Search

Background: Despite documented associations between social determinants of health and outcomes post-congenital heart surgery, clinical risk models typically exclude these factors., Objectives: The study sought to characterize associations between social determinants and operative and longitudinal mortality as well as assess impacts on risk model performance., Methods: Demographic and clinical data were obtained for all congenital heart surgeries (2006-2021) from locally held Congenital Heart Surgery Collaborative for Longitudinal Outcomes and Utilization of Resources Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database data. Neighborhood-level American Community Survey and composite sociodemographic measures were linked by zip code. Model prediction, discrimination, and impact on quality assessment were assessed before and after inclusion of social determinants in models based on the 2020 Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database Mortality Risk Model., Results: Of 14,173 total index operations across New York State, 12,321 cases, representing 10,271 patients at 8 centers, had zip codes for linkage. A total of 327 (2.7%) patients died in the hospital or before 30 days, and 314 children died by December 31, 2021 (total n = 641; 6.2%). Multiple measures of social determinants of health explained as much or more variability in operative and longitudinal mortality than clinical comorbidities or prior cardiac surgery. Inclusion of social determinants minimally improved models' predictive performance (operative: 0.834-0.844; longitudinal 0.808-0.811), but significantly improved model discrimination; 10.0% more survivors and 4.8% more mortalities were appropriately risk classified with inclusion. Wide variation in reclassification was observed by site, resulting in changes in the center performance classification category for 2 of 8 centers., Conclusions: Although indiscriminate inclusion of social determinants in clinical risk modeling can conceal inequities, thoughtful consideration can help centers understand their performance across populations and guide efforts to improve health equity., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures This work was supported by National Institutes of Health/National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R01 HL150044), National Institutes of Health/National Institute of Mental Health (T32 MH019733), and Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (T32 HS000055). The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the National Institutes of Health, Agency of Healthcare Research and Quality, or New York State Department of Health. Examples of analysis performed within this paper are only examples. They should not be used in real-world analytic products. The authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose., (Copyright © 2024 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Congenital heart defects are the most common and resource-intensive birth defects. As children with congenital heart defects increasingly survive beyond early childhood, it is imperative to understand longitudinal disease burden., Objectives: The purpose of this study was to examine chronic outpatient prescription medication use and expenditures for New York State pediatric Medicaid enrollees, comparing children who undergo cardiac surgery (cardiac enrollees) and the general pediatric population., Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of all Medicaid enrollees age <18 years using the New York State Congenital Heart Surgery Collaborative for Longitudinal Outcomes and Utilization of Resources database (2006-2019). Primary outcomes were total chronic medications per person-year, enrollees per 100 person-years using ≥1 and ≥3 medications, and medication expenditures per person-year. We described and compared outcomes between cardiac enrollees and the general pediatric population. Among cardiac enrollees, multivariable regression examined associations between outcomes and clinical characteristics., Results: We included 5,459 unique children (32,131 person-years) who underwent cardiac surgery and 4.5 million children (22 million person-years) who did not. More than 4 in 10 children who underwent cardiac surgery used ≥1 chronic medication compared with approximately 1 in 10 children who did not have cardiac surgery. Medication expenditures were 10 times higher per person-year for cardiac compared with noncardiac enrollees. Among cardiac enrollees, disease severity was associated with chronic medication use; use was highest among infants; however, nearly one-half of adolescents used ≥1 chronic medication., Conclusions: Children who undergo cardiac surgery experience high medication burden that persists throughout childhood. Understanding chronic medication use can inform clinicians (both pediatricians and subspecialists) and policymakers, and ultimately the value of care for this medically complex population., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures This study is funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NIH/NHLBI R01 HL150044, to principal investigator Dr Anderson). The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the National Institutes of Health, the Agency of Healthcare Research and Quality, or the New York State Department of Health. