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A criterion based on solidification microstructure was proposed to precisely predict the hot tearing behavior of cast alloys, which takes into account the effects of both mechanical and nonmechanical factors. This criterion focuses on the events occurring at the grain boundary, which are determined by the thermal contraction, solidification shrinkage, grain growing and liquid feeding. This criterion responds to a series of factors that affect hot tearing, such as alloy composition, mold design, casting process and microstructure. Its credibility has been validated by studying the hot tearing behavior of Mg-Ce alloys. In conformity with the experimental results, this criterion predicted decrease in the number of rods occurring hot tearing with increasing cerium content. A simplified criterion was derived and validated by Mg-Ce (equiaxed grain) and Mg-Al (columnar grain) alloy systems, which is suitable for the case where the eutectic liquid fraction is low and the liquid feeding can be ignored. In addition, a hot tearing index for equiaxed grains was proposed, that is, | d T / d ( f s 1 / 3 ) | near ( f s ) 1 / 3 = 1 , and its prediction results were consistent with the hot tearing susceptibility calculated from the experimental results.