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This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of early antiviral treatment in preventing clinical deterioration in asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infected (COVID-19) patients in home isolation and to share our experiences with the ambulatory management of nonsevere COVID-19 patients. This retrospective study included mild COVID-19 adult patients confirmed by real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction. They received care via an ambulatory management strategy between July 2021 and November 2021. Demographic data, clinical progression, and outcomes were collected. Both descriptive and inferential statistics were performed to illustrate the cohort's characteristic and outcomes of the study. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were employed to investigate the associations between clinical factors and disease progression. A total of 1940 patients in the Siriraj home isolation system met the inclusion criteria. Their mean age was 42.1 ± 14.9 years, with 14.2% older than 60 years, 54.3% female, and 7.1% with a body weight ≥ 90 kg. Only 115 patients (5.9%) had deterioration of clinical symptoms. Two-thirds of these could be managed at home by dexamethasone treatment under physician supervision; however, 38 of the 115 patients (2.0% of the study cohort) needed hospitalization. Early favipiravir outpatient treatment (≤ 5 days from onset of symptoms) in nonsevere COVID-19 patients was significantly associated with a lower rate of symptom deterioration than late favipiravir treatment (50 [4.6%] vs 65 [7.5%] patients, respectively; P = .008; odds ratio 1.669; 95% confidence interval, 1.141-2.441). The unfavorable prognostic factors for symptom deterioration were advanced age, body weight ≥ 90 kg, unvaccinated status, higher reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction cycle threshold, and late favipiravir treatment. The early delivery of essential treatment, including antiviral and supervisory dexamethasone, to ambulatory nonsevere COVID-19 patients yielded favorable outcomes during the COVID-19 pandemic in Thailand., Competing Interests: The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2022 the Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

This study aimed to assess the clinical characteristics of patients who registered at the Siriraj Favipiravir Clinic and to share our experiences in this comparatively unique clinical setting. This retrospective study included patients who registered at the Siriraj Favipiravir Clinic during August 11, 2021 to September 14, 2021. Included adult patients were those with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (coronavirus disease 2019 [COVID-19]) infection confirmed by antigen test kit (ATK) or real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction, no favipiravir contraindication, no prior COVID-19 treatment, and not receiving care from another medical facility. Demographic data and outcomes were collected and analyzed. Of the 1168 patients (mean age: 44.8 ± 16.4 years, 55.7% female) who registered at the clinic, 117 (10%) did not meet the treatment criteria, and 141 (12%) patients did not pick up their medication. One-third of patients had at least 1 symptom that indicated severe disease. Higher proportion of unvaccinated status (56.7% vs 47.5%, P = .005), higher proportion of persons with risk factors for disease progression (37.7% vs 31.3%, P = .028), and longer duration between the date of clinic registration and the date of positive diagnostic test (3 vs 2 days, P = .004) were significantly more commonly observed in the severe disease group compared to the nonsevere disease group. The duration between symptom onset and the date of clinic registration was significantly longer in the real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction group than in the ATK group (6 vs 4 days, P < .001). Most patients (90.0%) had completed favipiravir treatment regimen. The improvement and mortality rates were 86.7% and 1.2%, respectively. COVID-19 severity is associated with vaccination status, baseline risk factors, and timing between disease detection and treatment. The use of ATK influences patients to seek treatment significantly earlier in ambulatory setting. Our early diagnosis and antiviral treatment strategy yielded favorable results in an outpatient setting during a COVID-19 outbreak in Thailand., Competing Interests: The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2022 the Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Abstract: Patients with metabolic syndrome are at a higher risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and liver fibrosis than the general population. Still, accessibility of screening method for NAFLD with significant fibrosis, such as transient elastography (FibroScan) are limited in some settings. This study aimed to develop a simple clinical predictive score for detecting NAFLD with significant fibrosis in patients with metabolic syndrome.A cross-sectional study was designed to obtain the data from medical records of all relevant patients who underwent transient elastography between January 2011 and December 2020 at Siriraj Hospital, Thailand. A liver stiffness cutoff value of 7.0 kilopascal was used to define the presence of significant liver fibrosis. To examine potential predictors, medical history and clinical data commonly assessed in routine practice were selected by following expert opinions and univariable statistical analysis. Backward and forward stepwise logistic regression was performed to acquire a final prediction model. To simplify the model, a weighted score was assigned for each categorized predictor. In addition, eligible cutoff values of the score and their predictive performances were determined.A total of 745 medical records were reviewed. The prevalence of NAFLD with significant fibrosis in patients with metabolic syndrome was 12.6%. Most clinical characteristics of patients with NAFLD with significant fibrosis and those non-NAFLD and NAFLD with no/mild fibrosis were quite disparate. The most practical model comprised globulin, aspartate transaminase, platelet count, and type 2 diabetes. It provided a good predictive performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.828 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.782, 0.874). At the proper cutoff value, sensitivity and specificity were 76.6% (95% CI: 66.7%, 84.7%) and 72.4% (95% CI: 68.7%, 75.8%), respectively. The likelihood ratio of testing positive for NAFLD with significant fibrosis