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world analytic products. The authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose., (Copyright © 2023 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Understanding the longitudinal burden of health care expenditures and utilization after pediatric cardiac surgery is needed to counsel families, improve care, and reduce outcome inequities., Objectives: The purpose of this study was to describe and identify predictors of health care expenditures and utilization for Medicaid-insured pediatric cardiac surgical patients., Methods: All Medicaid enrolled children age <18 years undergoing cardiac surgery in the New York State CHS-COLOUR database, from 2006 to 2019, were followed in Medicaid claims data through 2019. A matched cohort of children without cardiac surgical disease was identified as comparators. Expenditures and inpatient, primary care, subspecialist, and emergency department utilization were modeled using log-linear and Poisson regression models to assess associations between patient characteristics and outcomes., Results: In 5,241 New York Medicaid-enrolled children, longitudinal health care expenditures and utilization for cardiac surgical patients exceeded noncardiac surgical comparators (cardiac surgical children: $15,500 ± $62,000 per month in year 1 and $1,600 ± $9,100 per month in year 5 vs noncardiac surgical children: $700 ± $6,600 per month in year 1 and $300 ± $2,200 per month in year 5). Children after cardiac surgery spent 52.9 days in hospitals and doctors' offices in the first postoperative year and 90.5 days over 5 years. Being Hispanic, compared with non-Hispanic White, was associated with having more emergency department visits, inpatient admissions, and subspecialist visits in years 2 to 5, but fewer primary care visits and greater 5-year mortality., Conclusions: Children after cardiac surgery have significant longitudinal health care needs, even among those with less severe cardiac disease. Health care utilization differed by race/ethnicity, although mechanisms driving disparities should be investigated further., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures This work was supported by the National Institutes of Health/National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R01 HL150044), the National Institutes of Health/National Institute of Mental Health (T32 MH019733), and The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (T32 HS000055). The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the National Institutes of Health, the Agency of Healthcare Research and Quality, or the New York State Department of Health. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world analytic products. The authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose., (Copyright © 2023 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: As the cardiac community strives to improve outcomes, accurate methods of risk stratification are imperative. Since adoption of International Classification of Disease-10th Revision (ICD-10) in 2015, there is no published method for congenital heart surgery risk stratification for administrative data., Objectives: This study sought to develop an empirically derived, publicly available Risk Stratification for Congenital Heart Surgery (RACHS-2) tool for ICD-10 administrative data., Methods: The RACHS-2 stratification system was iteratively and empirically refined in a training dataset of Pediatric Health Information Systems claims to optimize sensitivity and specificity compared with corresponding locally held Society of Thoracic Surgeons-Congenital Heart Surgery (STS-CHS) clinical registry data. The tool was validated in a second administrative data source: New York State Medicaid claims. Logistic regression was used to compare the ability of RACHS-2 in administrative data to predict operative mortality vs STAT Mortality Categories in registry data., Results: The RACHS-2 system captured 99.6% of total congenital heart surgery registry cases, with 1.0% false positives. RACHS-2 predicted operative mortality in both training and validation administrative datasets similarly to STAT Mortality Categories in registry data. C-statistics for models for operative mortality in training and validation administrative datasets-adjusted for RACHS-2-were 0.76 and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.72-0.80 and 0.80-0.89); C-statistics for models for operative mortality-adjusted for STAT Mortality Categories-in corresponding clinical registry data were 0.75 and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.71-0.79 and 0.79-0.89)., Conclusions: RACHS-2 is a risk stratification system for pediatric cardiac surgery for ICD-10 administrative data, validated in 2 administrative-registry-linked datasets. Statistical code is publicly available upon request., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures This work was supported by the National Institutes of Health/Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute R01 HL150044; the funder had no role in the execution, analyses, interpretation of the data, or decision to publish results. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the National Institutes of Health or the New York State Department of Health. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be used in real-world analytic products. The authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose., (Copyright © 2022 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Longitudinal follow-up, resource utilization, and health disparities are top congenital heart research and care priorities. Medicaid claims include longitudinal data on inpatient, outpatient, emergency, pharmacy, rehabilitation, home health utilization, and social determinants of health-including mother-infant pairs., Objectives: The New York Congenital Heart Surgeons Collaborative for Longitudinal Outcomes and Utilization of Resources linked robust clinical details from locally held state and national registries from 10 of 11 New York congenital heart centers to Medicaid claims, building a novel, statewide mechanism for longitudinal assessment