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Slow-moving landslide-prone areas (SLAs) are unstable objects on the terrestrial surface that can collapse rapidly when provoked by earthquakes, leading to infrastructure damage. It is critical to identify SLAs prior to earthquake events and assess their hazard-causing probabilities when triggered. An assessment approach of earthquake-triggered geohazards is proposed in this paper by combining interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) derived SLAs and geological and geomorphological factors. Taking the Ms6.8 Luding earthquake, which occurred in the Sichuan Province of southwestern China on September 5, 2022, as an example, 1320 scenes of Sentinel-1 SAR data in western Sichuan were processed using the small baseline subset (SBAS) InSAR technique before the earthquake. After the earthquake, hazard probability assessment was performed in real-time by filtering the SLAs using a spatial analysis technique with geological and geomorphological factors, e.g., real-time peak ground acceleration (PGA), slope, distance to fault (DTF), and distance to the river (DTR) data. The results show that 11 SLAs were classified into high-risk zones. As verified by the Luding co-seismic landslide dataset from visual interpretation of optical remote sensing images, 142 coseismic landslides were triggered by the earthquake in these high-risk regions. In these areas, an ancient landslide, with high pre-earthquake displacement rates (−50 mm/year) on the scarp was reactivated under the Luding earthquake forces. This method can provide a scientific tool for disaster mitigation and rapid response emergency management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The great M ~ 8 1920 Haiyuan earthquake (HYEQ) was one of the largest and most deadly earthquakes in China in the last century, with ~ 234,000 deaths. The earthquake occurred within the Loess Plateau of northern China, where Quaternary loess deposits form a distinctive blanket across the landscape. Large regions of this loess cover experienced co-seismic landslides. Based on an analysis of the original disaster reports, field surveys, and satellite image interpretation, we have compiled the shaking effects of the earthquake, including the distribution of landslides, fatalities, and structural damage. Landslides triggered by the HYEQ (n > 7,000) are concentrated south of the Haiyuan fault, in a region that has both thick loess cover and long-term relief generated by the drainage network. This distribution is spatially separated from landslides triggered by other earthquakes. We find that in contrast to previous studies, the most important factor in the severe death toll of the HYEQ was the collapse of housing by ground shaking, including collapse of loess house-caves. Landslides were a secondary factor; although up to 32,000 deaths occurred in areas with intense landsliding. Based on the revised distribution pattern of landslides and damage (e.g., house collapses), we suggest that the isoseismal intensity IX line extends south of previous locations. We have also identified 126 dammed lakes created by co-seismic landslides, which form major modifications of this semi-arid landscape. The research methods in this paper, combining historical review, satellite image interpretation, and field validation of landslides, can be used as a reference for studies of other areas affected by historical earthquakes and co-seismic landslides, elsewhere in the Loess Plateau and beyond. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Critical acceleration is an inherent property of a slope and determines the slope stability under seismic action. The critical acceleration model is a core element of regional seismic landslide hazard assessment. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to reveal the influence of different critical acceleration models on assessments of potential earthquake–induced landslide hazards. Traditionally, the Newmark critical acceleration model has commonly been used to evaluate the potential earthquake–induced landslide hazard. This method needs to assume the failure depth of the slope, which leads to an underestimation of the predicted displacement of the seismic landslide. Recently, the prediction equations of critical acceleration based on a parametric study of the limit equilibrium method overcomes the limitation of Newmark critical acceleration model and has been applied to assessments of co-seismic landslide hazards. In this study, we use Newmark critical acceleration model and prediction equations of critical acceleration to obtain the distribution maps of potential earthquake–induced landslide hazard in Shimian County, with peak ground acceleration of 10% and 2% exceeding the probability in 50 years. In addition, the nonlinear effect of site and topographic effects on peak ground acceleration were considered. The results show that Newmark critical acceleration model underestimates the area and value of the predicted displacement, while prediction equations of critical acceleration produces seismic landslides in a wider range of mountainous areas. This indicates that the critical acceleration model has a significant influence on assessments of potential earthquake–induced landslide hazards. In addition, the study not only provides valuable reference for assessment of potential earthquake–induced landslide hazard, emergency response of seismic landslides, and land planning in the study area, it also provides a useful demonstration for the selection of a critical acceleration model in seismic landslide hazard assessments for future researches. