EARTHQUAKES, EARTHQUAKE prediction, EARTHQUAKE hazard analysis, SEISMOLOGY, ESTIMATION theory
Abstract
This paper describes the activities of the Kamchatka Branch of the Russian Expert Council on Earthquake Prediction, Assessment of Seismic Hazard and Risk (KB REC) over a 14 year period. We provide brief information on how the KB REC functions, the methods that are used for earthquake prediction in expert assessments, forecasts, and precursors of M ≥ 6.0 Kamchatka earthquakes for the 1998-2011 period. The efficiency of prediction using several methods is estimated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]