1. Combined oil spill modelling and shoreline sensitivity analysis for contingency planning in the Irish Sea.
- Author
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Hughes, Shania, Alves, Tiago M., and Hales, T.C.
- Subjects
OIL spills ,EMERGENCY management ,SENSITIVITY analysis ,SHORELINES ,WATER depth ,ENERGY futures ,WINTER storms - Abstract
Offshore oil spills often result in severe environmental and socio-economic consequences. This work focuses on a busy, yet poorly studied part of NW Europe, the Irish Sea, to assess the impact of future oil spills on the nearby coast. By integrating numerical models and shoreline sensitivity analyses for two confined areas, Liverpool Bay and Milford Haven, this work acknowledges wind direction and speed as principal controls on the movement of oil under winter/storm conditions and in shallow waters. Ocean currents play a secondary role, but are significant in deeper waters and in low-wind summer conditions. The temporal elements used in the modelling thus stress that when the spill occurs is just as important as where. As a corollary, the fate of spilled oil is determined in this work for distinct scenarios and types. Response strategies are recommended to minimise the impact of future spills on coastal populations. • Numerical models and shoreline sensitivity are analysed for two key areas of the Irish Sea. • Results stress the fact that when an oil spill occurs is just as important as where. • Wind influence is most important in winter/storm conditions and in shallow waters. • Ocean currents play a secondary role but are key in deep waters and with low winds. • Estuaries, bays and their associated habitats are very susceptible to the presence of oil. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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