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Your search keyword '"optimal return"' showing total 2 results
Start Over Descriptor "optimal return" Journal journal of population economics
2 results on '"optimal return"'

1. Illegal immigration, deportation policy, and the optimal timing of return.

Author

Vinogradova, Alexandra

Subjects
*DEPORTATION policy, *UNDOCUMENTED immigrants, *FOREIGN workers, *STOCHASTIC processes, *CONSUMPTION (Economics), *ECONOMIC impact
Abstract

Countries with strict immigration policies often resort to deportation measures to reduce their stocks of illegal immigrants. Many of their undocumented foreign workers, however, are not deported but rather choose to return home voluntarily. This paper studies the optimizing behavior of undocumented immigrants who continuously face the risk of deportation, modeled by a stochastic process, and must decide how long to remain in the host country. It is found that the presence of uncertainty with respect to the length of stay abroad unambiguously reduces the desired migration duration and may trigger a voluntary return when a permanent stay would otherwise be optimal. Voluntary return is motivated by both economic and psychological factors. Calibration of the model to match the evidence on undocumented Thai migrants in Japan suggests that the psychological impact of being abroad as an illegal alien may be equivalent to as large as a 68 % cut in the consumption rate at the point of return. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2016
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2. Illegal immigration, deportation policy, and the optimal timing of return

Author

Alexandra Vinogradova

Subjects
Economics and Econometrics, media_common.quotation_subject, Immigration, Discount points, Deportation, Immigration policy, Illegal immigration, 0502 economics and business, Development economics, Economics, 050207 economics, Duration (project management), Optimal return, 050205 econometrics, Demography, Social policy, media_common, Consumption (economics), 05 social sciences, Uncertainty, Demographic economics, Business, Illegal immigrants
Abstract

Countries with strict immigration policies often resort to deportation measures to reduce their stocks of illegal immigrants. Many of their undocumented foreign workers, however, are not deported but rather choose to return home voluntarily. This paper studies the optimizing behavior of undocumented immigrants who continuously face the risk of deportation, modeled by a stochastic process, and must decide how long to remain in the host country. It is found that the presence of uncertainty with respect to the length of stay abroad unambiguously reduces the desired migration duration and may trigger a voluntary return when a permanent stay would otherwise be optimal. Voluntary return is motivated by both economic and psychological factors. Calibration of the model to match the evidence on undocumented Thai migrants in Japan suggests that the psychological impact of being abroad as an illegal alien may be equivalent to as large as a 68 % cut in the consumption rate at the point of return., Journal of Population Economics, 29 (3), ISSN:0933-1433, ISSN:1432-1475

Published
2016

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