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Atherosclerosis is a leading cause of death worldwide. Making matters worse, nearly 463 million people have diabetes, which increases atherosclerosis-related inflammation. Diabetic patients are twice as likely to have a heart attack or stroke. In this paper, we consider a simplified mathematical model for diabetic atherosclerosis involving LDL, HDL, glucose, insulin, free radicals (ROS), β cells, macrophages and foam cells, which satisfy a system of partial differential equations with a free boundary, the interface between the blood flow and the plaque. We establish the existence of small radially symmetric stationary solutions to the model and study their stability. Our analysis shows that the plague will persist due to hyperglycemia even when LDL and HDL are in normal range, hence confirms that diabetes increase the risk of atherosclerosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Latently infected CD 4 + T cells represent one of the major obstacles to HIV eradication even after receiving prolonged highly active anti-retroviral therapy (HAART). Long-term use of HAART causes the emergence of drug-resistant virus which is then involved in HIV transmission. In this paper, we develop mathematical HIV models with staged disease progression by incorporating entry inhibitor and latently infected cells. We find that entry inhibitor has the same effect as protease inhibitor on the model dynamics and therefore would benefit HIV patients who developed resistance to many of current anti-HIV medications. Numerical simulations illustrate the theoretical results and show that the virus and latently infected cells reach an infected steady state in the absence of treatment and are eliminated under treatment whereas the model including homeostatic proliferation of latently infected cells maintains the virus at low level during suppressive treatment. Therefore, complete cure of HIV needs complete eradication of latent reservoirs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we propose a stochastic delay mutualistic model of leaf-cutter ants with stage structure and their fungus garden, in which we explore how the discrete delay and white noise affect the dynamic of the population system. The existence and uniqueness of global positive solution are proved, and the asymptotic behaviours of the stochastic model around the positive equilibrium point of the deterministic model are also investigated. Furthermore, the sufficient conditions for the persistence of the population are established. Finally, some numerical simulations are performed to show the effect of random environmental fluctuation on the model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

HIV is a virus that weakens a person's immune system. HIV has three stages, and AIDS is the most severe stage of HIV (Stage 3). People with HIV should take medicine (called ART) recommended by WHO as soon as possible to reduce the amount of virus in the body. In this paper, we formulate a mathematical model for HIV/AIDS with a new approach by focusing on two groups of infectious individuals, HIV and AIDS. We also introduce a controlled class (treated patients and being monitored), and people in this class can spread the disease. We further investigate the essential dynamics of the model through an equilibrium analysis. Optimal control theory is applied to explore effective treatment strategies by combining two control measures: standard antiretroviral therapy and AIDS treatments. Numerical simulation results show the effects of the two time-dependent controls, and they can be used as guidelines for public health interventions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The goal of this paper is to investigate the influence of the waning immunity on the dynamics of Tilapia Lake Virus (TiLV) transmission in wild and farmed tilapia within freshwater. We formulate a model for which susceptible individuals can contract the disease in two ways: (i) direct mode caused by contact with infected individuals; (ii) indirect mode due to the presence of pathogenic agents in the water. We obtain an age-structured model which combines both age since infection and age since recovery. We derive an explicit formula for the reproductive number R 0 and show that the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when, R 0 < 1. We discuss on the form of the waning immunity parameter and show numerically that a Hopf bifurcation may occur for suitable immunity parameter values, which means that there is a periodic solution around the endemic equilibrium when, R 0 > 1. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we study the periodic and stable dynamics of an interactive wild and sterile mosquito population model with density-dependent survival probability. We find a release amount upper bound G ∗ , depending on the release waiting period T, such that the model has exactly two periodic solutions, with one stable and another unstable, provided that the release amount does not exceed G ∗ . A numerical example is also given to illustrate our results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper aims to analyse stability and Hopf bifurcation of the HIV-1 model with immune delay under the functional response of the Holling II type. The global stability analysis has been considered by Lyapunov–LaSalle theorem. And stability and the sufficient condition for the existence of Hopf Bifurcation of the infected equilibrium of the HIV-1 model with immune response are also studied. Some numerical simulations verify the above results. Finally, we propose a novel three dimension system to the future study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we propose and analyse a delayed HIV-1 model with both viral and cellular transmissions and virus waning. We obtain the threshold dynamics of the proposed model, characterized by the basic reproduction number R 0 . If R 0 < 1 , the infection-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable; whereas if R 0 > 1 , the system is uniformly persistent. When the delays are positive, we show that the intracellular delays in both viral and cellular infections may lead to stability switches of the infected steady state. Both analytical and numerical results indicate that if the effect of cell-to-cell transmission is ignored, then the risk of HIV-1 infection will be underestimated. Moreover, the viral load of model without virus waning is higher than the one of model with virus waning. These results highlight the important role of two ways of viral transmission and virus waning on HIV-1 infection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we apply a new approach to a special