was 2.8 (95% CI: 2.34, 3.27) among patients with scores above the cutoff value.The first score for detecting of NAFLD with significant fibrosis in patients with metabolic syndrome was developed. This practical score, providing a good predictive performance, should be useful to help clinicians prioritize needs for further investigations among high-risk patients, especially in resource-limited settings., Competing Interests: The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2021 the Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Abstract: Care maps (CMs), which are innovative, comprehensive, educational, and simple medical tools, were developed for 6 common diseases, including heart failure, stroke, hyperglycemia, urinary tract infection, dengue infection, and upper gastrointestinal bleeding, were implemented in a short-stay ambulatory ward. This study aimed to investigate the effectiveness of and level of clinician satisfaction with CMs in an ambulatory care setting.A retrospective chart review study comparing the quality of care between before and after CM implementation was conducted. The medical records of patients who were admitted to a short-stay ambulatory ward in a tertiary referral center were reviewed. Demographic data, severity of disease, quality of care, length of stay (LOS), admission cost, and CM user satisfaction were collected and recorded.The medical records of 1116 patients were evaluated. Of those, 589 and 527 patients were from before (non-CM group) and after CM (CM group) implementation, respectively. There were no significant differences between groups for age, gender, or disease-specific severity the median (interquartile range) total and essential quality scores were significantly higher in the CM group than in the non-CM group [total quality score 85.3 (75.0-92.9) vs 61.1 (50.0-75.0); P < .001, and essential quality scores 90.0 (75.0-100.0) vs 60.0 (40.6-80.0); P < .0001, respectively]. All aspects of quality of care were significantly improved between before and after CM implementation. Overall median LOS was significantly decreased from 3.8 (2.5-5.7) to 3.0 (2.0-4.9) days, but there was no significant decrease for admission cost. However, CMs were able to significantly reduce both LOS and admission cost in the infectious disease-related subgroup. Most CM users reported satisfaction with CMs.CMs were shown to be an effective tool for improving the quality of care in patients with ambulatory infectious diseases. In that patient subgroup, LOS and admission cost were both significantly reduced compared to pre-CM implementation., Competing Interests: The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2021 the Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Over half of metabolic syndrome (MetS) patients have nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). To prevent its complications, standard routine screening is required, but the human-resource and budgetary implications need to be taken into consideration. This study compared the performances of 4 noninvasive scoring systems in predicting NAFLD in MetS patients. They were the fatty liver index, hepatic steatosis index, lipid accumulation product index, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in metabolic syndrome patients scoring system (NAFLD-MS).Scores were determined for 499 MetS patients, including 249 patients in a type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) subgroup. Ultrasonography was used to diagnose NAFLD. The accuracies and performance of the scoring systems were analyzed using published cutoff values, and comparisons were made of their areas under receiver operating characteristic curves, sensitivities, specificities, positive and negative predictive values, and likelihood ratios.NAFLD was detected in 68% of the MetS patients and 77% of the MetS patients with T2DM. According to the areas under receiver operating characteristic curves, fatty liver index and hepatic steatosis index provided better performances in predicting NAFLD. NAFLD-MS provided the highest specificity of 99% among the MetS patients as a whole, and it provided even better accuracy with similar performance when applied to the subgroup of MetS patients with T2DM. The maximum cost avoidance from unnecessary ultrasonography was also reported by using NAFLD-MS. In terms of simplicity and ease of calculation, the lipid accumulation product index and NAFLD-MS are preferred.All 4 scoring systems proved to be acceptable for predicting NAFLD among MetS and T2DM patients in settings where the availability of ultrasonography is limited. NAFLD-MS provided the highest specificity and cost avoidance, and it is simple to use. All 4 systems can help clinicians decide further investigations.

Background: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) can be diagnosed early by noninvasive ultrasonography; however, the cost-effectiveness of ultrasonography screening with intensive weight reduction program in metabolic syndrome patients is not clear. This study aims to estimate economic and clinical outcomes of ultrasonography in Thailand., Methods: Cost-effectiveness analysis used decision tree and Markov models to estimate lifetime costs and health benefits from societal perspective, based on a cohort of 509 metabolic syndrome patients in Thailand. Data were obtained from published literatures and Thai database. Results were reported as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) in 2014 US dollars (USD) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained with discount rate of 3%. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the influence of parameter uncertainty on the results., Results: The ICER of ultrasonography screening of 50-year-old metabolic syndrome patients with intensive weight reduction program was 958 USD/QALY gained when compared with no screening. The probability of being cost-effective was 67% using willingness-to-pay threshold in Thailand (4848 USD/QALY gained). Screening before 45 years was cost saving while screening at 45 to 64 years was cost-effective., Conclusions: For patients with metabolic syndromes, ultrasonography screening for NAFLD with intensive weight reduction program is a cost-effective program in Thailand. Study can be used as part of evidence-informed decision making., Translational Impacts: Findings could contribute to changes of NAFLD diagnosis practice in settings where economic evidence is used as part of decision-making process. Furthermore, study design, model structure, and input parameters could also be used for future research addressing similar questions.