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Landslide disasters are associated with severe losses on the Loess Plateau of China. Although early warning systems and susceptibility mapping have mitigated this issue to some extent, most methods are qualitative or semi-quantitative in the site-specific range. In this paper, a quantitative spatial distribution model is presented for site-specific loess landslide hazard assessment. Coupled with multi-temporal remote sensing images and high-precision UAV cloud point data, a total of 98 loess landslides that have occurred since 2004 on the Heifangtai terrace were collected to establish a landslide volume-date and retreating distance database. Eleven loess landslides are selected to construct a numerical model for parameter back analysis, and the accuracy of the simulation results is quantitatively evaluated by the centroid distance and overlapping area. Different volumes and receding distance rates of landslides are fitted to determine the relationship between cracks and potential volume, and different volumes and parameters are combined to simulate the spatial distribution of potential loess landslides. The results of this study reveal that landslide volumes mainly range between 1 × 103 and 5 × 105 m3, and the historical occurrence probability reaches 0.551. The optimal parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood method to obtain a uniform distribution parameter value probability model, and the results show that the error of the estimated length within a range of 0.05 from the optimal parameter does not exceed 15%. In the selected slope slide case, farmland near the toe of the slope primarily includes exposed hazards with probabilities greater than 0.7. This work provides a useful reference for local disaster reduction and a theoretical methodology for hazard assessments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper provides newly found and profound insight into the initiation mechanism of the first Baige landslide occurred on the upper reaches of the Jinsha River in October 10, 2018. The detailed geological characteristics are interpreted by comprehensive field surveys in the past year, which indicate that the Baige landslide developed in the Jinsha River tectonic suture zone, and the active tectogenesis significantly contributes to broken stratigraphic structures and complex spatial distribution of lithologies. The initiation is considered to be long-term creep under the exogenic and endogenic integration, while the active tectogenesis and the influence of serpentinite and foliation, respectively, are the primary exogenic and endogenic factors. In addition, this creep process can be analyzed within three stages: evolution and formation of failure-prone geological structures, progressive deformation and fracturing, and shear failure of the locking section. The distribution and easily degraded behavior of the serpentinite are the fundamental, enabling the formation of failure-prone structures and also responsible for the subsequent deformation evolution. The foliation controls the toppling deformation-failure mode and direction. Furthermore, this catastrophic landslide further reminds us to pay attention to the landslides along the upper reaches of the Jinsha River, and our preliminary results indicate that the distribution characteristics of landslides significantly depend on the Jinsha River tectonic suture zone and the serpentinite mélange belt and thus are always associated with tectonically induced damage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rainfall infiltration in unsaturated slopes alters the effective stress through pore water pressure changes, thus causing ground deformation. Although important to assess the timescale over which the margin of safety of a slope decreases, such coupled processes are rarely accounted in the context of spatially distributed hazard assessment procedures. In this paper, a physically based, spatially distributed model accounting for full hydro-mechanical coupling is discussed. The model relies on a vectorized finite element (FE) solver to calculate the stability of deformable unsaturated infinite slopes subjected to transient flow. First, the FE solver is used to study the response of individual slopes to a prolonged rainfall for three scenarios (i.e., rigid, swelling, and collapsible soil). Then, the model is used in the context of spatially distributed computations to assess spatiotemporal variations of factor of safety over a large area. For this purpose, a series of shallow landslides occurred in a mountainous landscape covered by collapsible loess deposits in northwestern China was used as test site. The analyses show that hydro-mechanical couplings affect the performance of the model in terms of computed failure time and areal extent of the unstable zones. Specifically, volume collapse due to suction decrease is found to reduce the time of failure compared with