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Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of drought and its potential effect on crop production is critical in decision-making processes to support sustainable food production under climate change. This is especially true for China, the largest producer of cereal crops in the world, where production losses could significantly impact the global food chain. Here, we utilized global remote sensing products to study the spatiotemporal dynamics of meteorological and agricultural droughts across all of China during 1982–2018 and their potential linkage with winter wheat and summer corn yield losses since 2000. Specifically, we derived the agricultural Standardized Precipitation Index (aSPI; at 1, 3, and 6-month scales) and the Standardized Vegetation Supply Water Index (SVSWI) and explored their regional-scale dynamics across four sub-regions of China. Results suggest that the frequency of extreme drought events has increased in China since 2000, mostly affecting the winter wheat growing season (i.e., December–May) across North China. This increased frequency of drought events followed consistent spatiotemporal patterns of 3-month aSPI, mostly affecting Northwest/North China, Qinghai-Tibet, and South China during April, December, and May, respectively. The 3-month aSPI and SVSWI anomalies showed a good correlation with winter wheat yield anomaly across the Qinghai-Tibet area and corn yield across South China. The summer corn yield across all sub-regions and winter wheat yield across some agricultural zones in North China showed significant decreasing trends since 2000. This study provides a useful understanding of the spatiotemporal dynamics of agricultural drought and its potential implications for crop production in China. [Display omitted] • Precipitation and vegetation index-based drought products were derived for China. • Extreme drought and wet event frequency increased over the twenty first century. • The winter wheat growing season in the North was mostly affected by drought. • Crop yield anomaly showed positive correlation with drought indices. • Wheat yield showed increasing (North) and decreasing (South) trends. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change may have detrimental effects on income from crop farming in Pakistan and according to the IPCC (2014), the impacts of climate change will be more vigorous in the coming years. Despite a few studies we still have limited knowledge on how climate change can impact the crop farming economy in Pakistan. Considering Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) province of Pakistan as the study area, we attempted to fill this gap by analyzing the economic impacts of climate change on the net income from crop farming. Data from the 635 farm households and also climatic variables data were collected from five agro-ecological zones (AEZ) of the KP. The Ricardian method was employed for analysis purposes. The results revealed that the increase of annual average temperature and decreases in rainfall is strongly associated with net revenue deficits. The effects of increasing precipitation are observed to be useful but an increase in temperature is forecasted to be harmful to the net revenue. The effect of increased temperature in the summer season on NR ranged between US$-29 to US$35, and the effect in the winter season ranged between US$-14 to US$28 per hectare. The effect of decreased annual precipitation on NR in the summer season and winter season ranged between US$ 0 to US$-24 and US$<-20 per hectare, respectively. This effect is particularly severe in the Central Valley Plains, Southern Piedmont Plains, and Western Dry Mountains. This study further evaluates the effects of the climatic forecasts by three Atmospheric Oceanic General Circulation Models (AOGCM). Our results will facilitate the policymakers to implement suitable strategies in KP to curb the deleterious effects of climate change on overall crop production and farmer income. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]