of outcomes, expenditures, and health inequities., Methods: The authors included all children <18 years of age undergoing cardiac surgery in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Congenital Heart Surgery Database or the New York State Pediatric Congenital Cardiac Surgery Registry from 10 of 11 New York centers, 2006 to 2019. Data were linked via iterative, ranked deterministic matching on direct identifiers. Match rates were calculated and compared. Proportions of the linked cohort trackable over 3, 5, and 10 years were described., Results: Of 14,097 registry cases, 59% (n = 8,322) reported Medicaid use. Of these, 7,414 were linked to New York claims, at an 89% match rate. Of matched cases, the authors tracked 79%, 74%, and 65% of children over 3, 5, and 10 years when requiring near-continuous Medicaid enrollment. Allowing more lenient enrollment criteria, the authors tracked 86%, 82%, and 76%, respectively. Mortality over this time was 7.7%, 8.4%, and 10.0%, respectively. Manual validation revealed ∼100% true matches., Conclusions: This establishes a novel statewide data resource for assessment of longitudinal outcome, health expenditure, and disparities for children with congenital heart disease., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures This work was supported by the National Institutes of Health/National Heart Lung and Blood Institute (R01 HL150044). The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the National Institutes of Health or the New York State Department of Health. Examples of analysis performed within this article are only examples. They should not be utilized in real-world analytic products. The authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose., (Copyright © 2021 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Benefits of multiarterial versus single-arterial coronary bypass grafting (CABG) are debated., Objectives: This study sought to compare long-term survival, morbidity, and graft patency after multiarterial versus single-arterial CABG., Methods: Mandatory clinical registries linked with discharge databases were used to identify baseline and operative characteristics and outcomes of 42,714 patients undergoing CABG from 2005 through 2012. Patients with single-vessel disease, without arterial conduits, or undergoing emergency, reoperative, or concomitant procedures were excluded. Survival, stroke, myocardial infarction, and repeat revascularization rates were compared using Cox modeling, and patients were matched by propensity score. Median follow-up was 7.8 years (interquartile range: 5 to 10 years); last follow-up was December 31, 2016., Results: Of the 26,124 patients, 3,647 (14.0%) underwent multiarterial CABG. Single-arterial CABG patients were older (mean 68 vs. 61 years; p < 0.001), had more comorbidities, and received fewer bypass grafts (3.4 vs. 3.6; p < 0.001). After adjusting for baseline differences, multiarterial CABG was associated with lower 10-year mortality compared with single-arterial CABG in 3,588 propensity-matched pairs (15.1% vs. 17.3%; p = 0.01). Multiarterial CABG was associated with lower 10-year myocardial infarction (hazard ratio: 0.81; 95% confidence interval: 0.69 to 0.95) and lower 10-year reintervention rate (hazard ratio: 0.81; 95% confidence interval: 0.67 to 0.99)., Conclusions: In contemporary practice, single-arterial CABG is used in 85% of patients and is associated with increased long-term mortality, myocardial infarction, and reintervention compared with multiarterial CABG. Multiarterial CABG is underused in contemporary surgical revascularization, and targeted referral of younger patients for multiarterial revascularization may address this practice gap., (Copyright © 2019. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Background: Despite recent guideline statements, there is still wide practice variation in the use of multiple arterial grafts (MAGs) versus single arterial grafts (SAGs) for patients with multivessel disease undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery. This may be related to differences in findings between observational and randomized controlled studies., Objectives: This study sought to compare intermediate-term MAG and SAG outcomes with enhanced matching to reduce selection bias., Methods: New York's cardiac registry identified 63,402 multivessel disease patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2014, to compare outcomes (median follow-up 6.5 years) for patients receiving SAGs and MAGs. SAG and MAG patients were propensity matched using 38 baseline characteristics to reduce selection bias. The primary endpoint was mortality, and secondary endpoints included repeat revascularization and a composite endpoint of mortality, acute myocardial infarction, and stroke., Results: Before matching, 20% of procedures employed MAG. At 1 year, there was no mortality difference between matched MAG and SAG patients (2.4% vs. 2.2%, adjusted hazard ratio [AHR]: 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.93 to 1.32). At 7 years, MAG patients had lower mortality (12.7% vs. 14.3%, AHR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.79 to 0.93), a lower composite outcome (20.2% vs. 22.8%, AHR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.83 to 0.93), and a lower repeat revascularization rate (11.7% vs. 14.6%, AHR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.74 to 0.87). At 7 years, the subgroups for which MAG did not have a lower mortality rate included patients with off-pump surgery, 2-vessel disease with right coronary artery disease, recent acute myocardial infarction, renal dysfunction, and patient ≥70 years of age., Conclusions: Mortality and the composite outcome were similar between MAG and