uncoupled computations obtained for a rigid soil scenario. The most substantial advantages of using coupled analyses have been reported with reference to gentle slopes, for which the higher rate of suction reduction driven by volume change was crucial to capture landslide source areas that would otherwise be overlooked by uncoupled analyses. The proposed methodology offers a complete tool for landslide hazard assessment, in that it incorporates sources of coupling between hydrology and mechanics that are crucial to replicate the physics of landslide initiation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An Ms 6.5 earthquake shocked the Ludian County, Yunnan Province, China, on 3 August 2014 and triggered the Hongshiyan landslide dam. The dam, with a height of 83 m and a lake capacity of 260 × 10 m, threatened more than 10,000 people. A unique feature of this landslide dam was that it formed between a man-made dam and a hydropower plant. An existing drainage tunnel connecting the lake and the hydropower plant became a natural drainage conduit for the landslide dam, which played an important role in the mitigation of the landslide dam risks. This paper reports a quantitative risk assessment for the Hongshiyan landslide dam considering both engineering and non-engineering risk mitigation measures. The risk assessment is divided into three stages according to the implementation of two engineering measures: construction of a diversion channel and excavation of a branch drainage tunnel. The dam breaching hydrographs, flood zones, population at risk, and likely fatalities in each of the three stages are analysed. The optimum evacuation strategy in each stage is also studied based on the principle of minimum total consequence. It is found that the diversion channel decreases the dam breaching peak discharge and the associated risks significantly. The branch drainage tunnel prevent the landslide dam from overtopping failure in non-flooded period; however, the landslide dam may fail by overtopping in a future flood if the inflow rate is larger than the outflow rate through the drainage tunnels, resulting in serious losses of lives and properties. The dam breaching risks in all the three stages could be largely reduced by the optimal evacuation decision, which shows that timely evacuation is vital to save life and properties. The study provides a scientific basis for decision making in landslide dam risk management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An accurate and timely inventory for major landslides triggered by seismic events is essential for hazard assessment and risk governance. Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI) data have been increasingly used for co-seismic landslide mapping in recent years. However, there have been few studies exploring the full use of Sentinel-2 near infrared (NIR) narrow, red-edge, and short-wave infrared (SWIR) bands for landslide mapping. In this study, Sentinel-2 10-m fused NIR narrow, red-edge-1, SWIR-1, and SWIR-2 bands were incorporated into the change detection-based Markov random field (CDMRF) that considers the spectral, spatial, and contextual information of landslides. The effectiveness of the developed method was proved in mapping co-seismic landslides triggered by two major earthquakes in the Yarlung Tsangpo Grand Canyon, China, in 2017 and Hokkaido, Japan, in 2018. The results demonstrated that the mapping performances with the fused Sentinel-2 bands were significantly improved for both seismic events. Such improvement is mainly attributed to the more abundant spectral information provided by the fused Sentinel-2 red-edge, NIR narrow, and SWIR bands. The novelties of this study are (1) the preliminary attempt to use the Sentinel-2 10-m fused bands for landslide mapping, and (2) the synergy of Sentinel-2 red-edge, NIR narrow, and SWIR bands for more reliable landslide mapping. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Runout prediction and deposit characteristics investigation for the long runout rock landslides are challenging and interesting problems nowadays. On a practical level, the landslide is a critical issue around the world which could lead to catastrophic consequences. One of the current typical instances is the successive Baige landslides in Tibet, China, where massive damages to infrastructure constructions led to evacuation of more than 86,000 people. The work is specially aimed at investigating the dynamic behaviors of the long runout rock landslides and predicting the potential impact region by numerical simulations. The focus is on the representation of the interaction between the constituent blocks and macro-scale response of landslides. In this case, the distance potential-based discrete element method is adopted to solve the above problems and reproduce the sliding process of the Baige landslides. Before applied in modeling the Baige landslides, performances of this method are firstly validated by two well-known benchmark experiments. The simulation results agree well with the existing experimental measurements and reported observations. It is proved that the method could predict a quantitative accumulation area of related landslides and provide a reference of hazard mitigation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]