEATHER forecasting - Abstract
Over the course of the 20th century, average annual precipitation for the contiguous USA has increased by nearly 10%. This increase has been described as being dominated by ‘disproportionate’ increases in extreme precipitation events. However, methodological constraints have confounded detailed interpretation of such results. Here, we briefly describe those limitations and re‐evaluate the nature of the observed precipitation changes using a method that allows for a more accurate examination of changes in the proportion of precipitation delivered in extreme daily events. We focus our analysis only on the trends in precipitation on the 10 wettest days of the year and compare the trends observed on those days with the trend in overall precipitation. When averaged across the USA, we find that the precipitation trends on the 10 wettest days of the year are not significantly different from the trend in total overall precipitation. On a regional level, in the northeast and southeast there is some evidence that the rate of precipitation increase on the wettest days exceeds that of total precipitation, whereas in the rest of the country the precipitation on the wettest days is increasing at a rate less than the increase in total precipitation. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
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