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Penetrance is the probability that an individual with a pathogenic genetic variant develops a specific disease. Knowing the penetrance of variants for monogenic disorders is important for counseling of individuals. Until recently, estimates of penetrance have largely relied on affected individuals and their at-risk family members being clinically referred for genetic testing, a ‘phenotype-first’ approach. This approach substantially overestimates the penetrance of variants because of ascertainment bias. The recent availability of whole-genome sequencing data in individuals from very-large-scale population-based cohorts now allows ‘genotype-first’ estimates of penetrance for many conditions. Although this type of population-based study can underestimate penetrance owing to recruitment biases, it provides more accurate estimates of penetrance for secondary or incidental findings. Here, we provide guidance for the conduct of penetrance studies to ensure that robust genotypes and phenotypes are used to accurately estimate penetrance of variants and groups of similarly annotated variants from population-based studies.

Sleep apnea is a common disorder that represents a global public health burden. KCNK3encodes TASK-1, a K+channel implicated in the control of breathing, but its link with sleep apnea remains poorly understood. Here we describe a new developmental disorder with associated sleep apnea (developmental delay with sleep apnea, or DDSA) caused by rare de novo gain-of-function mutations in KCNK3. The mutations cluster around the ‘X-gate’, a gating motif that controls channel opening, and produce overactive channels that no longer respond to inhibition by G-protein-coupled receptor pathways. However, despite their defective X-gating, these mutant channels can still be inhibited by a range of known TASK channel inhibitors. These results not only highlight an important new role for TASK-1 K+channels and their link with sleep apnea but also identify possible therapeutic strategies.

Congenital heart defects (CHDs) have a neonatal incidence of 0.8–1% (refs. 1,2). Despite abundant examples of monogenic CHD in humans and mice, CHD has a low absolute sibling recurrence risk (∼2.7%), suggesting a considerable role for de novo mutations (DNMs) and/or incomplete penetrance. De novo protein-truncating variants (PTVs) have been shown to be enriched among the 10% of 'syndromic' patients with extra-cardiac manifestations. We exome sequenced 1,891 probands, including both syndromic CHD (S-CHD, n = 610) and nonsyndromic CHD (NS-CHD, n = 1,281). In S-CHD, we confirmed a significant enrichment of de novo PTVs but not inherited PTVs in known CHD-associated genes, consistent with recent findings. Conversely, in NS-CHD we observed significant enrichment of PTVs inherited from unaffected parents in CHD-associated genes. We identified three genome-wide significant S-CHD disorders caused by DNMs in CHD4, CDK13 and PRKD1. Our study finds evidence for distinct genetic architectures underlying the low sibling recurrence risk in S-CHD and NS-CHD.