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Background and ObjectivesThis study aimed to examine whether baseline CSF measures of Alzheimer disease (AD)–related pathology are associated with the time to onset of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and whether these associations differ by age, sex, Apolipoprotein E (ApoE4) status, and proximal (≤7 years) vs distal (>7 years) time to symptom onset.MethodsMeasures of amyloid (Aβ1-42 and Aβ1-40), phospho-tau (ptau181), and total tau (t-tau) were determined from CSF samples obtained at baseline from participants in an ongoing longitudinal project, known as the Biomarkers for Older Controls at Risk for Alzheimer Disease study (BIOCARD) study. The fully automated, Lumipulse G immunoassay was used to analyze the specimens. Cox regression models were used to examine the relationship of baseline biomarker levels with time to symptom onset of MCI and interactions with age, sex, and ApoE allelic status in subjects who progressed from normal cognition to MCI.ResultsAnalyses included 273 participants from the BIOCARD cohort, who were cognitively normal and predominantly middle-aged at baseline, and have been followed for an average of 16 years (max = 23.6). During follow-up, 94 progressed to MCI (median time to symptom onset = 6.9 years). In Cox regression models, elevated ptau181 and t-tau levels were associated with time to MCI symptom onset if it occurred within 7 years of baseline (HR 1.386 and 1.329; p = 0.009 and 0.017, respectively), while a lower Aβ42/Aβ40 ratio was associated with symptom onset if it occurred >7 years from baseline (HR 0.596, p = 0.003). There were also significant 3-way CSF × age × sex interactions for ptau181 and Aβ42/Aβ40, with follow-up analyses indicating that associations between these biomarkers and progression to MCI were stronger among men than among women, but this difference between sexes diminished with increasing age.DiscussionThe lengthy follow-up of BIOCARD participants permitted an examination of time-varying associations between CSF AD biomarkers with MCI symptom onset and the influence of sex, baseline age, and ApoE4 genotype on these associations. These factors may inform clinical trial enrollment strategies, or trial duration and outcomes, which may use these measures as surrogate markers of treatment response.

ObjectiveTo determine whether vascular risk and Alzheimer disease (AD) biomarkers have independent or synergistic effects on cognitive decline and whether vascular risk is associated with the accumulation of AD pathology as measured by change in biomarkers over time.MethodsAt baseline, participants (n = 168) were cognitively normal and primarily middle-aged (mean 56.4 years, SD 10.9 years) and had both vascular risk factor status and proximal CSF biomarkers available. Baseline vascular risk was quantified with a composite vascular risk score reflecting the presence or absence of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, current smoking, and obesity. CSF biomarkers of β-amyloid (Aβ)1–42, total tau (t-tau), and phosphorylated tau (p-tau) were used to create dichotomous high and low AD biomarker groups (based on Aβ1–42 and tau). Linear mixed-effects models were used to examine change in a cognitive composite score (mean follow-up 13.9 years) and change in CSF biomarkers (mean follow-up 4.2 years).ResultsThere was no evidence of a synergistic relationship between the vascular risk score and CSF AD biomarkers and cognitive decline. Instead, the vascular risk score (estimate −0.022, 95% confidence interval [CI] −0.043 to −0.002, p = 0.03) and AD biomarkers (estimate −0.060, 95% CI −0.096 to −0.024, p = 0.001) were independently and additively associated with cognitive decline. In addition, the vascular risk score was unrelated to levels of or rate of change in CSF Aβ1–42, t-tau, or p-tau.ConclusionsThe results of this observational cohort study suggest that vascular risk and biomarkers of AD pathology, when measured in midlife, act along independent pathways and underscore the importance of accounting for multiple risk factors for identifying cognitively normal individuals at the greatest risk of cognitive decline.

ObjectiveRecent studies suggest that white matter hyperintensities (WMH) on MRI, which primarily reflect small vessel cerebrovascular disease, may play a role in the evolution of Alzheimer disease (AD). In a longitudinal study, we investigated whether WMH promote the progression of AD pathology, or alter the association between AD pathology and risk of progression from normal cognition to mild cognitive impairment (MCI).MethodsTwo sets of analyses were conducted. The relationship between whole brain WMH load, based on fluid-attenuated inversion recovery MRI, obtained in initially cognitively normal participants (n = 274) and time to onset of symptoms of MCI (n = 60) was examined using Cox regression models. In a subset of the participants with both MRI and CSF data (n = 204), the interaction of WMH load and CSF AD biomarkers was also evaluated.ResultsBaseline WMH load interacted with CSF total tau (t-tau) with respect to symptom onset, but not with CSF β-amyloid 1–42 or phosphorylated tau (p-tau) 181. WMH volume was associated with time to symptom onset of MCI among individuals with low t-tau (hazard ratio [HR] 1.35, confidence interval [CI] 1.06–1.73, p = 0.013), but not those with high t-tau (HR 0.86, CI 0.56–1.32, p = 0.47). The rate of change in the CSF biomarkers over time was not associated with the rate of change in WMH volumes.ConclusionThese results suggest that WMH primarily affect the risk of progression when CSF measures of neurodegeneration or neuronal injury (as reflected by t-tau) are low. However, CSF biomarkers of amyloid and p-tau and WMH appear to have largely independent and nonsynergistic effects on the risk of progression to MCI.

This study evaluated longitudinal CSF biomarker measures collected when participants were cognitively normal to determine the magnitude and time course of biomarker changes before the onset of clinical symptoms in subjects with mild cognitive impairment (MCI).Longitudinal CSF collection and cognitive assessments were performed on a cohort of 265 participants who were cognitively normal at their baseline assessment and subsequently developed MCI or dementia. CSF β-amyloid 1-42 (Aβ1-42), total tau (t-tau), and phosphorylated tau (p-tau) were determined longitudinally. Consensus diagnoses were completed annually. Cox regression analyses were performed, with baseline CSF values and time-dependent rate of change in CSF values as covariates (adjusted by baseline age, race, and education), in relation to time to onset of mild cognitive symptoms.The mean time from baseline to onset of mild cognitive symptoms was 5.41 years. Increased risk of progressing from normal cognition to onset of clinical symptoms was associated with baseline values of Aβ1-42, p-tau, and the ratios of p-tau/Aβ1-42 and t-tau/Aβ1-42 (p0.002). Additionally, the rate of change in the ratios of t-tau/Aβ1-42 (p0.004) and p-tau/Aβ1-42 (p0.02) was greater among participants who were subsequently diagnosed with MCI.Baseline differences in CSF values were predictive of clinical symptoms that were a harbinger of a diagnosis of MCI more than 5 years before symptom onset, and continue to show longitudinal changes as cognitive symptoms develop, demonstrating that baseline and longitudinal changes in CSF biomarkers are evident during the preclinical phase of Alzheimer disease.