SAG patients at 1 year, but lower for MAG after 7 years. Patients of higher volume MAG surgeons experienced lower MAG mortality., (Copyright © 2019 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Recent studies have demonstrated relatively high rates of percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs) classified as "inappropriate." The New York State Department of Health shared rates with hospitals and announced the intention of withholding reimbursement pending demonstration of clinical rationale for Medicaid patients with inappropriate PCIs., Objectives: The objective was to examine changes over time in the number and rate of inappropriate PCIs., Methods: Appropriate use criteria were applied to PCIs performed in New York in patients without acute coronary syndromes or previous coronary artery bypass graft surgery in periods before (2010 through 2011) and after (2012 through 2014) efforts were made to decrease inappropriateness rates. Changes in the number of appropriate PCIs were also assessed., Results: The percentage of inappropriate PCIs for all patients dropped from 18.2% in 2010 to 10.6% in 2014 (from 15.3% to 6.8% for Medicaid patients, and from 18.6% to 11.2% for other patients). The total number of PCIs in patients with no acute coronary syndrome/no prior coronary artery bypass graft surgery that were rated as inappropriate decreased from 2,956 patients in 2010 to 911 patients in 2014, a reduction of 69%. For Medicaid patients, the decrease was from 340 patients to 84 patients, a decrease of 75%. For a select set of higher-risk scenarios, there were higher numbers of appropriate PCIs per year in the period from 2012 to 2014., Conclusions: The inappropriateness rate for PCIs and the use of PCI for elective procedures in New York has decreased substantially between 2010 and 2014. This decrease has occurred for a large proportion of PCI hospitals., (Copyright © 2017 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Randomized trials of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) versus coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) routinely exclude patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD)., Objectives: This study evaluated outcomes of PCI versus CABG in patients with CKD., Methods: Patients with CKD who underwent PCI using everolimus-eluting stents were propensity-score matched to patients who underwent isolated CABG for multivessel coronary disease in New York. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and repeat revascularization., Results: Of 11,305 patients with CKD, 5,920 patients were propensity-score matched. In the short term, PCI was associated with a lower risk of death (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.55; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.35 to 0.87), stroke (HR: 0.22; 95% CI: 0.12 to 0.42), and repeat revascularization (HR: 0.48; 95% CI: 0.23 to 0.98) compared with CABG. In the longer term, PCI was associated with a similar risk of death (HR: 1.07; 95% CI: 0.92 to 1.24), higher risk of MI (HR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.40 to 2.23), a lower risk of stroke (HR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.41 to 0.76), and a higher risk of repeat revascularization (HR: 2.42; 95% CI: 2.05 to 2.85). In the subgroup with complete revascularization with PCI, the increased risk of MI was no longer statistically significant (HR: 1.18; 95% CI: 0.67 to 2.09). In the 243 matched pairs of patients with end-stage renal disease on hemodialysis, PCI was associated with significantly higher risk of death (HR: 2.02; 95% CI: 1.40 to 2.93) and repeat revascularization (HR: 2.44; 95% CI: 1.50 to 3.96) compared with CABG., Conclusions: In patients with CKD, CABG is associated with higher short-term risk of death, stroke, and repeat revascularization, whereas PCI with everolimus-eluting stents is associated with a higher long-term risk of repeat revascularization and perhaps MI, with no long-term mortality difference. In the subgroup on dialysis, the results favored CABG over PCI., (Copyright © 2015 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Few recent studies have compared the outcomes of coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery with percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs) in patients with isolated (single vessel) proximal left anterior descending (PLAD) coronary artery disease in the era of drug-eluting stents (DES)., Objectives: The goal of this study was to compare outcomes in patients with PLAD who underwent CABG and PCI with DES., Methods: New York's Percutaneous Coronary Interventions Reporting System was used to identify and track all patients who underwent CABG surgery and received DES for isolated PLAD disease between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2010, and who were followed-up through December 31, 2011. A total of 5,340 of 6,064 (88%) patients received DES. Patients were matched to vital statistics data to obtain mortality after discharge and matched to New York's administrative data to obtain readmissions for myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke. To minimize selection bias, patients were propensity matched into 715 CABG and/or DES pairs, and 3 outcome measures were compared across the pairs., Results: Kaplan-Meier estimates for CABG and DES did not significantly differ for mortality or mortality, MI, and/or stroke, but repeat revascularization rates were lower for CABG (7.09% vs. 12.98%; p = 0.0007). After further adjustment with Cox proportional hazards models, there were still no significant differences in 3-year mortality rates (CABG and/or DES adjusted hazard ratio (AHR): 1.14; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.70 to 1.85) or mortality, MI, and/or stroke rates (AHR: 1.15; 95% CI: 0.76 to 1.73), and the repeat revascularization rate remained significantly lower for CABG patients (AHR: 0.54; 95% CI: 0.36 to 0.81)., Conclusions: Despite the higher rating in current guidelines of CABG (Class IIa vs. Class IIb) for patients with isolated PLAD disease, there were no differences in mortality or mortality, MI, and/or stroke, although CABG patients had significantly lower repeat revascularization rates., (Copyright © 2014 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

