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River blocking caused by landslide dams is a common geological disaster in mountainous regions worldwide, threatening the safety of human lives and infrastructure. However, studies on the formation process of landslide dams and the criteria of river blockage are still at an early stage. This paper built a laboratory-scale experimental apparatus for simulating the formation and evolution process of landslide dams, and then carried out a total of 29 experiments. It analyzed the common evolution stages of river blocking, including landslides, dam formation, and dam breaching in detail. Then, we investigated the influences of the landslide volume, the landslide discharge, and the water flow rate on a criterion and the time length of river blockage. The experimental results suggest that the formation condition of a landslide dam is related to the ratio of the landslide discharge to the water flow rate. Based on this understanding, we proposed a dimensionless River Blockage Criterion (RBC) to judge the formation of landslide dams. The criterion indicates that when RBC > 1.5, a landslide dam may form; otherwise, a landslide dam may not form. Additionally, the time length of river blockage was found to be related to the landslide volume and the water flow rate. Subsequently, we proposed a model for predicting the time length of river blockage and verified it by the 29 experimental results. The Baige River-blocking event, which occurred on the Jinsha River, China, in 2018, was used as a case study to further verify the RBC and the proposed model. The results show that the proposed RBC agreed well with reality, and the percentage difference between the calculated and the actual time length of river blockage was 11%. The findings of this study could contribute to the early warning and emergency response of river-blocking disasters. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Yangtze River is one of the most important rivers in China due to its large basin size, the large population along the river, and the numerous large dams and reservoirs on the river. The Jinsha River, the upper reach of the Yangtze River, was dammed twice recently at Baige, Tibet, one on 10 October 2018 and the other on 3 November 2018 (UTC + 8). Accordingly, two large landslide dams, 61 m and 96 m in height to the lowest dam crest, were formed in a 3-week interval. Due to the large inflow rates at the time of damming, the barrier lake level rose rapidly, posing huge risks to the downstream residents and properties. In managing the landslide dam risk, one of the important tasks is to predict the dam breaching flood beforehand. This paper focuses on rapid prediction of the dam breaching hydrograph and breach geometric parameters of the two landslide dams. The predictions were made timely before the breaching of the two landslide dams using both erosion-based empirical equations and numerical simulation and were refined based on detailed field investigation at the site after breaching. Comprehensive field investigations were conducted to determine the geological structures of the landslide dams, characterize the erodibility of dam materials, and measure the final beach dimensions. The simulated dam breaching processes, outflow hydrographs, lake water level changes, and final breach dimensions were validated by field observations. Compared with the hypothetical scenario without a diversion channel on the second landslide dam, a diversion channel 15 m in depth successfully lowered the peak flood discharge by about one third and helped to mitigate the flood risk significantly. The analysis outcome serves as basis for warning and evacuation of the downstream residents and making appropriate engineering risk mitigation plans. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]