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Past water distribution systems (WDS) management studies derived operation protocols to maximize WDS reliability by using residual chlorine as the sole surrogate parameter for water quality reliability. Albeit the advancement in mechanistic modeling to examine the WDS water quality, emerging water quality parameters of concern are not yet involved in solving WDS management problems. This paper attempts to overcome this limitation by developing a flexible decision-making framework -integrating EPANET-C, a mechanistic modeling tool for WDS water quality, with Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), a multi-criteria decision-making method - to rank the possible water quality parameter-based operating alternatives (organic matter and residual chlorine levels at the source points) for WDS. The uncertainty analysis was incorporated into the mechanistic modeling using the Monte Carlo method to realize insufficient knowledge about the complex biological and physicochemical interactions inside WDS. Six cases, each ranking the alternatives diversely, were applied to reflect the expert judgment impressions on the AHP outcomes. The consistency of the proposed decision-making framework was verified by deriving the operation protocol for two test networks by making trade-offs between the multiple and conflicting microbiological, chemical, and organoleptic quality criteria. The disinfection by-products formation control and taste and odor problems control emerged as the most critical water quality criteria determining the WDS performance under the operating alternatives examined. Altogether, the obtained results suggested the practicality of adopting a flexible operation protocol to maintain the water quality benchmarks over various plausible WDS performance scenarios, ranging from worst to best. [Display omitted] • General methodology to derive operation protocols for water distribution systems. • All-inclusive water distribution systems quality modeling considering uncertainty. • Flexible decision-making framework based on analytic hierarchy process. • Chemical and organoleptic quality criteria control the hierarchization process. • Flexible operation protocol minimizes contamination risks during operation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A multi-objective methodology utilizing the Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm (SPEA2) linked to EPANET for trading-off pumping costs, water quality, and tanks sizing of water distribution systems is developed and demonstrated. The model integrates variable speed pumps for modeling the pumps operation, two water quality objectives (one based on chlorine disinfectant concentrations and one on water age), and tanks sizing cost which are assumed to vary with location and diameter. The water distribution system is subject to extended period simulations, variable energy tariffs, Kirchhoff’s laws 1 and 2 for continuity of flow and pressure, tanks water level closure constraints, and storage-reliability requirements. EPANET Example 3 is employed for demonstrating the methodology on two multi-objective models, which differ in the imposed water quality objective (i.e., either with disinfectant or water age considerations). Three-fold Pareto optimal fronts are presented. Sensitivity analysis on the storage-reliability constraint, its influence on pumping cost, water quality, and tank sizing are explored. The contribution of this study is in tailoring design (tank sizing), pumps operational costs, water quality of two types, and reliability through residual storage requirements, in a single multi-objective framework. The model was found to be stable in generating multi-objective three-fold Pareto fronts, while producing explainable engineering outcomes. The model can be used as a decision tool for both pumps operation, water quality, required storage for reliability considerations, and tank sizing decision-making. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

China's fast pace industrialization and growing population has led to several accidental surface water pollution events in the last decades. The government of China, after the 2005 Songhua River incident, has pushed for the development of early warning systems (EWS) for drinking water source protection. However, there are still many weaknesses in EWS in China such as the lack of pollution monitoring and advanced water quality prediction models. The application of Data Driven Models (DDM) such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) has acquired recent attention as an alternative to physical models. For a case study in a south industrial city in China, a DDM based on genetic algorithm (GA) and ANN was tested to increase the response time of the city's EWS. The GA-ANN model was used to predict NH3–N, CODmn and TOC variables at station B 2 h ahead of time while showing the most sensitive input variables available at station A, 12 km upstream. For NH3–N, the most sensitive input variables were TOC, CODmn, TP, NH3–N and Turbidity with model performance giving a mean square error (MSE) of 0.0033, mean percent error (MPE) of 6% and regression (R) of 92%. For COD, the most sensitive input variables were Turbidity and CODmn with model performance giving a MSE of 0.201, MPE of 5% and R of 0.87. For TOC, the most sensitive input variables were Turbidity and CODmn with model performance giving a MSE of 0.101, MPE of 2% and R of 0.94. In addition, the GA-ANN model performed better for 8 h ahead of time. For future studies, the use of a GA-ANN modelling technique can be very useful for water quality prediction in Chinese monitoring stations which already measure and have immediately available water quality data. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]