1. Climate pacing of millennial sea-level change variability in the central and western Mediterranean
- Author
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Vacchi, Matteo, Joyse, Kristen M., Kopp, Robert E., Marriner, Nick, Kaniewski, David, Rovere, Alessio, Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra [Pisa], University of Pisa - Università di Pisa, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey [New Brunswick] (RU), Rutgers University System (Rutgers), Théoriser et modéliser pour aménager (UMR 6049) (ThéMA), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Bourgogne (UB)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC), Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] (UBFC)-Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté [COMUE] (UBFC), Travaux et recherches archéologiques sur les cultures, les espaces et les sociétés (TRACES), Ministère de la Culture et de la Communication (MCC)-École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-Université Toulouse - Jean Jaurès (UT2J)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Center for Marine Environmental Sciences [Bremen] (MARUM), Universität Bremen, Université de Bourgogne (UB)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC), and École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-Université Toulouse - Jean Jaurès (UT2J)-Ministère de la Culture et de la Communication (MCC)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
- Subjects
Palaeoceanography ,Physical oceanography ,Science ,Settore GEO/04 - Geografia Fisica e Geomorfologia ,[SHS.GEO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Geography ,sense organs ,Palaeoclimate ,skin and connective tissue diseases ,Article ,[SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography - Abstract
Future warming in the Mediterranean is expected to significantly exceed global values with unpredictable implications on the sea-level rise rates in the coming decades. Here, we apply an empirical-Bayesian spatio-temporal statistical model to a dataset of 401 sea-level index points from the central and western Mediterranean and reconstruct rates of sea-level change for the past 10,000 years. We demonstrate that the mean rates of Mediterranean industrial-era sea-level rise have been significantly faster than any other period since ~4000 years ago. We further highlight a previously unrecognized variability in Mediterranean sea-level change rates. In the Common Era, this variability correlates with the occurrence of major regional-scale cooling/warming episodes. Our data show a sea-level stabilization during the Late Antique Little Ice Age cold event, which interrupted a general rising trend of ~0.45 mm a−1 that characterized the warming episodes of the Common Era. By contrast, the Little Ice Age cold event had only minor regional effects on Mediterranean sea-level change rates., How sea-level in the western Mediterranean reacts to climate changes is not well known. Here, the authors present a regional reconstruction and show that temperatures influenced sea-level change rates during the Holocene, while recent sea-level rise is happening faster than during any other period of the last 4000 years.
- Published
- 2021