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ObjectivesTo compare the ability of the commonly used Women's Health Initiative (WHI) and Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) frailty phenotypes to predict falls, hip fracture, and death in WHI Clinical Trial participants aged 65 and older.DesignLongitudinal cohort study.SettingWHI Clinical Trial.ParticipantsParticipants with data for WHI and CHS frailty phenotypes (N = 3,558).MeasurementsFrailty was operationally defined in the CHS as the presence of three or more of weight loss, poor energy, weakness, slowness, and low physical activity. WHI operationalized frailty similarly but with the RAND-36 physical function scale substituted for slowness and weakness (RAND-36 physical function scale score 78 = 0 points). Frailty was defined as a summary score of 3 or greater, prefrailty as a score of 2 or 1, and nonfrailty as a score of 0. Outcomes were modeled using Cox regression. Harrell C-statistics were compared for models containing alternative instruments.ResultsApproximately 5% of participants were frail based on the CHS or WHI phenotype. The WHI frailty phenotype was associated with higher rates of falls (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.48, P = .003), hip fracture (HR = 1.87, P = .04), and death (HR = 2.32, P < .001). Comparable HRs in CHS-phenotype frail women were 1.32 (P = .04), 1.08 (P = .83), and 1.91 (P < .001), respectively. Harrell C-statistics revealed marked but insignificant differences in predicting abilities between CHS and WHI phenotype models (P > .50 for all).ConclusionThe WHI phenotype, which does not require direct measurements of physical performance, might offer a practical advantage for epidemiological and clinical needs.

ObjectivesTo evaluate the association between currently recommended guidelines and commonly used clinical criteria for body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) and all-cause mortality in frail older women.DesignLongitudinal prospective cohort study.SettingWomen's Health Initiative (WHI)-Observational Study.ParticipantsA sample of women aged 65-84 with complete data to characterize frailty in the third year of WHI follow-up (N = 11,070).MeasurementsFrailty phenotype was determined using the modified Fried criteria. Information on anthropometric measures (BMI, WC, WHR) was collected in clinical examinations. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the effect of BMI, WC, and WHR on mortality adjusted for demographic characteristics and health behaviors.ResultsOver a mean follow-up of 11.5 years, there were 2,911 (26%) deaths in the sample. Women with a BMI from 25.0 to 29.9 kg/m(2) (hazard rate ratio (HR) = 0.80, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.73-0.88) and those with a BMI from 30.0 to 34.9 kg/m(2) (HR = 0.79, 95% CI = 0.71-0.88) had lower mortality than those with a BMI from 18.5 to 24.9 kg/m(2) . Women with a WHR greater than 0.8 had higher mortality (HR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.07-1.26) than those with a WHR of 0.8 or less. No difference in mortality was observed according to WC. Stratifying according to chronic morbidity or smoking status or excluding women with early death and unintentional weight loss did not substantially change these findings.ConclusionIn frail, older women, having a BMI between 25.0 and 34.9 kg/m(2) or a WHR of 0.8 or less was associated with lower mortality. Currently recommended healthy BMI guidelines should be reevaluated for frail older women.