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Reliable prediction of disease status is a major challenge in managing gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs). The aim of the study was to validate the NETest®, a blood molecular genomic analysis, for predicting the course of disease in individual patients compared to chromogranin A (CgA). NETest® score (normal ≤20%) and CgA level (normal <100 µg/L) were measured in 152 GEP-NETs. The median follow-up was 36 (4–56) months. Progression-free survival was blindly assessed (Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors [RECIST] version 1.1). Optimal cutoffs (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]), odds ratios, as well as negative and positive predictive values (NPVs/PPVs) were calculated for predicting stable disease (SD) and progressive disease (PD). Of the 152 GEP-NETs, 86% were NETest®-positive and 52% CgA-positive. -NETest® AUC was 0.78 versus CgA 0.73 (p = ns). The optimal cutoffs for predicting SD/PD were 33% for the NETest® and 140 µg/L for CgA. Multivariate analyses identified NETest® as the strongest predictor for PD (odds ratio: 5.7 [score: 34–79%]; 12.6 [score: ≥80%]) compared to CgA (odds ratio: 3.0), tumor grade (odds ratio: 3.1), or liver metastasis (odds ratio: 7.7). The NETest® NPV for SD was 87% at 12 months. The PPV for PD was 47 and 64% (scores 34–79% and ≥80%, respectively). NETest® metrics were comparable in the watchful waiting, treatment, and no evidence of disease (NED) subgroups. For CgA (>140 ng/mL), NPV and PPV were 83 and 52%. CgA could not predict PD in the watchful waiting or NED subgroups. The NETest® reliably predicted SD and was the strongest predictor of PD. CgA had lower utility. The -NETest® anticipates RECIST-defined disease status up to 1 year before imaging alterations are apparent. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The latest WHO classification for neuroendocrine neoplasms (NEN) of the gastrointestinal tract defines grade according to Ki-67 and mitotic indices. Some have questioned the reproducibility and thus the reliability of Ki-67 assessment. We therefore investigated the accuracy of this proliferation marker in NEN. Methods: The Ki-67 index of tumor specimens of NEN (n = 73) was assessed by two pathologists as in routine practice with eyeballing and twice by image analysis using ImageJ freeware at different magnifications. Results were correlated with overall survival. Results: The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) between pathologists was 0.88. The ICC for the measurements using image analysis was 0.85. The ICC between all four measurements (pathologists and ImageJ) was 0.80. If the Ki-67 index was translated to grade as prescribed by the current WHO classification (<3% = grade 1, 3-20% = grade 2, >20% = grade 3), kappa was between 0.61 and 0.75. Grades based on pathologist scoring were often (16-29%) higher than grades assigned by image analysis (p < 0.001). Grade was significantly correlated with survival (p < 0.0001) irrespective of the way Ki-67 was assessed. Conclusion: Assessment of the Ki-67 index by eyeballing correlates remarkably well with the Ki-67 index as calculated by image analysis and is therefore an accurate parameter. Moreover, it is significantly related to survival irrespective of the method used. Yet if the Ki-67 index is translated to grade, the grade should be interpreted with caution due to values around threshold levels. © 2014 S. Karger AG, Basel [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The current WHO classification for neuroendocrine neoplasms (NEN) of the gastrointestinal tract requires Ki-67 and mitotic index for grading. However, both indexes might be conflicting as far as grade is concerned. In this study, we investigate which of the two indexes is most informative to predict survival. Methods: We assessed 362 patients with NEN of gastrointestinal (n = 148), pancreatic (n = 29), lung (n = 77), unknown primary site (n = 102) and of miscellaneous (n = 6) origin. Follow-up and proliferative indexes were recorded. Results: Survival was clearly correlated with both proliferative indexes (p < 0.001). One hundred and nineteen samples (34%) showed discordance in grading between the Ki-67 and the mitotic index, of which 74 (62%) were biopsies and 45 (38%) resection specimens (p = 0.001). In 86% of these cases, survival matched with the highest proliferative index, which was the Ki-67 index in 87% of these cases. Seventeen cases had a mitotic index of 2 (threshold grade 2) and a Ki-67 index of <3% (grade 1). For these cases, survival curve matched that of patients with concordant indexes of grade 1. Conclusion: Grading NEN using two proliferative markers results in discordance between these indexes in one third of cases, more often in biopsy material than in resection specimens. If results are discordant, survival is for the most part associated with the grade of the highest index, for the most part Ki-67. Thus, grading with two proliferative indexes is useful as it highlights cases where one of these indexes may be incongruent. © 2014 S. Karger AG, Basel [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]