class of discrete time evolution models and establish a solid mathematical foundation to analyse them. We propose new single and multi-species evolutionary competition models using the evolutionary game theory that require a more advanced mathematical theory to handle effectively. A key feature of this new approach is to consider the discrete models as non-autonomous difference equations. Using the powerful tools and results developed in our recent work [E. D'Aniello and S. Elaydi, The structure of ω-limit sets of asymptotically non-autonomous discrete dynamical systems, Discr. Contin. Dyn. Series B. 2019 (to appear).], we embed the non-autonomous difference equations in an autonomous discrete dynamical systems in a higher dimension space, which is the product space of the phase space and the space of the functions defining the non-autonomous system. Our current approach applies to two scenarios. In the first scenario, we assume that the trait equations are decoupled from the equations of the populations. This requires specialized biological and ecological assumptions which we clearly state. In the second scenario, we do not assume decoupling, but rather we assume that the dynamics of the trait is known, such as approaching a positive stable equilibrium point which may apply to a much broader evolutionary dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a mathematical model describing tuberculosis transmission with fast and slow progression and age-dependent latency and infection is investigated. It is assumed in the model that infected individuals can develop tuberculosis by either of two pathogenic mechanisms: direct progression or endogenous reactivation. It is shown that the transmission dynamics of the disease is fully determined by the basic reproduction number. By analyzing corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of a disease-free steady state and an endemic steady state of the model is established. By using the persistence theory for infinite dimensional system, it is proved that the system is uniformly persistent when the basic reproduction number is greater than unity. By constructing suitable Lyapunov functionals and using LaSalle's invariance principle, it is verified that the global dynamics of the system is completely determined by the basic reproduction number. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A more realistic alcoholism model on scale-free networks with demographic and nonlinear infectivity is introduced in this paper. The basic reproduction number R 0 is derived from the next-generation method. Global stability of the alcohol-free equilibrium is obtained. The persistence of our model is also derived. Furthermore, the SAITS model with nonlinear infectivity is also investigated. Stability of all the equilibria and persistence are also obtained. Some numerical simulations are also presented to verify and extend our theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we investigate an age-structured HIV infection model with logistic growth for target cell. We rewrite the model as an abstract non-densely defined Cauchy problem and obtain the condition which guarantees the existence of the unique positive steady state. By linearizing the model at steady state and analysing the associated characteristic transcendental equations, we study the local asymptotic stability of the steady state. Furthermore, by using Hopf bifurcation theorem in Liu et al., we show that Hopf bifurcation occurs at the positive steady state when bifurcating parameter crosses some critical values. Finally, we perform some numerical simulations to illustrate our results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A delayed SEIR epidemic model with saturated incidence and saturated treatment function is considered in this paper. Sufficient conditions for the existence of local Hopf bifurcation are established by regarding the possible combination of the two delays as the bifurcation parameter. General formula for the direction, period and stability of the bifurcated periodic solutions are derived by using the normal form method and the centre manifold theory. Finally, some numerical simulations are given to illustrate the obtained results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we are concerned with a non-autonomous competing model with time delays and feedback controls. Applying the comparison theorem of differential equations and by constructing a suitable Lyapunov functional, some sufficient conditions which guarantee the existence of a unique globally asymptotically stable nonnegative almost periodic solution of the system are established. An example with its numerical simulations is given to illustrate the feasibility of our results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper considers an eco-epidemiological model with disease in the prey population. The disease in the prey divides the total prey population into two subclasses, susceptible prey and infected prey. The model also incorporates fear of predator that reduces the growth rate of the prey population. Furthermore, fear of predator lowers the activity of the prey population, which reduces the disease transmission. The model is well-posed with bounded solutions. It has an extinction equilibrium, susceptible prey equilibrium, susceptible prey-predator equilibrium, and coexistence equilibria. Conditions for local stability of equilibria are established. The model exhibits fear- induced backward bifurcation and bistability. Extensive numerical simulations show the presence of oscillations and occurrence of chaos due to fear induced lower disease transmission in the prey population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a pest management predator–prey model with weak Allee effect on predator and state feedback impulsive control on prey is introduced and analysed, where the yield of predator released and intensity of pesticide sprayed are assumed to be linearly dependent on the selected pest control level. For the proposed model, the existence and stability of the order-1 periodic orbit of the control system are discussed. Meanwhile, with the aim of minimizing the input cost in practice, an optimization model is constructed to determine the optimal quantity of the predator released and the intensity of pesticide sprayed. The theoretical results and numerical simulations indicated that the number of pests can be limited to below an economic threshold and displays periodic variation under the proposed control strategy. In addition, it indicated in numerical simulations that an order-2 periodic orbit exists for some certain parameters. