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Chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) is initiated and maintained by BCR::ABL which is clinically targeted using tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). TKIs can induce long-term remission but are also not curative. Thus, CML is an ideal system to test our hypothesis that transcriptome-based state-transition models accurately predict cancer evolution and treatment response. We collected time-sequential blood samples from tetracycline-off (Tet-Off) BCR::ABL-inducible transgenic mice and wild-type controls. From the transcriptome, we constructed a CML state-space and a three-well leukemogenic potential landscape. The potential's stable critical points defined observable disease states. Early states were characterized by anti-CML genes opposing leukemia; late states were characterized by pro-CML genes. Genes with expression patterns shaped similarly to the potential landscape were identified as drivers of disease transition. Re-introduction of tetracycline to silence the BCR::ABL gene returned diseased mice transcriptomes to a near healthy state, without reaching it, suggesting parts of the transition are irreversible. TKI only reverted the transcriptome to an intermediate disease state, without approaching a state of health; disease relapse occurred soon after treatment. Using only the earliest time-point as initial conditions, our state-transition models accurately predicted both disease progression and treatment response, supporting this as a potentially valuable approach to time clinical intervention, before phenotypic changes become detectable.

We report here on a novel pro-leukemogenic role of FMS-like tyrosine kinase 3-internal tandem duplication (FLT3-ITD) that interferes with microRNAs (miRNAs) biogenesis in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) blasts. We showed that FLT3-ITD interferes with the canonical biogenesis of intron-hosted miRNAs such as miR-126, by phosphorylating SPRED1 protein and inhibiting the "gatekeeper" Exportin 5 (XPO5)/RAN-GTP complex that regulates the nucleus-to-cytoplasm transport of pre-miRNAs for completion of maturation into mature miRNAs. Of note, despite the blockage of "canonical" miRNA biogenesis, miR-155 remains upregulated in FLT3-ITD+ AML blasts, suggesting activation of alternative mechanisms of miRNA biogenesis that circumvent the XPO5/RAN-GTP blockage. MiR-155, a BIC-155 long noncoding (lnc) RNA-hosted oncogenic miRNA, has previously been implicated in FLT3-ITD+ AML blast hyperproliferation. We showed that FLT3-ITD upregulates miR-155 by inhibiting DDX3X, a protein implicated in the splicing of lncRNAs, via p-AKT. Inhibition of DDX3X increases unspliced BIC-155 that is then shuttled by NXF1 from the nucleus to the cytoplasm, where it is processed into mature miR-155 by cytoplasmic DROSHA, thereby bypassing the XPO5/RAN-GTP blockage via "non-canonical" mechanisms of miRNA biogenesis.