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The standard indication for intervention in asymptomatic disease is currently percent stenosis in the internal carotid artery as measured by the North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial (NASCET) method, which remains limited in discriminating power. Computed tomography angiography (CTA) is widely used to calculate NASCET stenosis, but also offers the opportunity to analyze carotid artery plaques from a morphological perspective that has not been widely used. We aim to improve stroke risk stratification of patients with carotid artery stenosis using plaque three-dimensional (3D) modeling and image analysis. Patients with computed tomography angiographies appropriate for 3D reconstruction were identified from a National Institutes of Health-designated stroke center database, and carotid arteries were segmented and analyzed using software algorithms to calculate contact surface area (CSA) between the plaque and blood flow, and volume of the flow lumen within the region of the plaque (lumen volume [LV]). These novel parameters factor in the 3D morphometry inherent to each carotid plaque and were compared between stroke and nonstroke groups. A total of 134 carotid arteries were analyzed, 33 of which were associated with an ipsilateral stroke. Plaques associated with stroke demonstrated statistically significant increases in average CSA (541.52 mm2) and LV (394.64 mm3) when compared with those not associated with stroke (371.18 mm2 and 245.92 mm3, respectively). When comparing area under the receiver operating characteristics curve between NASCET (0.65) percent stenosis, CSA (0.74), and LV (0.77), both CSA and LV demonstrated more favorable values in predicting stroke risk in patients with carotid stenosis. The data presented here demonstrate morphological features of carotid plaques that are independent of NASCET criteria stratification and may present an improved method in assessing stroke risk in patients with carotid artery stenosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The degree of carotid artery stenosis, calculated using catheter-based angiography and the North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial (NASCET) method, has been shown to predict the stroke risk in several, large, randomized controlled trials. In the present era, patients have been increasingly evaluated using computed tomography (CT) angiography (CTA) before carotid artery revascularization, especially as the use of transcarotid artery revascularization has increased. Interpretation of CTA findings regarding the degree of carotid stenosis has not been standardized, with both NASCET methods and the area stenosis used. We performed a single-institution, blinded, retrospective analysis of CTA studies using both the NASCET method and the CT-derived area stenosis to assess the concordance and discordance between the two methods when evaluating ≥70% and ≥80% stenosis. The UMass Memorial Medical Center vascular laboratory database was queried for all carotid duplex ultrasound scans performed from 2008 to 2017. The included patients were limited to those with duplex-defined ≥70% stenosis (defined as a peak systolic velocity of ≥125 cm/s and an internal carotid artery/common carotid artery ratio of ≥4), and a correlative CTA study performed within 1 year of the duplex ultrasound examination. A blinded review of all correlative CTA studies using centerline measurements on a three-dimensional workstation (Aquarius iNtuition Viewer; Terarecon, Durham, NC) was performed to characterize the degree of carotid stenosis using the NASCET method and the area stenosis method. Patients were excluded if revascularization had been performed between the two imaging studies. Of the 37,204 carotid duplex ultrasound scans reviewed (performed from 2008 to 2017), 3480 arteries met the criteria for duplex ultrasound-defined ≥70% stenosis. A correlative CTA study within 1 year of the duplex ultrasound examination was identified in 460 arteries, of which 320 were adequate quality for blinded review. The median interval between the duplex ultrasound and CTA examinations was 9.5 days. Concordance between the area stenosis and NASCET methods was poor for both ≥70% (κ = 0.32) and ≥80% (κ = 0.25) stenosis. Of the 247 arteries considered to have ≥70% area stenosis, 127 (51.4%) were considered to have ≥70% stenosis using the NASCET method. Of the 169 arteries considered to have ≥80% area stenosis, 44 (26.0%) were considered to have ≥80% stenosis using the NASCET method. The area stenosis CTA calculations of carotid artery stenosis dramatically overestimated the degree of carotid stenosis compared with that calculated using the NASCET method. Given that stroke risk estimates have been determined from trials that used the NASCET method, the area stenosis method likely overestimates the risk of stroke. Therefore, area stenosis calculations could lead to unnecessary carotid revascularization procedures. This model highlights the need for standardized usage of the NASCET method when using CTA as the imaging modality to determine the threshold for carotid revascularization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]