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Semen analysis (SA) poorly predicts male fertility, because it does not assess sperm fertilizing ability. The percentage of capacitated sperm determined by GM1 localization ("Cap-Score™"), differs between cohorts of fertile and potentially infertile men, and retrospectively, between men conceiving or failing to conceive by intrauterine insemination (IUI). Here, we prospectively tested whether Cap-Score can predict male fertility with the outcome being clinical pregnancy within ≤3 IUI cycles. Cap-Score and SA were performed (n = 208) with outcomes initially available for 91 men. Men were predicted to have either low (n = 47) or high (n = 44) chance of generating pregnancy using previously-defined Cap-Score reference ranges. Absolute and cumulative pregnancy rates were reduced in men predicted to have low pregnancy rates versus high ([absolute: 10.6% vs. 29.5%; p = 0.04]; [cumulative: 4.3% vs. 18.2%, 9.9% vs. 29.1%, and 14.0% vs. 32.8% for cycles 1-3; n = 91, 64, and 41; p = 0.02]). Only Cap-Score, not male/female age or SA results, differed significantly between outcome groups. Logistic regression evaluated Cap-Score and SA results relative to the probability of generating pregnancy (PGP) for men who were successful in, or completed, three IUI cycles (n = 57). Cap-Score was significantly related to PGP (p = 0.01). The model fit was then tested with 67 additional patients (n = 124; five clinics); the equation changed minimally, but fit improved (p < 0.001; margin of error: 4%). The Akaike Information Criterion found the best model used Cap-Score as the only predictor. These data show that Cap-Score provides a practical, predictive assessment of male fertility, with applications in assisted reproduction and treatment of male infertility.

Sperm must mature functionally in the process of capacitation to become able to fertilize. Capacitation depends on membrane lipid changes, and can be quantitatively assessed by redistribution of the ganglioside GM1 , the basis of the Cap-Score™ sperm function test. Here, differences in Cap-Score were compared among and within men at two time points. Ejaculates were liquefied, washed, and incubated for 3 hr under capacitating (Cap) conditions, then fixed and analyzed immediately (Day0); after being incubated 3 hr under Cap conditions then maintained 22-24 hr in fix (Day1-fix); or after 22-24 hr incubation under Cap conditions prior to fixation (Day1). In all cases, a light fixative previously shown to allow membrane lipid movements was used. Day1-fix and Day1 Cap-Scores were greater than Day0 (p < 0.001; n = 25), whereas Day1-fix and Day1 Cap-Scores were equivalent (p = 0.43; n = 25). In 123 samples from 52 fertile men, Cap-Score increased more than 1SD (7.7; calculated previously from a fertile cohort) from Day0 to Day1-fix in 44% (54/123) of the samples. To test whether timing of capacitation was consistent within an individual, 52 samples from 11 fertile men were classified into either "early" or "late" capacitation groups. The average capacitation group concordance within a donor was 81%. Median absolute deviation (MAD; in Cap-Score units) was used to assess the tightness of clustering of the difference from Day0 to Day1-fix within individuals. The average (2.21) and median (1.98) MAD confirmed consistency within individuals. Together, these data show that the timing of capacitation differed among men and was consistent within men.

Semen analysis lacks a functional component and best identifies extreme cases of infertility. The ganglioside GM1 is known to have functional roles during capacitation and acrosome exocytosis. Here, we assessed whether GM1 localization patterns (Cap-Score™) correspond with male fertility in different settings: Study 1 involved couples pursuing assisted reproduction in a tertiary care fertility clinic, while Study 2 involved men with known fertility versus those questioning their fertility at a local urology center. In Study 1, we examined various thresholds versus clinical history for 42 patients; 13 had Cap-Scores ≥39.5%, with 12 of these (92.3%) achieving clinical pregnancy by natural conception or ≤3 intrauterine insemination cycles. Of the 29 patients scoring