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In this study, we present the development of an advanced air pollution modeling approach, which incorporates cutting-edge stochastic techniques for large-scale simulations of long-range air pollutant transportation. The Unified Danish Eulerian Model (UNI-DEM) serves as a crucial mathematical framework with numerous applications in studies concerning the detrimental effects of heightened air pollution levels. We employ the UNI-DEM model in our research to obtain trustworthy insights into critical questions pertaining to environmental preservation. Our proposed methodology is a highly convergent quasi-Monte Carlo technique that relies on a unique symmetrization lattice rule. By fusing the concepts of special functions and optimal generating vectors, we create a novel algorithm grounded in the component-by-component construction method, which has been recently introduced. This amalgamation yields particularly impressive outcomes for lower-dimensional cases, substantially enhancing the performance of the most advanced existing methods for calculating the Sobol sensitivity indices of the UNI-DEM model. This improvement is vital, as these indices form an essential component of the digital ecosystem for environmental analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Nowadays, entertainment is one of the biggest industries, which continues to expand. In this study, the problem of estimating the consolation prize as a fraction of the jackpot is dealt with, which is an important issue for each casino and gambling club. Solving the problem leads to the computation of multidimensional integrals. For that purpose, modifications of the most powerful stochastic quasi-Monte Carlo approaches are employed, in particular lattice and digital sequences, Halton and Sobol sequences, and Latin hypercube sampling. They show significant improvements to the classical Monte Carlo methods. After accurate computation of the arisen integrals, it is shown how to calculate the expectation of the real consolation prize, taking into account the distribution of time, when different numbers of players are betting. Moreover, a solution to the problem with higher dimensions is also proposed. All the suggestions are verified by computational experiments with real data. Besides gambling, the results obtained in this study have various applications in numerous areas, including finance, ecology and many others. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the present work, a fractional temporal SIR model is considered. The total population is divided into three compartments—susceptible, infected and removed individuals. It generalizes the classical SIR model and consists of three coupled time-fractional ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The fractional derivative is introduced to account for the subdiffusion process of confirmed, cured and deceased people dynamics. Although relatively basic, the model is robust and captures the real dynamics, helped by the memory property of the fractional system. In the paper, the issue of an adequate model reconstruction is addressed, and a coefficient identification inverse problem is solved; in particular, the transition and recovering rates, varying in time, are recovered. A least-squares cost functional is minimized for solving the problem. The time-dependent parameters are reconstructed with an iterative predictor–corrector algorithm. Its application is demonstrated via tests with synthetic and real data. What is more, an approach for economic impact assessment is proposed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper examines the relationship between the overconvergence of Fourier series and the existence of Hadamard–Ostrowski gaps. Ostrowski's result on the overconvergence of power series serves as a motivating factor for obtaining a natural generalization: the overconvergence of Fourier series. The connection between Hadamard–Ostrowski gaps and the overconvergence of Fourier series is clarified by applying the Hadamard three-circle theorem and the theory of orthogonal polynomials. Our main result is obtained by applying the Hadamard three-circle theorem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The distribution laws of various natural and anthropogenic processes in the world around us are stochastic in nature. The development of mathematics and, in particular, of stochastic modeling allows us to study regularities in such processes. In practice, stochastic modeling finds a huge number of applications in various fields, including finance and economics. In this work, some particular applications of stochastic processes in finance are examined in the conditions of financial crisis, aiming to provide a solid approach for stock price forecasting. More specifically, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models and modified ordinary differential equation (ODE) models, previously developed by some of the authors to predict the asset prices of four Bulgarian companies, are validated against a time period during the crisis. Estimated rates of return are calculated from the models for one period ahead. The errors are estimated and the models are compared. The return values predicted with each of the two approaches are used to derive optimal risk portfolios based on the Markowitz model, which is the second major aim of this study. The third aim is to compare the resulting portfolios in terms of distribution (i.e., weights of the stocks), risk, and rate of return. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]