1. Prediction model and prognostic index to estimate clinically relevant pelvic organ prolapse in a general female population.
- Author
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Slieker-ten Hove MC, Pool-Goudzwaard AL, Eijkemans MJ, Steegers-Theunissen RP, Burger CW, and Vierhout ME
- Subjects
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Humans, Logistic Models, Middle Aged, Netherlands epidemiology, Odds Ratio, Prevalence, Prognosis, ROC Curve, Uterine Prolapse epidemiology, Physical Examination, Surveys and Questionnaires, Uterine Prolapse diagnosis
- Abstract
Introduction and Hypothesis: Estimation on prevalence and distribution of pelvic organ prolapse (POP) signs in a general female population is difficult. We therefore developed and validated a prediction model and prognostic instrument., Methods: Questionnaires were sent to a general female population (45-85 years). A random sample underwent vaginal examination for POP (POPQ). A prediction model was developed using multivariate analysis and validated in a subgroup of participants., Results: Positive questionnaire-response rate was 46.8% (1,397 of 2,979). From the questionnaire group, 649 women were vaginally examined (46.5%). Prevalence of clinically relevant POP was 21%. Multivariate analysis demonstrated significantly higher odds ratios on the report of vaginal bulging, parity > or = 2 and a mother with POP. The receiver operating characteristic curve showed areas under the curve of 0.672 and 0.640., Conclusions: The prevalence of POP at or beyond the hymen could be estimated in a general female population using our prediction model with 17 questions and our POP score chart with eight questions.
- Published
- 2009
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