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Identifying correlates of protection (COPs) for vaccines against lethal human (Hu) pathogens, such as Francisella tularensis (Ft), is problematic, as clinical trials are currently untenable and the relevance of various animal models can be controversial. Previously, Hu trials with the live vaccine strain (LVS) demonstrated ~80% vaccine efficacy against low dose (~50 CFU) challenge; however, protection deteriorated with higher challenge doses (~2000 CFU of SchuS4) and no COPs were established. Here, we describe our efforts to develop clinically relevant, humoral COPs applicable to high-dose, aerosol challenge with S4. First, our serosurvey of LVS-vaccinated Hu and animals revealed that rabbits (Rbs), but not rodents, recapitulate the Hu O-Ag dependent Ab response to Ft. Next, we assayed Rbs immunized with distinct S4-based vaccine candidates (S4ΔclpB, S4ΔguaBA, and S4ΔaroD) and found that, across multiple vaccines, the %O-Ag dep Ab trended with vaccine efficacy. Among S4ΔguaBA-vaccinated Rbs, the %O-Ag dep Ab in pre-challenge plasma was significantly higher in survivors than in non-survivors; a cut-off of >70% O-Ag dep Ab predicted survival with high sensitivity and specificity. Finally, we found this COP in 80% of LVS-vaccinated Hu plasma samples as expected for a vaccine with 80% Hu efficacy. Collectively, the %O-Ag dep Ab response is a bona fide COP for S4ΔguaBA-vaccinated Rb and holds significant promise for guiding vaccine trials with higher animals.

Tularemia is a severe, zoonotic infection caused by the Gram-negative bacterium Francisella tularensis. Inhalation results in a rapid, severe bacterial pneumonia and sepsis, which can be lethal. Because the cynomolgus macaque is the accepted nonhuman primate model for tularemia, we conducted a natural history study of pneumonic tularemia by exposing macaques to target inhaled doses of 50, 500, or 5000 colony forming units (CFU) of F. tularensis subsp. tularensis SCHU S4. Two animals within the 50 CFU group (calculated doses of 10 and 11 CFU) survived the challenge, while the remainder succumbed to infection. Exposure of cynomolgus macaques to aerosolized SCHU S4 resulted in fever, anorexia, increased white blood cell counts, lymphopenia, thrombocytopenia, increased liver enzymes, alterations in electrocardiogram (ECG), and pathological changes typical of infection with F. tularensis, regardless of the challenge dose. Blood pressure dropped during the febrile phase, particularly as temperature began to drop and macaques succumbed to the disease. ECG analysis indicated that in 33% of the macaques, heart rate was not elevated during the febrile phase (Faget’s sign, pulse-temperature disassociation), which has been reported in a similar percentage of human cases. These results indicated that infection of cynomolgus macaques with aerosolized F. tularensis results in similar disease progression and outcome as seen in humans, and that cynomolgus macaques are a reliable animal model to test medical countermeasures against aerosolized F. tularensis.

Pneumonic tularemia is a highly debilitating and potentially fatal disease caused by inhalation of Francisella tularensis. Most of our current understanding of its pathogenesis is based on the highly virulent F. tularensis subsp. tularensis strain SCHU S4. However, multiple sources of SCHU S4 have been maintained and propagated independently over the years, potentially generating genetic variants with altered virulence. In this study, the virulence of four SCHU S4 stocks (NR-10492, NR-28534, NR-643 from BEI Resources and FTS-635 from Battelle Memorial Institute) along with another virulent subsp. tularensis strain, MA00-2987, were assessed in parallel. In the Fischer 344 rat model of pneumonic tularemia, NR-643 and FTS-635 were found to be highly attenuated compared to NR-10492, NR-28534, and MA00-2987. In the NZW rabbit model of pneumonic tularemia, NR-643 caused morbidity but not mortality even at a dose equivalent to 500x the LD50 for NR-10492. Genetic analyses revealed that NR-10492 and NR-28534 were identical to each other, and nearly identical to the reference SCHU S4 sequence. NR-643 and FTS-635 were identical to each other but were found to have nine regions of difference in the genomic sequence when compared to the published reference SCHU S4 sequence. Given the genetic differences and decreased virulence, NR-643/FTS-635 should be clearly designated as a separate SCHU S4 substrain and no longer utilized in efficacy studies to evaluate potential vaccines and therapeutics against tularemia.