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, an age-structured cholera model with multiple transmissions, saturation incidence and imperfect vaccination is proposed. In the model, we consider both the infection age of infected individuals and the biological age of Vibrio cholerae in the aquatic environment. Asymptotic smoothness is verified as a necessary argument. By analysing the characteristic equations, the local stability of disease-free and endemic steady states is established. By using Lyapunov functionals and LaSalle's invariance principle, it is proved that the global dynamics of the model can be completely determined by basic reproduction number. The study of optimal control helps us seek cost-effective solutions of time-dependent vaccination strategy against cholera outbreaks. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the corresponding theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we establish a mathematical model with two delays to reflect the intrinsic and extrinsic incubation periods of virus in dengue transmission. The basic reproduction number R 0 of the model is defined. It is proved that the disease-free equilibrium is stable when R 0 < 1 and the positive equilibrium is stable when R 0 > 1. Next, we derive an estimation formula for the reproduction number R t when the human population is partially susceptible to dengue. As an application, the R t values of dengue transmission in Singapore in the years 2013–2015 are estimated. Our estimation method can be applied to estimating R t of other infectious diseases, especially when the human population is not completely susceptible to the disease. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we investigate a new alcoholism model in which alcoholics have age structure. We rewrite the model as an abstract non-densely defined Cauchy problem and obtain the condition which guarantees the existence of the unique positive steady state. By linearizing the model at steady state and analyzing the associated characteristic transcendental equations, we study the local asymptotic stability of the steady state. Furthermore, by using Hopf bifurcation theorem in Liu et al. (Z. Angew. Math. Phys. 62 (2011) 191-222), we show that Hopf bifurcation occurs at the positive steady state when bifurcating parameter crosses some critical values. Finally, we perform some numerical simulations to illustrate our theoretical results and give a brief conclusion. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a malaria transmission model with sterile mosquitoes is considered. We first formulate a simple SEIR malaria transmission model as our baseline model. Then sterile mosquitoes are introduced into the baseline model. We consider the case that the release rate of sterile mosquitoes is proportional to the wild mosquito population size. To investigate the impact of releasing sterile mosquitoes on the malaria transmission, the dynamics of the baseline model and the models with the sterile mosquitoes are discussed. We derive formulas of the reproductive numbers and explore the existence of endemic equilibrium as the reproductive number is more than unity for these models. It is shown that both the baseline model and the models with the sterile mosquitoes undergo backward bifurcations. Based on theoretical analysis and numerical simulation, we investigate the impact of releasing sterile mosquitoes on malaria transmission. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a one-prey-n-predator impulsive reaction-diffusion periodic predator-prey system with ratio-dependent functional response is investigated. On the basis of the upper and lower solution method and comparison theory of differential equation, sufficient conditions on the ultimate boundedness and permanence of the predator-prey system are established. By constructing an appropriate auxiliary function, the conditions for the existence of a unique globally stable positive periodic solution are also obtained. Examples and numerical simulations are presented to verify the feasibility of our results. A discussion is conducted at the end. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we present a mathematical model of malaria transmission dynamics with age structure for the vector population and a periodic biting rate of female anopheles mosquitoes. The human population is divided into two major categories: the most vulnerable called non-immune and the least vulnerable called semi-immune. By applying the theory of uniform persistence and the Floquet theory with comparison principle, we analyse the stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the behaviour of the model when the basic reproduction ratio is greater than one or less than one. At last, numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate our mathematical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, the dynamical behaviours for a five-dimensional virus infection model with three delays which describes the interactions of antibody, cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) immune responses and Beddington-DeAngelis incidence are investigated. The reproduction numbers for virus infection, antibody immune response, CTL immune response, CTL immune competition and antibody immune competition, respectively, are calculated. By using the Lyapunov functionals and linearization method, the threshold conditions on the local and global stability of the equilibria for infection-free, immune-free, antibody response, CTL response and interior, respectively, are established. The existence of Hopf bifurcation with immune delay as a bifurcation parameter is investigated by using the bifurcation theory. Numerical simulations are presented to justify the analytical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, an epidemiological model with age of infection and disease relapse is investigated. The basic reproduction number for the model is identified, and it is shown to be a sharp threshold to completely determine the global dynamics of the model. By analysing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of a disease-free steady state and an endemic steady state of the model is established. By means of suitable Lyapunov functionals and LaSalle's invariance principle, it is verified that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the disease-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable, and hence the disease dies out; if the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, the endemic steady state is globally asymptotically stable and the disease becomes endemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, a within-host HIV-1 infection model with virus-to-cell and direct cell-to-cell transmission and explicit age-since-infection structure for infected cells is investigated. It is shown that the model demonstrates a global threshold dynamics, fully described by the basic reproduction number. By analysing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of an infection-free steady state and a chronic-infection steady state of the model is established. By using the persistence theory in infinite dimensional system, the uniform persistence of the system is established when the basic reproduction number is greater than unity. By means of suitable Lyapunov functionals and LaSalle's invariance principle, it is shown that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the infection-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable; if the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, the chronic-infection steady state is globally asymptotically stable. