Search

BackgroundPregnant women often experience the fatal outcome of their pregnancy both in developed and impoverished countries. Due to strong health systems and services, factual and historical data are available from developed countries. However, the prevalence trend and risk factors of a fatal termination of pregnancy in developing countries like Bangladesh are still lacking.ObjectiveThe objective of the current study was to determine the 20 years trend of prevalence and risk factors of fatal pregnancy termination from 1997 to 2018 in Bangladesh.MethodThis study utilised the publicly available seven consecutive cross-data on Bangladesh Demographic and Health Surveys data since 1997 following identical methods among women of reproductive age. Respondent was asked if they had had a fatal pregnancy termination ever. A Generalised Linear model with a log-Poisson link was used to estimate the relative risk of different predictors for four survey time points (1998, 2004, 2011, 2018).ResultsThe proportions of fatal pregnancy termination in urban and rural areas were 24% vs. 19% and 24% vs. 22% in 1997 and 2018, respectively. In multivariable analysis, maternal age 30 years and above and obesity were strongly associated in all survey time points. The richest wealth index had a weak association in 1997 but was strongly associated in 2011 and 2018. A significant modest association with secondary complete education level was only observed in 2018.ConclusionThe overall proportions of fatal pregnancy termination in Bangladesh remain nearly static; however, its risk factors differed across different survey time points.

Clinical studies demonstrate the efficacy of interventions to reduce neonatal deaths, but there are fewer studies of their real-life effectiveness. In India, women often seek facility delivery after complications arise, rather than to avoid complications. Our objective was to quantify the association of facility delivery and postnatal checkups with neonatal mortality while examining the "reverse causality" in which the mothers deliver at a health facility due to adverse perinatal events.We conducted nationally representative case-control studies of about 300,000 live births and 4,000 neonatal deaths to examine the effect of, place of delivery and postnatal checkup on neonatal mortality. We compared neonatal deaths to all live births and to a subset of live births reporting excessive bleeding or obstructed labour that were more comparable to cases in seeking care.In the larger study of 2004-8 births, facility delivery without postnatal checkup was associated with an increased odds of neonatal death (Odds ratio = 2.5; 99% CI 2.2-2.9), especially for early versus late neonatal deaths. However, use of more comparable controls showed marked attenuation (Odds ratio = 0.5; 0.4-0.5). Facility delivery with postnatal checkup was associated with reduced odds of neonatal death. Excess risks were attenuated in the earlier study of 2001-4 births.The combined effect of facility deliveries with postnatal checks ups is substantially higher than just facility delivery alone. Evaluation of the real-life effectiveness of interventions to reduce child and maternal deaths need to consider reverse causality. If these associations are causal, facility delivery with postnatal check up could avoid about 1/3 of all neonatal deaths in India (~100,000/year).