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Background & Aims Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a frequent complication of liver disease. When feasible, hepatic resection is the first-choice therapy. However, tumor recurrence complicates at least 2/3 hepatic resections at 5 years. Early recurrences are mainly tumor or treatment-related, but predictors of late recurrences are undefined. We aimed to evaluate the factors related to HCC recurrence after curative resection, with liver and spleen stiffness measurement (LSM and SSM) as markers of severity and duration of the underlying liver disease. Methods We enrolled patients with chronic liver disease and primary HCC suitable for hepatic resection. We followed up patients for at least 30 months or until HCC recurrence. We performed uni- and multivariate analyses to evaluate the predictive role of tumor characteristics, laboratory data, LSM and SSM for both early and late recurrence of HCC. Results We prospectively enrolled 175 patients. Early HCC recurrence at multivariate analysis was associated with viral etiology, HCC grading (3 or 4), resection margins Conclusions SSM seems to be the only predictor of late HCC recurrence, since it is directly correlated with the degree of liver disease and portal hypertension, both of which are involved in carcinogenesis. Lay summary The main result of this study is that spleen stiffness measurement, evaluated by transient elastography, seems to be the only predictor of the late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma, defined as recurrence after 24 months from liver resection. Indeed, spleen stiffness measurement is directly correlated with the degree of liver disease and portal hypertension, which are both involved in carcinogenesis.

Background & Aims Hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement represents the best predictor of clinical decompensation (CD) in cirrhotic patients. Recently data show that measurement of spleen stiffness (SS) has an excellent correlation with HVPG levels. Aim of the present prospective study was to assess SS predictive value for CD compared to HVPG, liver stiffness (LS), and other non-invasive tests for portal hypertension in a cohort of patients with HCV-related compensated cirrhosis. Methods From an initial cohort of 124 patients, 92 underwent baseline LS, SS, HVPG measurements and upper gastrointestinal endoscopy at enrolment and then followed-up for 2years or until the occurrence of the first CD. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used for determining judgement criteria associated parameters. Accuracy of predictive factors was evaluated using c statistic. The final model was internally validated using the bootstrap method. Results During follow-up, 30 out 92 (32.6%) patients developed CD. At univariate analysis varices at enrolment, all non-invasive parameters, HVPG, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) resulted clinical predictors of CD. At multivariate analysis only SS ( p =0.0001) and MELD ( p =0.014) resulted as predictive factors. A decision algorithm based on the results of a predictive model was proposed to detect patients with low risk of decompensation. Conclusions This study shows that in compensated cirrhotic patients a SS and MELD predictive model represents an accurate predictor of CD with accuracy at least equivalent to that of HVPG. If confirmed by further studies, SS and MELD could represent valid alternatives to HVPG as prognostic indicator of CD in HCV-related cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Knowledge of pre-operative tumour grade is crucial in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) because it can influence recurrence and survival after surgery. The accuracy of pre-operative needle core biopsy (NCB) in tumour grading has been assessed in only a few studies with conflicting results. Our aim was to determine the long-term safety and the overall accuracy of NCB in assessing tumour grading in subjects who had undergone liver resection for a single HCC. METHODS: Eighty-one cirrhotic patients with HCC who had undergone NCB before liver resection were selected. Only patients with a single HCC and with at least a five-year-follow-up were included. Tumour grading was scored according to a modified Edmondson-Steiner classification: well/moderately (low grade) vs poorly-differentiated (high grade). RESULTS: In the 81 patients with a solitary HCC (mean size 4.1 ± 2.3cm) tumour grade was correctly identified by NCB in 74 out of 81 (91.4%) HCCs. NCB overall sensitivity and specificity were 65% and 98.1%, respectively, with a PPV of 92% and an NPV of 91%. No major complications (in particular tumour seeding) were observed. The overall survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 83%, 62%, and 44%, respectively; the recurrence rate after a 5-year-follow-up was 56.2% for low grade and 82.3% for high grade tumours (p