1. Systematic review of the empirical evidence of study publication bias and outcome reporting bias - an updated review
- Author
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Kerry Dwan, Carrol Gamble, Jamie Kirkham, Erik Von Elm, Philippa Easterbrook, Reporting Bias Group, Altman, DG., Arnaiz, JA., Bloom, J., Chan, AW., Clarke, M., Cronin, E., Decullier, E., Easterbrook, PJ., Von Elm, E., Ghersi, D., Higgins, JP., Ioannidis, JP., Simes, J., and Sterne, JA.
- Subjects
Research Validity ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Clinical Research Design ,Science Policy ,Publication Ethics ,lcsh:Medicine ,Odds ,law.invention ,Cohort Studies ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Randomized controlled trial ,law ,Outcome Assessment, Health Care ,Humans ,Medicine ,Clinical Trials ,030212 general & internal medicine ,lcsh:Science ,Research Integrity ,Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic ,Protocol (science) ,Multidisciplinary ,Research Monitoring ,business.industry ,Statistics ,Publications ,lcsh:R ,Publication bias ,Research Assessment ,3. Good health ,Clinical trial ,Systematic review ,Case-Control Studies ,Family medicine ,Meta-analysis ,Research Reporting Guidelines ,lcsh:Q ,Meta-Analyses ,business ,Publication Bias ,Mathematics ,Publication Practices ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,Research Article ,Cohort study - Abstract
BACKGROUND: The increased use of meta-analysis in systematic reviews of healthcare interventions has highlighted several types of bias that can arise during the completion of a randomised controlled trial. Study publication bias and outcome reporting bias have been recognised as a potential threat to the validity of meta-analysis and can make the readily available evidence unreliable for decision making. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: In this update, we review and summarise the evidence from cohort studies that have assessed study publication bias or outcome reporting bias in randomised controlled trials. Twenty studies were eligible of which four were newly identified in this update. Only two followed the cohort all the way through from protocol approval to information regarding publication of outcomes. Fifteen of the studies investigated study publication bias and five investigated outcome reporting bias. Three studies have found that statistically significant outcomes had a higher odds of being fully reported compared to non-significant outcomes (range of odds ratios: 2.2 to 4.7). In comparing trial publications to protocols, we found that 40-62% of studies had at least one primary outcome that was changed, introduced, or omitted. We decided not to undertake meta-analysis due to the differences between studies. CONCLUSIONS: This update does not change the conclusions of the review in which 16 studies were included. Direct empirical evidence for the existence of study publication bias and outcome reporting bias is shown. There is strong evidence of an association between significant results and publication; studies that report positive or significant results are more likely to be published and outcomes that are statistically significant have higher odds of being fully reported. Publications have been found to be inconsistent with their protocols. Researchers need to be aware of the problems of both types of bias and efforts should be concentrated on improving the reporting of trials.
- Published
- 2013