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On October 2017, due to continuous rainfall, there was a massive river blockage induced by a landslide in Guang'an Village, Chongqing, China. Long-term monitoring analysis has shown that there remain four strong deformation areas on the slope, which seriously threaten the life and property of nearby residents. In this paper, a granular flow model and an elasto-visco-plasticity model were applied to reproduce and predict the landslide event that hit Guang'an Village. The results showed that the landslide gradually moved along the sliding surface, pushing loose deposits and blocking the Xixi River. The numerical reproduction results of the 2017 event are consistent with the actual slope deformation and failure process and deposit morphology. The simulated maximum depth-averaged velocity of this landslide was approximately 1.89 m/s, and the height of the landslide dam was approximately 10 m. After the landslide occurred in 2017, several large deformation areas appeared in the vicinity of the sliding area, and the right rear side of the sliding mass in area III has the largest deformation volume, accompanied by the most developed surface crack and the most intense deformation. There is a risk that the Xixi river will be blocked again. Therefore, with the same parameter and numerical model, a sliding–pushing–blocking dynamic prediction analysis of the strong deformation area III was conducted. The pushing motion of the mass in this area will reactivate the landslide mass observed in 2017. The maximum depth-averaged velocity of deformation area III was 0.5 m/s, and the maximum depth-averaged velocity of landslide deposition was 0.45 m/s. The length of the blocking dam formed by the mass of deformation area III along river was approximately 780 m, 30 m longer than that in 2017. The predicted height of the landslide dam was 14.5 m, approximately 4.5 m higher than that in 2017. The length of the landslide dam reservoir was predicted to be 2.55 km along the Xixi River, which may submerge the Waping Village. This study supports the landslide hazard prevention, reveals the whole movement process of sliding-pushing-blocking, and provides a new research idea and method for the landslide movement prediction. Hence, this study can serve as a reference for the hazard prevention and mitigation of such chain disasters. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

On September 5, 2022, an Ms6.8 earthquake struck Luding County, Sichuan Province, China. Through creating a coseismic landslide prediction model, we obtained the spatial distribution of the triggered geological hazards immediately after the earthquake. Through collecting all available multi-source optical remote sensing images of the earthquake-affected area via UAV and satellite platforms, the exact information of coseismic landslide was achieved by pattern recognition and visual inspection. According to the current results, the Luding earthquake triggered 5336 landslides with a total area of 28.53km2. The spatial distribution of the coseismic landslides is correlated statistically to various seismic, terrain, and geological factors, to evaluate their susceptibility at regional scale and to identify the most typical characteristics of these failures. The results reveal that the coseismic landslides mainly occurred on the sides of the Xianshuihe fault (within 1.2 km) and Dadu River (within 0.5 km) in striped patterns. They are concentrated in the regions with an elevation range of 1000–1800 m, a slope range of 25–55°, and lithologies of acid plutonic rocks, mixed sedimentary rocks, and siliciclastic sedimentary rocks. Besides, the coseismic landslides of the Luding earthquake are smaller in size and shallower than those triggered by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and the 2017 Jiuzhaigou earthquake. Rapidly achieving the spatial locations and distribution patterns of the coseismic landslides enables to provide effective support and guidance to emergency rescue, risk mitigation, and reconstruction planning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Landslides have claimed many lives and caused significant economic losses in recent years. Therefore, assessing the potential risk for landslide hazard prevention and mitigation is vital and the landslide travel distance is a key aspect in this process. In this study, the group method of data handling (GMDH) was used to predict the landslide travel distance. A total of 111 landslide datasets collected from the literature were used to construct and validate the proposed GMDH model. Five parameters were selected as the input parameters, including initial slope angle, body height, average body thickness, the logarithm of source volume, and body aspect ratio. The GMDH model was compared with the gene expression programming (GEP) model as well as four empirical models proposed by other researchers. The comparison results demonstrated that the predicted results of the GMDH model agreed well with the measured values, with a correlation coefficient of 0.9123, which was higher than the GEP model and the four empirical models. It was concluded that the proposed GMDH model had great potential in estimating the landslide travel distance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Seismic slope stability analysis at regional scale (e.g., landslide hazard mapping, infrastructure slope management) is essential in areas that are susceptible to earthquake. Analytical infinite slope model is well suited and widely used for regional analyses which involve hundreds and thousands of slopes. Use of infinite slope model implicitly assumes shallow translational failure mechanism. However, earthquake can also cause deep rotational failure, which is more destructive and should also be considered. This study aims to develop closed-form solutions that can be efficiently used for seismic slope stability analysis at regional scale considering deep rotational failure mechanism. The existing research is critically reviewed first, and their shortcomings are identified. In contrast to the conventional "two-step" approach, a more efficient and versatile "one-step" approach is proposed in this study. The "one-step" approach can be used to calculate factor of safety for pseudo-static analysis and yield coefficient for displacement-based seismic analysis. To consider the effects of uncertainty from soil properties and seismic loading, the "one-step" approach is further extended for probabilistic analysis and application is demonstrated through a case study. The efficiency and versatility of the proposed "one-step" approach make it well suited for regional seismic slope stability analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]