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the feasibility of the theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper deals with a plant–pollinator model with diffusion and time delay effects. By considering the distribution of eigenvalues of the corresponding linearized equation, we first study stability of the positive constant steady-state and existence of spatially homogeneous and spatially inhomogeneous periodic solutions are investigated. We then derive an explicit formula for determining the direction and stability of the Hopf bifurcation by applying the normal form theory and the centre manifold reduction for partial functional differential equations. Finally, we present an example and numerical simulations to illustrate the obtained theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A new social epidemic model to depict alcoholism with media cov- erage is proposed in this paper. Some fundamental properties of the model including existence and positivity as well as boundedness of equilibria are investigated. Stability of all equilibria are studied. The existence of the optimal control pair and mathematical expressions of optimal control are obtained by Pontryagin’s maximum principle. Numerical simulations are also performed to illustrate our results. Our results show that media coverage is an effective measure to quit drinking. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Time delays can affect the dynamics of HIV infection predicted by mathematical models. In this paper, we studied two mathematical models each with two time delays. In the first model with HIV latency, one delay is the time between viral entry into a cell and the establishment of HIV latency, and the other delay is the time between cell infection and viral production. We defined the basic reproductive number and showed the local and global stability of the steady states. Numerical simulations were performed to evaluate the influence of time delays on the dynamics. In the second model with HIV immune response, one delay is the time between cell infection and viral production, and the other delay is the time needed for the adaptive immune response to emerge to control viral replication. With two positive delays, we obtained the stability crossing curves for the model, which were shown to be a series of open-ended curves. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper deals with a plant–pollinator model with diffusion and time delay effects. By considering the distribution of eigenvalues of the corresponding linearized equation, we first study stability of the positive constant steady-state and existence of spatially homogeneous and spatially inhomogeneous periodic solutions are investigated. We then derive an explicit formula for determining the direction and stability of the Hopf bifurcation by applying the normal form theory and the centre manifold reduction for partial functional differential equations. Finally, we present an example and numerical simulations to illustrate the obtained theoretical results. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Time delays can affect the dynamics of HIV infection predicted by mathematical models. In this paper, we studied two mathematical models each with two time delays. In the first model with HIV latency, one delay is the time between viral entry into a cell and the establishment of HIV latency, and the other delay is the time between cell infection and viral production. We defined the basic reproductive number and showed the local and global stability of the steady states. Numerical simulations were performed to evaluate the influence of time delays on the dynamics. In the second model with HIV immune response, one delay is the time between cell infection and viral production, and the other delay is the time needed for the adaptive immune response to emerge to control viral replication. With two positive delays, we obtained the stability crossing curves for the model, which were shown to be a series of open-ended curves. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

In this paper, we study complex dynamical behaviour in biological systems due to multiple limit cycles bifurcation. We use simple epidemic and predator--prey models to show exact routes to new types of bistability, that is, bistability between equilibrium and periodic oscillation, and bistability between two oscillations, which may more realistically describe the real situations. Bifurcation theory and normal form theory are applied to investigate the multiple limit cycles bifurcating from Hopf critical point. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We consider a two-species hierarchical competition model with a strong Allee effect. The Allee effect is assumed to be caused by predator saturation. Moreover, we assume that there is a ‘silverback’ speciesxthat gets first choice of the resources and where growth is limited by its own intraspecific competition, while the second ‘inferior’ speciesygets whatever is left. Both speciesxandyare assumed to have the property of strong Allee effect. In this paper we determine the impact of the presence of the Allee effect on the global dynamics of both species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We consider a two-species hierarchical competition model with a strong Allee effect. The Allee effect is assumed to be caused by predator saturation. Moreover, we assume that there is a 'silverback' species x that gets first choice of the resources and where growth is limited by its own intraspecific competition, while the second 'inferior' species y gets whatever is left. Both species x and y are assumed to have the property of strong Allee effect. In this paper we determine the impact of the presence of the Allee effect on the global dynamics of both species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]