In 1988, the New York State Health Commissioner was confronted with hospital-level data demonstrating very large, multiple-year, interhospital variations in short-term mortality and complications for cardiac surgery. The concern with the extent to which these differences were due to variations in patients' pre-surgical severity of illness versus hospitals' quality of care led to the development of clinical registries for cardiac surgery in 1989 and for percutaneous coronary interventions in 1992 in New York. In 1990, the Department of Health released hospitals' risk-adjusted cardiac surgery mortality rates for the first time, and shortly thereafter, similar data were released for hospitals and physicians for percutaneous coronary interventions, cardiac valve surgery, and pediatric cardiac surgery (only hospital data). This practice is still ongoing. The purpose of this communication is to relate the history of this initiative, including changes or purported changes that have occurred since the public release of cardiac data. These changes include decreases in risk-adjusted mortality, cessation of cardiac surgery in New York by low-volume and high-mortality surgeons, out-of-state referral or avoidance of cardiac surgery/angioplasty for high-risk patients, alteration of contracting choices by insurance companies, and modifications in market share of cardiac hospitals. Evidence related to these impacts is reviewed and critiqued. This communication also includes a summary of numerous studies that used New York's cardiac registries to examine a variety of policy issues regarding the choice and use of cardiac procedures, the comparative effectiveness of competing treatment options, and the examination of the relationship among processes, structures, and outcomes of cardiac care., (Copyright © 2012 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to determine appropriateness of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery performed in New York for patients without acute coronary syndrome (ACS) or previous CABG surgery., Background: The American College of Cardiology Foundation (ACCF) and 6 other societies recently published joint appropriateness criteria for coronary revascularization., Methods: Data from patients who underwent CABG surgery and PCI without acute coronary syndrome or previous CABG surgery in New York in 2009 and 2010 were used to assess appropriateness and to examine the variation across hospitals in inappropriateness ratings., Results: Of the 8,168 patients undergoing CABG surgery in New York without ACS/prior CABG who could be rated, 90.0% were appropriate for revascularization, 1.1% were inappropriate, and 8.6% were uncertain. Of the 33,970 PCI patients eligible for rating, 28% lacked sufficient information to be rated. Of the patients who could be rated, 36.1% were appropriate, 14.3% were inappropriate, and 49.6% were uncertain. A total of 91% of the patients undergoing PCI who were classified as inappropriate had 1- or 2-vessel disease without proximal left anterior descending artery disease and had no or minimal anti-ischemic medical therapy., Conclusions: For patients without ACS/prior CABG, only 1% of patients undergoing CABG surgery who could be rated were found to be inappropriate for the procedure according to the ACCF appropriateness criteria, but 14% of the PCI patients who could be rated were found to be inappropriate, and 28% lacked enough noninvasive test information to be rated., (Copyright © 2012 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: The purpose of this research was to develop a risk index for in-hospital mortality for coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery., Background: Risk indexes for CABG surgery are used to assess patients' operative risk as well as to profile hospitals and surgeons. None has been developed using data from a population-based region in the U.S. for many years., Methods: Data from New York's Cardiac Surgery Reporting System in 2002 were used to develop a statistical model that predicts mortality and to create a risk index based on a relatively small number of patient risk factors. The fit of the index was tested by applying it to another year (2003) of New York data and testing the correspondence of expected and observed mortality rates for each risk score in the index., Results: The risk index contains a total of 10 risk factors (age, female gender, hemodynamic state, ejection fraction, pre-procedural myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, calcified ascending aorta, peripheral arterial disease, renal failure, and previous open heart operations). The score possible for each variable ranges from 0 to 5, and total risk scores possible range from 0 to 34. The highest score observed for any patient was 22, and 93% of the patients had scores of 8 or lower. When the risk index was applied to another year of New York data with a considerably lower mortality rate, the C-statistic was 0.782., Conclusions: The risk index appears to be a valuable tool for predicting patient risk when applied to another year of New York data. It should now be tested against other risk indexes in a variety of geographical regions.

