1. Low C4 as a risk factor for severe neuropsychiatric flare in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus
- Author
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Olga Amengual, Michihiro Kono, Shinsuke Yasuda, Masaru Kato, Yuka Shimizu, Toshiyuki Watanabe, Michihito Kono, Kenji Oku, Tatsuya Atsumi, Kuniyuki Aso, Yusuke Ogata, and Yuichiro Fujieda
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Adult ,Male ,Psychosis ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Kaplan-Meier Estimate ,Severity of Illness Index ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Rheumatology ,Risk Factors ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,In patient ,Risk factor ,skin and connective tissue diseases ,Proportional Hazards Models ,Retrospective Studies ,030203 arthritis & rheumatology ,business.industry ,Lupus Vasculitis, Central Nervous System ,Retrospective cohort study ,Complement C4 ,medicine.disease ,Complement (complexity) ,030104 developmental biology ,Disease Progression ,Female ,business - Abstract
Objective This study aimed to explore the risk factors for ‘severe’ neuropsychiatric (NP) flare in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Methods This retrospective study comprised newly diagnosed 184 adult SLE patients who visited Hokkaido University Hospital between 2006 and 2017. In this study, severe NP flare was defined as the occurrence of at least one newly developed British Isles Lupus Assessment Group A score in the neurological domain. Overall severe NP flare-free survival was estimated by Kaplan–Meier analysis. Clinical and demographic profiles at SLE diagnosis were assessed as potential risk items in the adjusted multivariate Cox regression model. Results The median follow-up period was 7.9 years (interquartile range (IQR) 4.6–12.3) years. A total of 28 (15.2%) patients had one or more severe NP flares during the observation period. The median time from patient enrolment date to severe NP flare occurrence was 3.1 years (IQR 0.9–6.3 year). The 2- and 10-year severe NP flare-free survival rates were 92.7% and 86.0%, respectively. Among the manifestations of severe NP flare, psychosis was the most frequent (19.1%). In the multivariate model, low serum levels of C4 (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.67, p = 0.013) and severe NP manifestations at SLE diagnosis (HR = 7.11, p Conclusion The first severe NP flare presented early in the course of SLE. Low C4 level and severe NP manifestations at SLE diagnosis could predict the development of severe NP flare.
- Published
- 2020