Objectives: Our purpose was to develop a risk score to predict in-hospital mortality for percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) using a statewide population-based PCI registry., Background: Risk scores predicting adverse outcomes after PCI have been developed from a single or a small group of hospitals, and their abilities to be generalized to other patient populations might be affected., Methods: A logistic regression model was developed to predict in-hospital mortality for PCI using data from 46,090 procedures performed in 41 hospitals in the New York State Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Reporting System in 2002. A risk score was derived from this model and was validated using 2003 data from New York., Results: The risk score included nine significant risk factors (age, gender, hemodynamic state, ejection fraction, pre-procedural myocardial infarction, peripheral arterial disease, congestive heart disease, renal failure, and left main disease) that were consistent with other reports. The point values for risk factors range from 1 to 9, and the total risk score ranges from 0 to 40. The observed and recalibrated predicted risks in 2003 were highly correlated for all PCI patients as well as for those in the higher-risk subgroup who suffered myocardial infarctions within 24 h before the procedure. The total risk score for mortality is strongly associated with complication rates and length of stay in the 2003 PCI data., Conclusions: The risk score accurately predicted in-hospital death for PCI procedures using future New York data. Its performance in other patient populations needs to be further studied.

Objectives: This study was designed to compare in-hospital mortality and complications and three-year mortality and revascularization for off-pump and on-pump coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery after adjusting for patient risk., Background: The use of off-pump CABG surgery has increased tremendously in recent years, but little is known about its long-term outcomes relative to on-pump CABG surgery, and most studies have been very small., Methods: Short- and long-term outcomes (inpatient mortality and complications, three-year risk-adjusted mortality, and mortality/revascularization) were explored for patients who underwent off-pump CABG surgery (9135 patients) and on-pump CABG surgery (59044 patients) with median sternotomy from 1997 to 2000 in the state of New York., Results: Risk-adjusted inpatient mortality was 2.02% for off-pump versus 2.16% for on-pump (p = 0.390). Off-pump patients had lower rates of perioperative stroke (1.6% vs. 2.0%, p = 0.003) and bleeding requiring reoperation (1.6% vs. 2.2%, p < 0.001) and higher rates of gastrointestinal bleeding, perforation, or infarction (1.2% vs. 0.9%, p = 0.003). Off-pump patients had lower postoperative lengths of stay (median 5 days vs. 6 days, p < 0.001). On-pump patients had higher three-year survival (adjusted risk ratio [RR] =1.086, p = 0.045) and higher freedom from death or revascularization (adjusted RR = 1.232, p < 0.001). When analyses were limited to 1999 to 2000, the two-year adjusted hazard ratio for survival was not significant (adjusted RR = 0.99, p = 0.81)., Conclusions: On-pump patients experience better long-term survival and freedom from revascularization than off-pump patients. However, the survival benefit from on-pump procedures was no longer present in the last two years of the study.

Objectives: The goal of this study was to learn more about the risk factors and short- and long-term outcomes for primary angioplasty., Background: Primary angioplasty (direct angioplasty without antecedent thrombolytic therapy) has been an effective alternative to thrombolytic therapy for patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, most reported studies have been compromised by small sample sizes and short observation times., Methods: New York's coronary angioplasty registry was used to identify New York patients undergoing angioplasty within 6 h of AMI between January 1, 1993 and December 31, 1996. Statistical models were used to identify significant risk factors for in-patient and long-term survival and to estimate long-term survival for all patients as well as various subsets of patients undergoing primary angioplasty., Results: The in-hospital mortality rate for all primary angioplasty patients was 5.81%. When patients in preprocedural shock (who had a mortality rate of 45%) were excluded, the in-hospital mortality rate dropped to 2.60%. Mortality rates for all primary angioplasty patients at one year, two years and three years were 9.3%, 11.3% and 12.6%, respectively. Patients treated with stent placement did not have significantly lower risk-adjusted in-patient or two-year mortality rates., Conclusions: Primary angioplasty is a highly effective option for AMI.

Objectives: We sought to compare patient outcomes for coronary stent placement and balloon angioplasty., Background: Since 1994, the number of patients treated only with balloon angioplasty has decreased nationally, whereas the use of coronary stents as an alternative has grown tremendously. The objectives of this study were to compare short- and long-term survival and subsequent revascularization rates for patients undergoing single-vessel balloon angioplasty and coronary stent placement., Methods: New York's Coronary Angioplasty Registry was used to identify New York patients undergoing either balloon angioplasty or stent placement between July 1, 1994, and December 31, 1996. Statistical models were used to compare risk-adjusted short- and long-term survival and subsequent coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) and percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs)., Results: No significant differences were found in adjusted in-patient mortality, but patients who had balloon angioplasty were, on average, 1.36 times more likely to have died at any time during the two-year period after the index procedure (p = 0.003). The adjusted in-patient CABG rate was significantly higher for balloon angioplasty (2.72% vs. 1.66%, p<0.0001), and the adjusted two-year CABG rate was also significantly higher for balloon angioplasty (10.81% vs. 7.25%, p<0.001). The adjusted two-year rate for subsequent PCIs was also significantly higher for balloon angioplasty (19.6% vs. 14.3%, p<0.0001). Although measures were taken to eliminate or minimize the effect of selection bias, it should be noted that patients with stents were healthier at hospital admission than patients who had balloon angioplasty., Conclusions: Stent placement is associated with significantly lower risk-adjusted long-term mortality, CABG and subsequent PCI rates, as compared with balloon angioplasty.

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to compare 3-year risk-adjusted survival in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery and percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty., Background: Coronary artery bypass graft surgery and angioplasty are two common treatments for coronary artery disease. For referral purposes, it is important to know the relative pattern of survival after hospital discharge for these procedures and to identify patient characteristics that are related to survival., Methods: New York's CABG surgery and angioplasty registries were used to identify New York patients undergoing CABG surgery and angioplasty from January 1, 1993 to December 31, 1995. Mortality within 3 years of undergoing the procedure (adjusted for patient severity of illness) and subsequent revascularization within 3 years were captured. Three-year mortality rates were adjusted using proportional hazards methods to account for baseline differences in patients' severity of illness., Results: Patients with one-vessel disease with the one vessel not involving the left anterior descending artery (LAD) or with less than 70% LAD stenosis had a statistically significantly longer adjusted 3-year survival with angioplasty (95.3%) than with CABG surgery (92.4%). Patients with proximal LAD stenosis of at least 70% had a statistically significantly longer adjusted 3-year survival with CABG surgery than with angioplasty regardless of the number of coronary vessels diseased. Also, patients with three-vessel disease had a statistically significantly longer adjusted 3-year survival with CABG surgery regardless of proximal LAD disease. Patients with other one-vessel or two-vessel disease had no treatment-related differences in survival., Conclusions: Treatment-related survival benefit at 3-years in patients with ischemic heart disease is predicted by the anatomic extent and specific site of the disease, as well as by the treatment chosen.

Objectives: The purpose of this consensus effort was to define and prioritize the importance of a set of clinical variables useful for monitoring and improving the short-term mortality of patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG)., Background: Despite widespread use of data bases to monitor the outcome of patients undergoing CABG, no consistent set of clinical variables has been defined for risk adjustment of observed outcomes for baseline differences in disease severity among patients., Methods: Experts with a background in epidemiology, biostatistics and clinical care with an interest in assessing outcomes of CABG derived from previous work with professional societies, government or academic institutions volunteered to participate in this unsponsored consensus process. Two meetings of this ad hoc working group were required to define and prioritize clinical variables into core, level 1 or level 2 groupings to reflect their importance for relating to short-term mortality after CABG. Definitions of these 44 variables were simple and specific to enhance objectivity of the 7 core, 13 level 1 and 24 level 2 variables. Core and level 1 variables were evaluated using data from five existing data bases, and core variables only were examined in an additional two data bases to confirm the consensus opinion of the relative prognostic power of each variable., Results: Multivariable logistic regression models of the seven core variables showed all to be predictive of bypass surgery mortality in some of the seven existing data sets. Variables relating to acuteness, age and previous operation proved to be the most important in all data sets tested. Variables describing coronary anatomy appeared to be least significant. Models including both the 7 core and 13 level 1 variables in five of the seven data sets showed the core variables to reflect 45% to 83% of the predictive information. However, some level 1 variables were stronger than some core variables in some data sets., Conclusions: A relatively small number of clinical variables provide a large amount of prognostic information in patients undergoing CABG.